Free MLB Picks For Today 5/10/2022
Detroit Tigers vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2022
Tigers at Athletics—Teams play a doubleheader on Tuesday so we will look at Game 1. Tarik Skubal to get the start for Detroit. The lefty in five starts carries an ERA of 3.04 and WHIP 1.16. Skubal has a 26.1% strikeout rate with good control. He is improved on limiting home run damage and has a 49.4% ground ball rate.
Frankie Montas to start for Oakland. Montas in six starts carries an ERA of 3.44 and WHIP 0.93. The righthander has a good strikeout rate of 25.9% with velocity at 95.6 MPH. He limits home run damage and has a 44.8% ground ball rate.
Tigers have lost five straight after their 2-0 loss on Monday. This broke a nine game losing streak for Oakland. Athletics batting .208 against lefty’s and Tigers .203 against righthanders. Both bullpens in good form. Play Oakland and Detroit under 6.5 runs.
LA Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2022
Tony Gonsolin to start for LAD. Gonsolin has five starts and carries an ERA of 1.64 and WHIP 1.09. The righty has seen his strikeout rate fall to 20% with a 10% walk rate. He does limit home runs and carries a 48.4% ground ball rate.
Bryse Wilson to start for Pittsburgh. Wilson has worked five games and has an ERA of 3.79 and WHIP 1.26. The righthander has seen his strikeout rate rise but has an 11% walk rate.
Ground balls are up to now 44.6%. Dodgers six game win streak snapped in a 5-1 defeat in the opener. In each of the Dodgers 19 wins they have covered the run line. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at -130.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2022
Brewers at Reds—Freddy Peralta to start for the Brewers. Peralta in five starts carries an ERA of 5.09 and WHIP 1.35. The righthander has a 29.7% strikeout rate but walks still an issue at 9.9%. Home runs allowed down and ground ball rate up to 45%.
Hunter Green the starter for Cincinnati. Green in five starts carries an ERA of 8.71 and WHIP 1.89. The righthander has a 28.2% strikeout rate but walks high at 10.7% with a low ground ball rate at 25.8%. He has been crushed by the home run ball with 4.35 per nine innings.
Brewers have lost three straight with their 10-5 defeat in the opener. Reds have won three of four. Play Cincinnati and Milwaukee over 8.5 runs.
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2022
Mets at Nationals—Carlos Carrasco to start for New York. Carrasco in five starts carries an ERA of 3.30 and WHIP 1.00. Strikeout rate at 23.1% and good control as well with 5% walks. He is getting 42.9% ground balls and limits home run damage.
Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in six starts posts and ERA of 7.16 and WHIP 1.81. Walk rate high at 9.6% with 19% strikeouts. Velocity is down and line drive contact high at 23.7%.
Mets opened this trip taking two of three in Philadelphia. Nationals return home going four of five on their nine game trip to the West. Nationals bullpen has struggled. Play New York.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2022
Blue Jays at Yankees—Yusei Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi in five starts carries an ERA of 4.35 and WHIP 1.55. The lefthander has a 21.5% strikeout rate but has been hurt by poor control with 15.1% walk rate. He is allowing 1.74 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Severino the starter for the Yankees. Severino in five starts carries an ERA of 3.75 with WHIP 1.29. Strikeout rate is down at 22.3% with 47.9% ground balls.
Blue Jays have lost five of seven struggling to score runs. Yankees have won eight of ten. Their bullpen has been outstanding and outperforming the Blue Jays. Play New York Yankees -150.
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2022
Red Sox at Braves—Garrett Whitlock to start for the Red Sox. In seven appearances Whitlock carries an ERA of 1.25 and WHIP 0.69 in 21 2/3rd innings. Whitlock a strikeout rate of 35.8% with good control. Ground ball rate 43.8% and limits home run damage. Fastball clocked at 95.4%. Kyle Wright to start for Atlanta.
Wright in five starts posts an ERA of 1.74 with WHIP of 0.97. The righthander an increase in strikeout rate to 30.6% with 53.4% ground ball rate. Just 0.29 home runs per nine innings.
Red Sox have lost seven of eight. They have been held to two runs or fewer in four straight. Braves win two of three at home to Milwaukee. Red Sox bullpen struggling with an ERA of 4.19. Play Atlanta -130.
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2022
Astros at Twins—Justin Verlander to start for Houston. Verlander in five starts carries an ERA of 1.93 and WHIP 0.70. The veteran still an elite strikeout rate of 26.3% with walk rate 3.4%. Velocity at 94.5 MPH. Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan in five starts carries an ERA of 1.63 with WHIP 0.83. Strikeouts strong at 26.4% with good control.
The righthander does limit home run damage and gets 36.4% ground balls. Astros have won seven straight with a 5-0 win at home to Detroit on Sunday. They have gone under in eight of nine.
Twins have won seven of nine sweeping Oakland in a three game series allowing a total of four runs. Both bullpens in great form. Play Houston and Minnesota under 6.5.
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Baltimore Orioles vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2022
Orioles at Cardinals—Kyle Bradish to start for the Orioles. Bradish in two starts has allowed six earned runs in 10 innings. He opened the season in Triple A allowing two earned runs in 15 innings of work with seventeen strikeouts.
