Free MLB Picks For Today 4/5/2021
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Pick Prediction 4/5/2021
Twins at Tigers—MLB pick is Minnesota Twins -142 odds. Matt Shoemaker takes the hill for the Twins. He did pitch well down the stretch last year with good command. There is a good hitting lineup behind him that pushed across eight runs on Sunday as they take two of three at Milwaukee. Jose Urena throws for the Tigers. He struggled with walks in the spring. Urena had a rough close to the 2020 campaign. IN 2020 Urena had a 12.5% walk rate and all he could get in free agency was a one year deal. Play Twins -142.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers Pick Prediction 4/5/2021
Blue Jays at Rangers—MLB free pick is Toronto Blue Jays and Texas Rangers to play over the total of 9.5 runs. On the mound for Toronto will be Steven Matz. He was crushed in 2020 as teams batted .318 with a home run to fly ball rate of 37.8%. Mike Foltynewicz returns to the Majors after getting demoted to the Braves minor leagues. The righthander was crushed in his final spring tune up for six runs over six innings. Rangers bats produced 21 runs in their three game series while their pitching staff allowed 28. Blue Jays batters a huge step down in class facing Texas pitching instead of Yankees to open the season. Play Toronto and Texas over 9.5 runs.
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Pick Prediction 4/5/2021
Braves at Nationals—Free pick is Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals to play under the total of eight runs. On the hill for the Braves is Drew Smyly. The lefty saw his strikeout rate climb to 37.8% last year with teams batting only .198 on him. Max Scherzer counters for the Nationals. He has had a strikeout rate of over 30% in six straight seasons. He is pitching to a cold Braves hitting lineup scoring three runs total at Philadelphia and allowing three runs per game in that series. Play Braves and Nationals under eight.
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Indians Pick Prediction 4/5/2021
Royals at Indians—MLB pick is Kansas City Royals -105 odds. Danny Duffy gets the start and is in his contract year. The lefty has pitched well against the Indians the past two seasons. Cleveland offense didn’t show much scoring two runs in two of the three games in their series at Detroit where they dropped two of the three. KC offense produced 28 runs in the three games to Texas. Logan Allen is on the hill for the Indians. Cleveland lost a lot of their front end starters and now into the weaker part of their rotation. In his limited time in MLB, Allen pitched to high contact and a walk rate of 14.3%. With the Padres and Indians in 2019 he had a walk rate of 10.3% with teams hitting .333 against him. Play KC -105.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Pick Prediction 4/5/2021
Orioles at Yankees—MLB free pick is Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees to play over the total of 9.5 runs. The over has come in 21 of their past 29 head to head as the Yankees have feasted on Orioles pitching. Jordan Montgomery gets the start for the Yankees. He has struggled the past two seasons with an ERA approaching seven in 2019 and 5.11 last season. Jorge Lopez throws for the Orioles. He has had struggles facing the Yankees giving up nine earned runs in 13 innings. Baltimore pushed across 18 runs in their three game sweep of Boston. Yankees take a step down in class facing the Orioles staff. Play Baltimore and New York over 9.5.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins Pick Prediction 4/5/2021
Cardinals at Marlins—Free pick is Miami Marlins -109 odds. On the mound for the Cardinals will be Daniel Ponce de Leon. The righthander struggled with control in the spring. Walks have been a major issue for de Leon during his MLB career and in the minors. Trev Rogers goes for the Marlins. A strikeout pitching in the minors and Majors as he finished at 30% last year. St Louis pitching staff crushed by the Reds over the weekend giving up a total of 27 runs. Play Miami -109.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick Prediction 4/5/2021
Pirates at Reds—MLB pick is Cincinnati Reds -137 odds. Jose De Leon throws for the Reds. He posted a lot of strikeouts in the spring. A strikeout pitching in every stop in baseball. Reds hitters hot scoring 27 runs in their three game series with the Cardinals. JT Brubaker goes for the Pirates. He had an ERA near five in 2020. In the spring the righthander struggled with hard contact and the home run ball. Pirates struggled at the plate in the final two games at Wrigley averaging two runs per game. Play Reds -137 odds.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Tigers Pick Prediction 4/5/2021
