Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros 6/11/2022 Picks Predictions Previews

The Miami Marlins will go against the Houston Astros in MLB action in Minute Maid Park, TX, on Saturday, June 11, 2022, at 4:10 PM ET.

The Marlins had a dismal season overall, but they didn’t have any problems with the last-place Nationals this week, sweeping them 21-7 in 3 matches.

Jesus Sanchez had an RBI double in the first inning, then came around on Jon Berti’s two-run single in the fifth. Sanchez then hit a two-run homer to finish a big fifth inning for Miami.

Trevor Rogers pitched five innings, giving 2 earned runs on six hits while striking out 5 batters. Tanner Scott earned his third save of the season by pitching a spotless ninth inning. Miami’s offense was aided by Jazz Chisholm Jr., who went 2-4 with 2 runs scored.

The Marlins lost a lot of money on the money line this season, despite finishing 28-27 on the run line. The Marlins have a 28-26-1 over-under record, with four of their previous six games going above the total. With a collective OPS of.715, Miami’s offense is just around league average, averaging 4.41 runs per game.

The Marlins’ youthful pitching staff ranks eighth in baseball with a 3.47 ERA, but the bullpen struggled with a 4.18 ERA.

The total went OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 7 matches.
The Miami Marlins are 5-1 SU in their last 6 matches.
Miami is 12-5 SU in their last 17 matches against Houston.

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Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros Predictions 6/11/2022

The Astros are on their way to their sixth consecutive playoff berth, but they are coming off a rare series setback in which their superior pitching staff surrendered a total of 13 runs in two losses.

With an RBI single in the first and an RBI double in the third, Yordan Alvarez gave Houston two different leads in Wednesday’s finale, but the offense would go scoreless the rest of the night until Kyle Tucker’s run-scoring single later in the inning.

Jose Urquidy took the loss in 4.1 innings, giving 5 runs (4 earned) on 7 hits and four walks while striking out three batters. Alvarez paced the offense with three hits and two runs batted in, while Tucker reached base twice.

Houston is still up a nice bit on the money line this season, despite a run line record of 28-29. The Astros have a paltry 17-40 record when it comes to going over the betting total, albeit three of their previous four matches went over.

Despite a strong.718 team OPS, their offense fell far short of expectations, placing in the bottom ten with 4.11 runs per game. Houston’s pitching has more than made up for it, ranking third in baseball with a 3.01 ERA, including a 2.62 ERA from the top bullpen in the league.

The total went OVER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 matches.
The Houston Astros are 2-4 SU in their last 6 matches.
The total went OVER in 4 of Houston’s last 6 matches against Miami.

Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros. The MLB pick for this game is the Miami Marlins. While the Astros are the far superior club overall, the Marlins have a good enough pitching matchup to win at these odds.

Lopez was one of the finest pitchers in baseball this season, and the Marlins offense, based on its underlying metrics, should be able to score more shortly.

Although Houston’s pitchers were mainly impenetrable, Garcia only has a 102 FIP- on the season, indicating that his ERA may rise sooner rather than later. When Lopez is on the mound, the Marlins are a better all-around club than their overall records suggest. The Miami Marlins will win to a predicted score of 5-4.

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