Free NFL Picks For Today 10/17/2021
Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Pick Prediction 10/17/2021
Dolphins at Jaguars—NFL pick is Jacksonville Jaguars +3. Jacksonville a desperate 0-5 team. They are outgaining the Dolphins offensively on the season moving the football for 348 yards with 5.3 yards per rush. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence showing improvement with 8.3 yards per pass attempt against the Bengals and 8.5 per attempt last week against the Titans. Dolphins offense has been stagnant moving the ball for only 261 yards with 3.7 per attempt. Tua Tagovailoa is expected back from his rib injury is completing 54.8% of his passes on the year. Dolphins pass defense has struggled this year allowing 288 passing yards 67.5% completion rate and 7.6 per attempt. They have been poor getting off the field on third down with 57.1% conversion rate. On offense Miami poor converting third downs. Play Jacksonville +3.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Carolina Panthers Pick Prediction 10/17/2021
Vikings at Panthers—NFL free pick is Carolina Panthers +2.5. Minnesota defense has not been good on the road as this unit is allowing 420 yards with 294 passing 77.8% completion rate and 9.3 yards per pass attempt. Panthers have defended well at home holding opponents to 217 yards, 3.3 per rush, 4.9 per pass attempt and 27% opponents third down conversion rate. They average four sacks a game at home. Quarterback Sam Darnold completing 65.6% of his throws with 7.5 per attempt. Running back Chubba Hubbard has shown improvement past three games averaging over four yards a carry each game. Play Carolina +2.5.
Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears Pick Prediction 10/17/2021
Packers at Bears—Free pick is Chicago Bears +6. Chicago has won three of four after a good defensive performance in a 20-9 win at the Raiders. Chicago is holding teams to 332 yards per game with 3.9 per rush and 7.1 per pass attempt. They put good pressure on opposing quarterbacks with 3.6 sacks a game. Packers starting corner King out with an injury. Back to back road games for Green Bay. Green Bay defensively has struggled to get off the field on third down. Bears offense has performed better in their home stadium. Wil take home divisional dog here. Play Chicago +6.
Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts Pick Prediction 10/17/2021
Texans at Colts—NFL pick is Houston Texas +10. Houston showed improvement in a loss at home to New England as the team moved the ball for 360 yards. Davis Mills 21 of 29 on a Bill Belichick defense for 312 yards and three touchdowns. Short week for Indianapolis after a blown sixteen point fourth quarter lead in a 31-25 overtime defeat at Baltimore. Colts have lost four of five and laying double digits. Indianapolis is giving up 369 yards defensively with 260 passing, 73.2% conversion rate and 8.5 yards per pass attempt. Play Houston +10.
LA Rams vs. New York Giants Pick Prediction 10/17/2021
Rams at Giants—NFL free pick is New York Giants +8. Daniel Jones cleared concussion protocol and will play. Jones completing 64.3% of his throws for 8.2 yards per pass attempt for a New York passing game that averages 284 yards per game. Rams have a below average defense surrendering 388 yards with 271 passing and 70% completion rate. Rams defense not good on third down allowing 48.3% conversions. Play NY Giants +8.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Washington Football Team Pick Prediction 10/17/2021
Chiefs at Washington—Free pick is Kansas City Chiefs -6.5. Chiefs have lost to quality teams in the Bills, Chargers and Ravens. This is a strong offensive team that puts up 420 yards 5.1 yards per rush and 292 in the passing game. Patrick Mahomes is completing 69.2% of his throws for a passing attack that averages 7.5 per attempt. Washington is not playing well defensively. They are surrendering 293 yards through the air with 7.5 per attempt. Football team below average in sacks and very poor getting off the field on third down allowing 56.2% conversion rate. You can’t make stops on third down and KC will make you pay. Taylor Heinicke is a backup quarterback starting and has throw five picks. Football Team wont be able to match the Chiefs scoring. Play KC -6.5.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Detroit Lions Pick Prediction 10/17/2021
Bengals at Lions—NFL pick is Detroit Lions +3.5. Lions a desperate 0-5 team with heat breaking losses to the Vikings and Ravens. Lions have showed improvement defensively in their past three games by allowing 22.6% conversion rate and 20.7 points per game. In that period Bengals defense as slid downward by allowing 383 yards 4.7 yards per rush and 277 passing yards and 68% completion rate. Quarterback Jared Goff completing 66.8% of his throws and is getting 4.3 yards per rush contributions from his run game. Joe Burrow was hospitalized this week with a throat injury. Play Detroit +3.5.
LA Chargers vs. Baltimore Ravens Pick Prediction 10/17/2021
Chargers at Ravens—NFL free pick is LA Chargers +3. Short week for Baltimore after their overtime win at home to Indianapolis. Issue for the Ravens has been their pass defense as they surrender 296 yards for 7.8 yards per pass attempt. Chargers have won five of six. This is a passing offense averaging 303 yards per game. Quarterback Justin Herbert completing 67.1% of his throws for 7.6 yards per pass attempt. Wide receiver Mike Williams expected back so LAC healthy on offense. Ravens secondary banged up and without Sammy Watkins along with left tackle Ronnie Stanley. Play LA Chargers +3.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Cleveland Browns Pick Prediction 10/17/2021
Cardinals at Browns—Free pick is Arizona Cardinals +5. Arizona will be without their head coach but the Browns have eight starters either questionable or out for this game. Browns defense was lit up by the Chargers last week for 493 yards and 381 in the passing game. Arizona is passing for 285 yards. Kyler Murray is completing 75.2% with 9.2 yards per pass attempt. Defensively Cardinals have been good getting off the field on third down allowing 31.6% conversions. Browns faced a good passing attack in KC and lost surrendering 33 points and 517 yards. Their wins have come to the Texans, Bears and Vikings. Play Arizona +3.5.
Dallas Cowboys vs. New England Patriots Pick Prediction 10/17/2021
Cowboys at Patriots—NFL pick is Dallas Cowboys -3.5. Dallas offense playing well as the team is putting up 439 yards per game with 5.3 yards per rush. Quarterback Dak Prescott completing 74% of his throws for a passing attack that averages 266 yards and eight yards per attempt. Patriots offense only generating 319 yards with 3.7 per attempt. Rookie quarterback Mac Jones is averaging 6.5 yards per pass attempt with his team posting 19.2 points a game. New England has lost all three home games scoring no greater than 17 points. Play Dallas -3.5.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos Pick Prediction 10/17/2021
Raiders at Broncos—NFL free pick is Las Vegas Raiders +4. Both teams have lost two straight. Denver’s wins came against the Giants, Jaguars and Jets. When they stepped up in class it resulted in losses by 16 at home to Baltimore and last week an eight point loss at Pittsburgh. Raiders passing game has been good on the campaign with 298 yards per game. Derek Carr completing 63.9% of his throws for 7.8 yards per attempt. Broncos have been poor converting third downs offensively with 28.6% conversions and there has been struggles in the red zone. Play Las Vegas +4.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Pick Prediction 10/17/2021
Seahawks at Steelers—Free pick is Pittsburgh Steelers -5. Russell Wilson dealing with a finger injury so backup Geno Smith gets the start. Smith could not hold starting jobs with the Jets. He is completing 57.9% of his passes in his career with 6.8 yards per attempt. Seahawks are below average on third down this year. Seahawks defense has been poor surrendering 450 yards with 305 yards passing with 7.9 yards per pass attempt. Steelers coming off a home win to Denver by eight being 391 yards of offense. Steelers is game planning for Smith this week. Play Pittsburgh -5.