Mets at Phillies—MLB free pick is Philadelphia Phillies +190. On the hill for the Phillies will be Matt Moore. The lefthander return to MLB after a stint in Japan. Moore pitched well in the spring to land a rotation spot. Jacob deGrom counters for the Mets. Phillies have seen a lot of deGrom over the years and in 2020 pushed across four runs in nine innings against him. Mets have been off along time as they make their season debut. Phillies off to a 3-0 starts as their pitching staff holds Atlanta to three runs in their three game series. Play Philadelphia +190.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Pick Prediction 4/5/2021
Rays at Red Sox—MLB free pick is Tampa Bay Rays -113 odds. Michael Wacha starts for the Rays. Veteran had a good spring. With the Mets last year the righthander saw his strikeout rate increased to 23.7% and lowed his walks. Nick Pivetta counters for the Red Sox. He has struggled in MLB in his time with the Phillies with high walk rate and ERA. In free agency he earned only a $600,000 contract for one year. Red Sox 0-3 after getting swept by Baltimore pushing across only five runs total and allowing 18. Red Sox bats cold. Play Tampa Bay -113.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Pick Prediction 4/5/2021
Brewers at Cubs—Free pick is Milwaukee Brewers +100 odds. Getting the start for the Brewers will be Brett Anderson. The lefthander put up good numbers in his final ten starts. Trevor Williams counters for Chicago. He has been pounded the past two seasons with the Pirates and finished with an ERA over six last year. He pitches to high contact and teams batted .291 on his last year. In his past three starts against the Brewers, Williams allowed 13 earned runs in fourteen innings. Play Brewers +100.
Houston Astros vs. LA Angels Pick Prediction 4/5/2021
Astros at Angels—MLB pick is Houston Astros +108 odds. Houston will go with Luis Garcia on Monday. The righthander got called up last year and pitched well with an ERA of under three. He had a high strikeout rate in the minors. Jose Quintana counters for the Angels. The veteran was pounded in his final spring start surrendering six runs in five innings against the Dodgers. He has had ERA’s over four the past four seasons and was hurt by the home run ball last year. Astros are scorching hot sweeping Oakland in a four game series scoring 8 runs or greater in each win. Houston pitching staff allowed a total of nine runs in the four games. Play Houston +108.
LA Dodgers vs. Oakland Athletics Pick Prediction 4/5/2021
Dodgers at Athletics—MLB free pick is LA Dodgers and Oakland Athletics to play under the total of nine runs. Dustin May gets the start for the Dodgers. May was strong in the spring with an ERA of 2.57 as teams hit only .217 on him. Frankie Montas counters for the Athletics. He worked on his splitter this spring and looking for strong year that mirrored his 2019 campaign with an ERA of 2.63. Montas had a strikeout rate of 25.3% last year. Athletics offense cold in their four game series with the Astros. Play LAD and Oakland under 9.
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Pick Prediction 4/5/2021
Giants at Padres—Free pick is San Diego Padres on the run line -1.5 runs at +110 odds. Padres send Adrian Morejon to the hill on Monday. Lefty showed well in the spring. Last year Morejon had a strike out rate of 31.6% and his walks were down. Anthony DeSclafani is on the mound for the Giants. In a free agent year the righthander ended the 2020 campaign with the Reds with a 7.22 ERA. His strikeout rate crashed down to 15.8% and had a walk rate of 10.1%. Team batted .295 on him. Giants lost two of three in Seattle giving up 17 runs in the three game series. Bullpen had struggles. Play Padres on the run line -1.5 runs at +110 odds.
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Pick Prediction 4/5/2021
White Sox at Mariners—MLB pick is Seattle Mariners +111 odds. Carlos Rodon goes for the White Sox. He has had struggled the past two seasons with high ERA. Control has been a major issue in his career with 10% or greater in four of his six seasons. Teams hit .290 on him in 2020. Justus Sheffield goes for Seattle. He pitched well down the stretch allowing two earned runs or fewer in seven of his final eight starts. The lefty had a strong spring. His home run to fly ball rate was only 4.4% in 2020. Mariners open the season winning two of three at home to San Francisco. White Sox did show some struggles at the plate against the Angels in their four game series. Play Seattle +111.