Free MLB Picks For Today 7/26/2022
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 7/26/2022
Pirates at Cubs—Bryse Wilson to start for Pittsburgh. Wilson in twelve appearances posts an ERA of 6.52 with WHIP 1.65. The righty is striking out 16.5% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 43% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.90 suggests a lowering of his ERA if these numbers hold.
Keegan Thompson to start for Chicago. Thompson has worked 20 games with ERA 3.43 and WHIP 1.25. The righty a strikeout mark of 22% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.9% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings.
Cubs win streak is five with their 3-2 win in the opener. Pirates have dropped seven of nine. Chicago hitting well during this win streak and bullpen ERA 0.89. Pittsburgh hits only .213 against righthanders on the road.
Chicago has been held to three runs or fewer in seven of ten, so they are being carried by pitching. Too high a price to pay on the Cubs based on this data. Play Pittsburgh +155.
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 7/26/2022
Marlins at Reds—Pablo Lopez the starter for Miami. Lopez has in nineteen starts carries an ERA 3.14 with WHIP 1.09. The righthander is striking out 24.3% with 8% walks. Ground balls served at 46.9% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Hunter Greene the starter for Cincinnati. Green has eighteen starts with an ERA 5.78 and WHIP 1.35. The righty a strikeout rate of 28.8% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 28.3% with 2.29 home runs per nine innings.
Reds have won three of four on this home stand with the 11-2 win in the opener. Starting pitching and bullpen greatly favors the Marlins here. Play Miami -115.
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 7/26/2022
Braves at Phillies—Spencer Strider to start for ATL. Strider in 21 appearances an ERA 3.03 with WHIP 1.05. The righthander an elite strikeout mark of 37.9% with 10% walks. Ground ball dealt at 40.6% with 0.48 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 2.05 suggests a lowering of his ERA with these numbers.
Aaron Nola the starter for Philadelphia. Nola in nineteen starts posts an ERA 3.13 with WHIP 0.91. The veteran deals 28.1% strikeouts with 3.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.8% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
Phillies broke their three game losing streak by taking the opener of this series. Nola’s numbers have not been as good at home with an ERA of 4.15 and 1.44 home runs allowed per nine innings. Also prefer the Braves bullpen. Play Atlanta -120.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 7/26/2022
Rays at Orioles—Shane McClanahan to start for Tampa Bay. McClanahan in eighteen starts an ERA 1.71 with WHIP 0.80. The lefthander an elite strikeout rate of 35.7% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 50.6% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
Spenser Watkins to start for Baltimore. Watkins has twelve starts with an ERA of 3.93 and WHIP 1.37. The righthander pitches to high contact with 13.6% strikeouts and 8.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.5% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings.
Rays have lost three of four on this trip with the 5-1 defeat in the opener of this series. Watkins in great form allowing one earned run or fewer in four straight starts and backed by an Orioles bullpen that has outperformed the Rays this season and have won 27 of 46 at home. Rays 5 games under .500 on the road. Play Baltimore +180.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 7/26/2022
Cardinals at Blue Jays—Andre Pallante the starter for St Louis. Pallante in 26 appearances has posted an ERA of 3.34 with WHIP 1.46. The righthander strikes out 15.7% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls check in at 63.7% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.24 suggesting an increase in ERA if these numbers hold.
Jose Berrios takes the mound for Toronto. Berrios has nineteens starts with an ERA 5.22 with WHIP 1.36. The veteran a strikeout mark of 21.1% with 5.5% walks. His ground balls are 38.2% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings. Cardinals opened this trip losing two of three in Cincinnati.
Blue Jays return home after a three game sweep at Boston. Toronto bullpen an ERA of 4.72 at home this season. The teams split their two games in St Louis this season with Berrios giving up three earned runs in 6 1/3rd innings in a loss to the Cardinals on May 23rd. Play St Louis +185.
