Free MLB Picks For Today 5/15/2022
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 5/15/2022
Padres at Braves—Joe Musgrove to start for San Diego. Musgrove in six starts carries an ERA of 2.08 and WHIP 0.90. The righthander is producing 27.2% strikeout rate with good 2% walk rate. He has limited home run damage and getting 39.8% ground balls.
Kyle Wright to start for the Braves. Wright in six starts posts an ERA of 3.03 and WHIP 1.15. Huge improvement in strikeouts at 28.1% and walks at 7.5%. The righthander is getting 48.9% ground balls. Braves evened this series at 1-1 with their 6-5 win on Saturday. Play San Diego -102.
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 5/15/2022
Astros at Nationals—Justin Verlander to start for Houston. Verlander in six starts posts an ERA of 1.55 and WHIP 0.64. The veteran has seen his strikeouts go down to 25.4% with still great control. Velocity is at 94.6 MPH and ground balls up to 38.8%. Patrick Corbin the starter for the Nationals. Corbin in seven starts has an ERA of 6.06 and WHIP 1.74. The lefty has struggled with control at 10.9%.
Home runs are down and has a 19.9% strikeout rate. His FIP is at 3.37 which indicates a drastic lowering of his ERA should these numbers continue. Astros ten game win streak snapped n a 13-6 loss on Saturday. Astros hitting .198 against lefthanders. Play Houston and Washington under eight.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 5/15/2022
Reds at Pirates—Hunter Greene to start for the Reds. Greene in six starts has an ERA of 7.62 and WHIP 1.81. The righty a 27.6% strikeout rate but 11.8% walk and 3.81 home runs per nine innings. Fastball is at 98.4 MPH. Jose Quintana to start for the Pirates. Quintana in six starts has an ERA of 2.70 and WHIP 1.20.
Strikeouts are down to 20% with 10.4% walk rate. Velocity is down. Pirates two game losing streak snapped in their 3-1 win on Saturday. Reds bullpen has struggled on the year with an ERA of 5.05. Play Pittsburgh -135.
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 5/15/2022
Mariners at Mets—Robbie Ray to start for the Mariners. Ray in seven starts posts an ERA of 4.22 and WHIP 1.17. The lefty has seen his strikeouts plummet to 23.6% with 8.6% walk rate. He is allowing 1.27 home runs per nine innings. Velocity down over 2 MPH. Carlos Carrasco to start for the Mets. Carrasco in six starts posts an ERA of 3.19 and WHIP 1.01.
Strikeouts up at 22.6% and walks down at 4.1%. He has improved on home runs allowed at 0.74 per nine innings. Mets evened this series at 1-1 with their 5-4 win on Saturday. Prefer the New York hitting lineup here. Play Mets -134.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 5/15/2022
Brewers at Marlins—Brandon Woodruff to start for Milwaukee. Woodruff in six starts posts an ERA of 5.97 with WHIP 1.36. The righthander still has a good strikeout rate of 29.4% and 40% ground balls. But walk rate up to 7.9%, home run to fly ball at 1.26 and velocity down. His FIP is 3.62 which signals a drop in ERA if these numbers remain.
Elieser Hernandez to start for Miami. Hernandez in six starts has an ERA of 6.37 with WHIP 1.42. The righty has seen his strikeouts and ground ball rate drop. Walk rate up to 6.8% with a poor home run to fly ball of 2.43. Brewers have dropped five of seven with their 9-3 defeat on Saturday. Marlins bullpen has performed well on the year. Play Miami +136.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 5/15/2022
Orioles at Tigers—Tyler Wells the starter for Baltimore. Wells in six starts carries an ERA of 3.75 and WHIP 1.13. Strikeouts have dipped to 17.3% with 4.1% walk rate. Ground balls way up and line drive contact way down. Tarik Skubal to start for the Tigers. Skubal in six starts posts an ERA of 2.94 and WHIP 1.13.
The lefty a strikeout rate of 25% with improved control and ground ball rate. His home run per nine innings down to 0.53 as they were over two the past two seasons. Tigers have won both games in this series with their 3-0 win on Saturday. Both bullpen have performed well on the year. Play Detroit and Baltimore under 7.5.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 5/15/2022
Blue Jays at Rays—Alek Manoah the starter for Toronto. Manoah in six starts has an ERA of 1.75 and WHIP 0.89. The righthander has 25% strikeouts with 6.4% walks. He limits home run damage and swinging strike is 13.2%. Corey Kluber throws for the Rays. Kluber in six starts has an ERA of 4.55 and WHIP 1.31.
Strikeouts are down to 21.6% with good control. Velocity is down 1.6 MPH and surrendering 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Toronto broke their five game losing streak with their 5-1 win on Saturday. Play Toronto -130.
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/15/2022
Yankees at White Sox—Nestor Cortes to start for New York Cortes in six starts has an ERA of 1.41 with WHIP 0.97. The lefty has a 33.9% strikeout rate but walks at 8.9%. He has limited home run damage and swinging strike rate of 11.2%. Michael Kopech to throw for the White Sox. Kopech in six starts has an ERA of 0.93 and WHIP 0.97.
