Free MLB Picks For Today 7/1/2022

Free MLB Picks For Today 7/1/2022

Free MLB Picks For Today 7/1/2022

 

Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 7/1/2022

Red Sox at Cubs—Rich Hill to start for the Red Sox. Hill in fourteen starts an ERA of 4.09 with WHIP 1.27. The lefty is striking out 19.9% with 6.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.2% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.

 

Adrian Sampson to start for Chicago. Sampson in three appearances an ERA of 1.69 with WHIP 0.84. He worked 28 1/3rd Triple A innings compiling an ERA of 3.81 with WHIP 1.28.

 

Red Sox have won eight of ten as they salvaged the finale of their three game series at Toronto 6-5. Cubs take two of three at home to the Reds. Bullpen and hitting lineup favor the Red Sox here. Play Boston -130.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 7/1/2022

Rays at Blue Jays—Corey Kluber to start for Toronto. Kluber in fourteen starts posts an ERA of 3.45 with WHIP 1.08. He deals 22.2% strikeouts with 3.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.9% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.

 

Jose Berrios to start for the Blue Jays. Berrios in fifteen starts has an ERA of 5.86 with WHIP 1.39. The righty has seen his strikeouts plummet to 18.8% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls are at 36.8% with 1.95 home runs per nine innings.

 

Blue Jays have won three of four on this home stand winning the opener of this series 4-1. Rays have dropped three straight. Rays struggling for runs during this losing streak. Play Toronto -130.

St Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 7/1/2022

Cardinals at Phillies—Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas in fifteen starts has an ERA of 2.57 with WHIP 0.96. The righthander is striking out 20.9% with 5.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.5% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings.

 

Bailey Falter to start for Philadelphia. Falter in seven appearances an ERA 4.50 with WHIP 1.40. The lefty pitches to high contact with 14.9% strikeouts with 6.9% walks. He deals 31.3% ground balls with 2.25 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 6.13 indicates a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.

 

Cardinals hit the road splitting a six game home stand against the Marlins and Cubs. Phillies salvaged the finale of a three game home series to Atlanta. Cardinals have done a good job hitting lefthanders and have the better bullpen. Play St Louis -145.

Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 7/1/2022

Marlins at Nationals—Trevor Rogers to start for Miam. Rogers in fourteen starts carries an ERA of 5.86 with WHIP 1.63. Strikeouts have fallen to 20% with 10.7% walks. He serves 39.4% ground balls with 1.43 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is about a run lower at 4.87 so an improvement on ERA is possible with these numbers.

 

Josiah Gray to throw for Washington. Gray in fourteen starts has an ERA of 3.82 with WHIP 1.21. He pitches to 25.9% strikeouts with 10.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 27.3% with 1.79 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.05 points to his ERA going up with these numbers.

 

Marlins drop two of three at St Louis to open this trip. Nationals split a two game home series with the Pirates. Miami has been held to three runs or fewer in six of seven. Their bullpen on the road an ERA of 5.15. Play Washington -125.

Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 7/1/2022

Braves at Reds—Max Fried to start for Atlanta. Fried in fifteen starts carries an ERA of 2.77 and WHIP 1.05. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 24.5% with 4.3% walks. He deals 51.1% ground balls with limited home run damage. He FIP is 2.57 which is lower than his ERA.

 

Mike Minor to throw for the Reds. Minor in five starts has an ERA of 7.71 with WHIP 1.60. The lefthander has seen his strikeout rate drop to 17.6% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 31.4% with 3.51 home runs per nine innings.

 

Braves begin this road trip winning two of three in Philadelphia. Reds return home dropping two of three in Chicago. Cincinnati bullpen an ERA of 5.68 at home and Braves 1.89 on the road. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -155.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 7/1/2022

Brewers at Pirates—Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes in fifteen starts has an ERA of 2.41 with WHIP 0.92. He pitches to 32.4% strikeouts with 5.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 43% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.

 

Roansy Contreras is on the mound for Pittsburgh. Contreras in ten appearances posts an ERA of 2.76 with WHIP 1.35. The righthander deals 23% strikeouts with 10.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.5% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.17 indicates a rise in his ERA if these numbers hold.

 

Pirates take the opener of this series 8-7. Pittsburgh will be in tough facing Burnes. Play Milwaukee and Pittsburgh under 7.5.

Texas Rangers vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 7/1/2022

Rangers at Mets—Glenn Otto to start for the Rangers. Otto has nine starts with an ERA of 5.31 and WHIP 1.51. A strikeout mark of 18.2% with 13.9% walks. Ground balls served at 40% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings.

 

Chris Bassitt the starter for New York. Bassitt in fifteen starts records an ERA of 4.01 with WHIP 1.15. The righthander is striking out 25.7% with 7% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.1% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.

 

Rangers open this trip winning two of three at Kansas City. Mets were swept in a two game home series to the Astros scoring one run total. Rangers bullpen has performed well on the season. Play Texas +165.

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 7/1/2022

Yankees at Guardians—Gerrit Cole to start for NYY. Cole in fifteen starts an ERA of 2.99 and WHIP 1.01. The veteran registers 31.8% strikeouts with 6.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.4% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.

 

Aaron Civale to start for Cleveland. Civale in nine starts has an ERA of 7.20 with WHIP 1.60. He has a strikeout rate of 20.9% with 7% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.1% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.48 which could lead a significant drop in his ERA. Yankees four game win streak snapped in a 2-1 loss at Houston.

 

Guardians win three of five at home to Minnesota rallying in the final two innings for four runs. Civale has pitched better in his past three starts and backed by a good bullpen. Cole has pitched well against the Guardians in his career. Play New York and Cleveland under eight.