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 7/26/2022
Yankees at Mets—Jordan Montgomery to start for NYY. Montgomery in nineteen starts has an ERA of 3.24 with WHIP 1.05. The lefthander is pitching to 20.1% strikeouts with 4.6% walks. Ground balls served at 47.6% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
Taijuan Walker to start for NYM. Walker has sixteen starts with an ERA 2.55 and WHIP 1.09. The righthander is striking out 20.1% with 6.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 49.6% with minimal home run damage.
Yankees took two of three in Baltimore over the weekend. Mets salvaged the finale of a three game home stand to the Padres. Mets have had struggles getting runs on the board in recent games.
Past ten games NYM hitting .210 against lefthanders. Six of the past seven opponents Walker has faced were the Cubs, Marlins three times, Reds and Angels. He faced the Yankees twice last year giving up seven earned runs with four homers in 11 2/3rd innings. Play NY Yankees -106.
San Diego Padres vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 7/26/2022
Padres at Tigers—Mike Clevinger the starter for San Diego. Clevinger in ten appearances posts an ERA of 3.50 with WHIP 1.14. The righty a strikeout mark of 24.7% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.2% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Garrett Hill the starter for Detroit. Hill in three starts carries an ERA of 5.63 with WHIP 1.13. In Triple A he had eight starts compiling an ERA of 4.06 with WHIP 1.24. His short sample in MLB the righthander pitches to high contact with 12.3% strikeouts and 7.7% walks.
Ground balls check in at 39.2% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings. Tigers win the opener of this series 12-4 as they continued their success hitting lefthanders. But a righthander starts on Tuesday for the Padres. Take San Diego on run line -1.5 runs at -120.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/26/2022
Guardians at Red Sox—Kirk McCarty the primary pitches for Cleveland. McCarty in three appearances posts an ERA of 9.00 with WHIP 2.00. He has worked 50 2/3rd innings in Triple A allowing 22 earned runs with 36 strikeouts, 10 homers and 15 walks.
Josh Winckowski to start for Boston. Winckowski has seven starts with an ERA of 4.38 with WHIP 1.43. The righty is striking out 16.3% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls at 52.2% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings.
Red Sox take the opener of this series winning 3-1 and have won 16 of 23 against a starting lefty this year. Guardians have lost three straight. Play Boston -155.
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LA Angels vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 7/26/2022
Angels at Royals—Jose Suarez will start for LAA. Suarez in eleven appearances has an ERA of 5.60 with WHIP 1.58. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 22.2% with 10.8% walks. A ground ball rate of 32.1% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings.
Angel Zerpa will start for KC. Zerpa has two appearances allowing one earned run with two strikeouts in seven innings. He started 22 games in Triple A compiling an ERA of 9.00 with WHIP 2.00.
Kansas City wins the opener of this series 7-0. Angels have now lost 17 of 18 without Ohtani as the starting pitcher. LAA has been held to two runs or fewer in six of seven. KC has won three straight. Play Kansas City -120.
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 7/26/2022
Twins at Brewers—Dylan Bundy to start for Minnesota. Bundy has sixteen starts with an ERA 4.71 and WHIP 1.27. The veteran strikes out 17.7% with 5% walks. Ground balls served at 39% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.08 suggests a lowering of his ERA with these numbers.
Ethan Small the starter for Milwaukee. Small in his MLB debut worked 2 2/3rd innings allowed two earned runs, four walks and 4 walks in 2 2/3rd innings. The lefthander has fifteen starts in Triple A compiling an ERA of 3.34 with WHIP 1.25.
Twins swept a two game series at Detroit. Brewers take three of four at home to the Rockies. Bundy on the road an ERA of 6.02 with WHIP 1.46 in 49 1/3rd innings this season. Last season his road ERA was 5.44 in 48 innings. Play Milwaukee -116.
Chicago White Sox vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 7/26/2022
White Sox at Rockies—Michael Kopech will start for Colorado. Kopech in seventeen starts an ERA of 3.36 with WHIP 1.18. The righthander is striking out 21.6% with 12.3% walks. Ground balls check in at 30.5% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.50 suggests an increase in his ERA with these numbers.