Strikeouts sit at 26.3% with no homers allowed. Walk rate high at 11.4%. FIP of 2.51 indicates a rise in ERA with these numbers. Yankees five game win streak snapped in a 3-2 loss on Saturday. New York has the better bullpen. Chicago does hit lefthanders but not at the rate they did in previous seasons. Play Yankees -120.
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 5/15/2022
Guardians at Twins—Triston McKenzie to start for Cleveland. McKenzie in six appearances posts an ERA of 2.76 and WHIP 1.02. The righthander a 26.1% strikeout rate and has improved on his walks. Home runs allowed improved to 0.31 per nine innings.
Joe Ryan to start for the Twins. Ryan in six starts has an ERA of 2.56 and WHIP 1.01. The righthander has a 24.4% strikeout rate but walks sit at 9.4%. He has improved velocity and home runs down. Guardians evened this series at 1-1 with their 3-2 win on Saturday. Each bullpen has performed on the year. Play Cleveland and Minnesota under 7.5.
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 5/15/2022
Royals at Rockies—Daniel Lynch to start for KC. Lynch in five starts carries an ERA of 4.01 and WHIP 1.30. The lefty has seen improvement on strikeouts at 23.4% and walks which sit at 8.4%. Home runs an issue with 1.46 per nine innings. Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber in six starts has an ERA of 4.36 with WHIP 1.24. The lefthander has a strikeout rate of 21.8% with 7.5% walks.
Ground balls improved to 49.5% and limits home runs. Rockies evened this series with their 10-4 win on Saturday. Both bullpens have been roughed up. Warm weather in Colorado and the over has hit in both games this series with the teams combining for 38 runs. Play KC and Colorado over 11.
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 5/15/2022
Red Sox at Rangers—Tanner Houck is listed as primary pitcher. The righthander in seven appearances carries an ERA of 5.70 with WHIP 1.39. Houck has seen a major drop in strikeout rate and walk rate 10.9%. He does limit home run damage and FIP is 3.51 which signals a reduced ERA should these numbers hold.
Martin Perez is the starter for the Rangers. Perez in six starts has an ERA of 2.10 with WHIP 0.99. The veteran posts a strikeout rate of 19.4% with 53.6% ground balls. The lefty has now allowed a home run. Red Sox have taken both games in this series after their 11-3 win on Saturday. Their hitting has clicked on this road trip. Play Boston +110.
LA Angels vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 5/15/2022
Angels at Athletics—Patrick Sandoval to pitch for LAA. Sandoval in five starts has an ERA of 2.03 with WHIP 1.27. The lefthander strikes out 24.1% but walks are up to 10.7%. He has not allowed a home run. Frankie Montas the starter for Oakland. Montas in seven starts carries an ERA of 3.77 and WHIP 1.02.
The righthander a strikeout rate of 24% and walks 7%. Ground balls up to 49.6% and limits home run damage. Angels have won two of three in this series after their 9-1 win on Saturday. Prefer their hitting lineup and the bullpen has improved. Play LA Angels -130.
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 5/15/2022
Cubs at Diamondbacks—Justin Steele the starter for Chicago. Steele in six starts has an ERA of 5.32 and WHIP 1.77. The lefthander pitches to high contact with 18.3% strikeouts and poor control with 12.5% walk rate. Home run damage is minimal. Humberto Castellanos the starter for the Diamondbacks.
In seven starts Castellanos posts an ERA of 4.32 with WHIP 1.20. The righthander has a 15.4% strikeout rate and 6.7% walks. He allows only 35.1% ground ball but limits home run damage.
Cubs evened this series at 1-1 with their 4-2 win on Saturday. Diamondbacks have played well on this home stand. Past ten games they are batting .292 against lefthanders and Cubs only .184 against righty’s. Play Arizona -120.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 5/15/2022
Phillies at Dodgers—Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola in seven starts has an ERA of 3.83 with WHIP 1.00. The veteran has a 29.6% strikeout rate with good control and ground ball rate. He does allow 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Grove expected to make his MLB debut on Sunday. The righthander in five Double A starts this season allowed five earned runs with 22 strikeouts in 16 1/3rd innings.
Weather has warmed up in LA and there have been three high scoring games in this series. Each bullpen has been hammered in these three games. Play LAD and Philadelphia over eight runs.
San Francisco Giants vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 5/15/2022
Giants at Cardinals—Carlos Rodon the starter for the Giants. The lefthander in six starts has an ERA of 1.80 with WHIP 0.91. Rodon an elite strikeout rate of 39.3% with 8.9% walks. He has not allowed a home run. His FIP is 1.21 which suggests an even lower ERA if these numbers hold up. Adam Wainwright to start for St Louis. Wainwright has started six games posting an ERA of 3.18 and WHIP 1.29. He posts a strikeout rate of 20% but walks are at 9.3%.
A 57.6% ground ball rate and limits home runs. Wainwright returns off a positive COVID test last week. Cardinals evened this series with their 4-0 win on Saturday. Wainwright in his starts at home an ERA of 2.25 and WHIP 1.17. His numbers have been solid at home the past three seasons. Both bullpens have pitched well. Play St Louis and San Francisco under seven.
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