 

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Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 7/1/2022

Royals at Tigers—Brad Keller to start for KC. Keller in fourteen starts has an ERA of 4.56 with WHIP 1.34. The righthander pitches to high contact with 15.3% strikeout rate with 7.8% walks. Ground balls check in at 49.6% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.

 

Michael Pineda expected starter for the Tigers. Pineda in five starts posts an ERA of 3.22 with WHIP 1.07. He pitches to high contact with 13.6% strikeouts with 4.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.9% with 1.61 home runs per nine innings. He returns after missing over a month with a broken finger and has pitched 7 rehab innings in the minors.

 

Royals hit the road dropping two of three at home in series against the Rangers and Athletics. Tigers closed the back end of their road trip by taking three of five at Arizona and San Francisco. They are getting the better work from their bullpen. Play Detroit.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 7/1/2022

Orioles at Twins—Spenser Watkins to start for the Orioles. Watkins in nine starts an ERA of 5.14 with WHIP 1.63. The righty pitches to high contact with 11.2% strikeouts and 9.9% walks. Ground balls delivered at 40.3% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. He returns from a forearm injury.

 

Joe Ryan on the hill for Minnesota. Ryan in eleven starts carries an ERA of 3.20 with WHIP 1.12. The righthander is striking out 21.8% with 7% walks. Ground ball rate of 29.9% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.

 

Orioles opened this trip winning four of seven in Seattle and the White Sox. Twins dropped three of five at Cleveland. Orioles bullpen has been outstanding.

 

Ryan averages only 5 1/3rd innings in his starts and price to high on Minnesota to trust their bullpen for almost four innings of work. Play Baltimore +190.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 7/1/2022

Diamondbacks at Rockies—Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly in fifteen starts has an ERA of 3.64 with WHIP 1.30. The righthander pitches to 20.2% strikeouts with 8.5% walks. Ground balls served at 44% with limited home run damage.

 

Antonio Senzatela to start for Colorado. Senzatela in twelve starts carries an ERA of 4.66 with WHIP 1.78. The veteran pitches to high contact with 12.5% strikeouts and 5.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.3% with limited home runs allowed. A FIP of 3.66 indicating a drop in ERA if these numbers hold.

 

Arizona has dropped six of eight. Rockies take two of three at home to the Dodgers. Diamondbacks batting only .208 against righthanders and their bullpen an ERA of 5.02 on the road. Play Colorado -120.

LA Angels vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 7/1/2022

Angels at Astros—Michael Lorenzen to start for LAA. Lorenzen in twelve starts sports an ERA of 4.24 with WHIP 1.26. The righty records 18.2% strikeouts with 9.8% walks. He dishes 52.5% ground balls with limited homers.

 

Christian Javier to start for Houston. Javier in fourteen appearances has an ERA of 2.73 with WHIP 1.05. A strikeout mark of 31.8% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls are 23.9% with limited homers.

 

Angels hit the road after winning two of three at home two the White Sox after dropping series to the Mariners and Royals. Astros have won eight of ten after beating the Yankees 2-1 on Thursday. They have allowed one run or fewer in five of their past six. Play LAA and Houston under 8.5.

San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 7/1/2022

Padres at Dodgers—Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell in seven starts posts an ERA of 5.60 with WHIP 1.44. The lefty is striking out 24.4% with 12.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.9% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.78 indicating a drop in ERA with these numbers.

 

Tony Gonsolin to start for LAD. Gonsolin in fourteen starts has an ERA of 1.58 with WHIP 0.85. He deals 24.5% strikeouts with 8.2% walks. A ground ball rate of 43% with limited home run damage. His FIP is 3.37 pointing to a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.

 

Dodgers win the opener of this series 3-1 as they have won 11 of their past 12 against the Padres. Padres have lost four of five. Both bullpens have performed well. Play LA Dodgers and San Diego under 7.5.

Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 7/1/2022

Athletics at Mariners—James Kaprielian to start for Oakland. Kaprielian in eleven starts carries an ERA of 5.88 with WHIP 1.44. The righthander pitches to high contact with 15.8% strikeouts with 10.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.9% with 1.90 home runs per nine innings.

 

Marco Gonzales to start for Seattle. Gonzales in fifteen starts an ERA of 3.31 with WHIP 1.31. The lefty is striking out 13.5% with 8.9% walks. He deals 45.9% ground balls with 1.54 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.38 points to a significant rise in ERA with these numbers.

 

Athletics have lost eight of ten after their 8-6 defeat in the opener. Mariners have now won eight of ten. Oakland bullpen has performed poorly and Gonzales high contact a FIP a concern. Play Oakland and Seattle over eight.

Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 7/1/2022

White Sox at Giants—Lance Lynn the starter for San Francisco. Lynn in three starts has an ERA of 6.19 with WHIP 1.44 in 16 innings of work. A 23.3% strikeout rate in this short sample with 4.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 48% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.38 signaling a drop in ERA with these numbers.

 

Alex Cobb to start for San Francisco. Cobb in ten starts posts an ERA of 5.48 with WHIP 1.46. The veteran is striking out 26.5% with 7% walks. He delivers 62.3% ground balls with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.21 which signals a possible drop in ERA with these numbers.

 

White Sox open this road trip losing two of three at the Angels and have dropped six of eight overall. Giants on this home stand lose two of three to the Reds and split a two game series with the Tigers.

 

Run production an issue. In this home stand the Giants batting only 213 and this has been against Tigers and Reds pitching. San Francisco bullpen at home an ERA of 4.26. Play Chicago +130.

 

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