German Marquez will start for Colorado. Marquez has eighteen starts posting an ERA of 5.47 with WHIP 1.44. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 18.8% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls served at 48.5% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings.
White Sox split a four game home series with the Guardians. Rockies salvaged the finale of a four game road series at Milwaukee on Monday. Their pitching staff was rocked in this series.
Starting pitching and bullpen prefer the White Sox. They should be able to generate offense in this ballpark and against Rockies pitching. Play Chicago -115.
Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 7/26/2022
Astros at Athletics—Luis Garcia expected starter for Houston. Garcia in seventeen starts an ERA of 3.65 with WHIP 1.06. The righthander a strikeout rate of 26.3% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls check in at 38.4% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings.
Frankie Montas to start for Oakland. Montas has eighteen starts with an ERA 3.16 and WHIP 1.08. The righty strikes out 26.3% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls check in at 46.8% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Astros win streak snapped at five straight with the 7-5 defeat at Oakland with Odorizzi on the mound. They have lost two straight with Odorizzi starting and won six in a row with another starter.
Athletics have won four of five but have given up a total of 16 runs the past two home games. Houston is getting elite work from their bullpen and the Athletics and ERA of 4.70 at home.
Second start for Montas since coming off a shoulder injury and was limited to three innings to preserve trade value. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 7/26/2022
Giants at Diamondbacks—Carlos Rodon to start for San Francisco. Rodon in nineteen starts has an ERA of 2.95 with WHIP 1.14. The lefty pitches to a good strikeout rate of 30.8% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.9% with limited home run damage.
Tyler Gilbert to start for Arizona. Gilbert in seven appearances carries an ERA of 5.34 with WHIP 1.25. The lefthander pitches to high contact with 14% strikeouts with 7% walks. Grounders come in at 32.3% with 2.08 home runs per nine innings.
Arizona has won four of five winning the opener of this series 7-0. Five straight losses for the Giants coming off the All Star break. Past ten games Arizona batting .333 against lefthanders with San Francisco bullpen ERA of 5.84. Play Arizona +152.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 7/26/2022
Rangers at Mariners—Dane Dunning the starter for Texas. Dunning has started eighteen games with an ERA of 4.42 and WHIP 1.42. The righthander a strikeout rate of 19.9% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls check in at 53.1% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
George Kirby the starter for Seattle. Kirby in twelve starts posts an ERA of 3.78 with WHIP 1.24. The rookie righty deals 22.6% strikeouts with 3.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 44% with 1.68 home runs per nine innings.
Mariners win the opener of this series 4-3. Rangers have lost seven of nine and were swept in a four game home series to Seattle in this period.
Dunning road ERA 6.39 in 2021 in 50 2/3rd innings and 5.52 this season in 45 2/3rd innings with a WHIP near 1.70 in both seasons. Giving up about four walks per nine innings on the road in those years. Play Seattle -154.
Washington Nationals vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 7/26/2022
Nationals at Dodgers—Josiah Gray the starter for Washington. Gray has seventeen starts with an ERA of 4.40 and WHIP 1.27. The righthander a strikeout mark of 27% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls at 28.5% with 2.05 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.22 suggesting a rise in ERA with these numbers.
Mitch White starts for LAD. White in fourteen appearances posts an ERA of 3.78 with WHIP 1.22. The righty is striking out 20.4% with 9% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.7% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
White’s numbers have been outstanding at home the past two seasons average ERA 2.54 with WHIP 1.09 and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Gray’s home run rate a concern as is the Nationals 5.72 bullpen ERA on the road.
LAD has covered the run line in 15 of 18 against teams with a .380 or worse winning percentage this season. They have also covered 19 of 25 on the run line facing a starter who allows over 1.00 home run per nine innings. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at -125.
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