With this short sample in the Majors Bradish is pitching to high contact with 1.80 home runs per nine innings. Angel Rondon the starter for the Cardinals.
Rondon makes his first start of the season after working eight games in Triple A where he posted an ERA of 3.24 and WHIP 1.48. 12 walks allowed. He worked two innings in the Majors in his career all last season.
Orioles have won six of ten after taking two of three at home to KC. Cardinals return home after splitting four in San Francisco. Orioles bullpen has struggled on the road with an ERA near five. Play St Louis.
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers– MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2022
Royals at Rangers—Brad Keller to start for the Royals. Keller in five starts carries an ERA of 1.74 and WHIP 0.84. The righthander pitches to high contact and has a walk rate of 7.1%. He does allow 51.1% ground balls and limits home runs.
Martin Perez to throw for Texas. Perez in five starts posts an ERA of 2.25 with WHIP 1.04. The lefty has an 18.3% strikeout rate and getting 53.8% ground balls. He has not allowed a home run.
Royals have lost six of eight dropping two of three in Baltimore. Texas returns home winning three of five. Rangers batting only .206 against righthanders. Play Kansas City and Texas under 8.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2022
Guardians at White Sox—Cal Quantrill to start for Cleveland. Quantrill in five starts posts an ERA of 3.54 and WHIP 1.21. He pitches to high contact with a walk rate of 13% and line drive rate 23.8%. He has limited home run damage.
Lucas Giolito to start for Chicago. Giolito in four starts has allowed seven earned runs in 19 2/3rd innings. Guardians have won eight of nine after a 12-9 win in extra innings in the opener.
White Sox had their six game win streak snapped. Guardians batting .272 against righthanders and getting good work from their pen. White Sox hit only .210 against righthanders. Play Cleveland +160.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2022
Rays at Angels—Corey Kluber the starter for Tampa Bay. Kluber in five starts posts an ERA of 2.36 and WHIP 1.05. The righthander a 23.8% strikeout rate with good control and 43.8% ground balls. He does limit home run damage.
Reid Detmers to start for the Angels. Detmers in five starts carries an ERA of 5.32 and WHIP 1.14. The 22 year old lefty has a 19.8% strikeout rate with 7.7% walks. He has been hurt by the home run in his career.
Only 61.4% left on base rate. Rays have lost two straight dropping an 11-3 decision in the opener. Angels have won five of six. Tough to back Detmers and Rays do hit lefthanders. Play Tampa Bay -116.
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2022
Cubs at Padres—Wade Miley expected to start for Chicago. Miley makes his 2022 debut after an elbow injury. He has worked four minor league innings. The lefthander worked 163 innings for the Reds last season and posted an ERA of 3.37 and WHIP 1.33.
Mike Clevinger starting for the Padres. Clevinger in his first start allowed three earned runs in 4 2/3rd innings. Nine starts since 2019. Cubs had lost eight of nine prior to their 6-0 win in the opener. San Diego bullpen an ERA of 4.22 and they bat only .216. Play Chicago +130.
Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2022
Marlins at Diamondbacks—Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. The lefthander in in five starts has an ERA of 3.08 and WHIP 1.06. Luzardo a strikeout rate of 33.3% but walk rate of 11.4%. He does limit home run damage and has a ground ball rate of 39.7%.
Madison Bumgarner the starter for Arizona. Bumgarner in six starts posts an ERA of 1.50 with WHIP 1.13. Bumgarner a strikeout rate of 15.3% and walk rate 11.2% He does have a 37.1% ground ball rate. A FIP of 4.82 reveals a dramatic rise in his ERA if current numbers remain the same.
Arizona has won eight of ten with their 4-3 win in the opener. Marlins have lost eight of nine. Miami bats only .211 against lefthanders and Arizona .185. Play Miami and Arizona under 8.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2022
Phillies at Mariners—Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola in six starts posts an ERA of 3.38 and WHIP 0.87. The righthander a strikeout rate of 31.1% with 4.5% walk rate. He is giving up 51.9% ground balls but has a 1.54 home run per nine innings rate.
Mariners go with Robbie Ray. The lefty in six starts posts an ERA of 4.38 and WHIP 1.24. He strike rate has plummeted to 20.3% with 8.5% walk rate. Velocity has dropped nearly 2 MPH. Philadelphia wins the opener of this series 9-0. Mariners have lost seven of eight struggling to score. Play Philadelphia -118.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2022
Rockies at Giants—Antonio Senzatela to start for Colorado. Senzatela in five starts posts an ERA of 3.74 and WHIP 1.88. Strikeouts have plummeted to 6.4% with good control. Line drive contact high at 32.3%. Velocity has dipped. Alex Wood the starter for San Francisco. Wood in five starts has an ERA of 4.38 and WHIP 1.30.
Strikeout rate is 25% with good ground ball at 46.4%. But a line drive rate of 29% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings. Rockies have lost three of four on this trip with their 8-5 defeat in the opener.
Giants have won three straight. Both bullpens struggling. Rockies batting .325 against lefthanders on the road. Play Colorado and San Francisco over seven runs.
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