Free NFL Picks For Today 10/15/2019
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos Pick Prediction 10/17/2019
Chiefs at Broncos—NFL pick is Denver Broncos +3.5. Denver showing improvement as the team has back to back wins after their shutout win to Tennessee. Broncos has allowed 13 points total their past two games. Team had nine sacks last week in their 16-0 win at home to Tennessee. Broncos remain home for this divisional spot. Chiefs on a two game losing streak with back to back home losses to the Colts and Texans. They have failed to cover three straight and with their leaky defense are candidates to allow late backdoor touchdowns. Chiefs defense has not played well surrendering 406 yards per game. KC only 36 rushing yards on the Colts and 53 against the Texans. Six turnovers past three games. Chiefs have allowed 180 rushing yards or greater in four straight games. Denver has forced six turnovers on defense past two games and are stopping the run. This unit is also third best in red zone. KC offense bottom third in league in red zone. Broncos run game can exploit the Chiefs rush defense and Joe Flacco is effective when play action works. Play Denver +3.5.
Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts Pick Prediction 10/20/2019
Texans at Colts—Free pick is Houston Texans at a pick. Texans have covered all their road games and coming off an outright road win at the Kansas City Chiefs. Houston offense number one in the NFL on third down and red zone. They have even converted four of five on fourth down. Colts defense 25th on third down and 29th in the red zone. Deshaun Watson is accurate completing 69.7% of his throws with 12 touchdowns and 3 picks. The duo of Carlos Hyde and Duke Johnson and doing great job for the Texans ground game that has generated 358 yards the past two games. Colts offense has been up and down. They have been held to 19 points in two of their past four games including their win at Kansas City. Their last home game resulted in a loss to Oakland by seven giving up 31 points. At home Colts defense allowing 77% completion rate. Play Houston Texans at pick.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Seattle Seahawks Pick Prediction 10/20/2019
Ravens at Seahawks—NFL Pick is Seattle Seahawks -3.5. Seattle withstood a strong challenge by a Browns team look to rebound from an embarrassing loss to San Francisco on Monday night. Once a ground and pound team the Seahawks have now adjusted to running and throwing an equal time to success. Russell Wilson is completing 72.5% of his passes for 269 yards. He has 14 touchdowns and no picks. They still rush for 131 a game so that is 399 yards offensively per game. Their offense is third best in the red zone and the defense seventh defending third down. Baltimore has failed to cover four of five. On the road Baltimore has a loss at KC by five and needed overtime to beat a Pittsburgh team who had to use a third string quarterback for an injured Mason Rudolph. Chiefs were the best offense the Ravens have faced and gave up 33 on the road. Seattle has a better defense than KC. They allowed 363 passing yards to the Chiefs, 329 to the Cardinals and 337 to the Browns. Those are the teams on the schedule to a decent quarterback play. Play Seattle -3.5.
New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears Pick Prediction 10/20/2019
Saints at Bears—NFL free pick is New Orleans Saints +3. Saints have looked sharp on defense. They are holding teams to 18 points and 273 yards per game on the road. They have held their past three opponents to 257 yards or fewer. Jaguars only 226 yards of offense on the Seahawks defense. Teddy Bridgewater managing the team well with a 69.4% completion rate with seven touchdowns and two picks. Alvin Kamara provides good running with good receiving talent. Saints near the top third in the league on third down. Mitchell Trubisky returned to practice and the team released backup Tyler Bray so it looks like he will be ready. He is only averaging 5.5 yards per attempt and is erratic passer. He rarely hits receivers in stride which impacts the Bears ability to make big plays. Chicago run game has been poor just 3.3 yards per attempt. Down and distance situations lead to poor third down conversion and the Bears sit in the lower third of the league. Saints have covered ten of fifteen against the Bears. Play New Orleans +3.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys Pick Prediction 10/20/2019
Eagles at Cowboys—Free pick is Dallas Cowboys -3. Dallas has been good against the division. Dallas defense has held up despite struggles by the offense of late. At home Dallas is moving the football for 511 yards. In all games the Dallas defense holds teams to 331 yards. Eagles have not performed well on the road by allowing nearly 30 points and 435 yards per game. Dallas 12-2 straight up and against the spread against the NFC East. Jets, Packers and Saints have better defense then the Eagles. Cowboys offense and defense second on third down and seventh in the red zone. Philadelphia in their past two road games gave up 491 yards to the Packers then 447 last week to the Vikings. Play Dallas -3.
New England Patriots vs. New York Jets Pick Prediction 10/21/2019
Patriots at Jets—NFL pick is New England Patriots and New York Jets to play under the total of 42.5. These teams head to head have gone under the total in four of their past five games. New England defense has been outstanding this season holding teams to 8 points and 234 yards pre game. This unit is also forcing nearly three turnovers per game. Patriots have played to under in four of six the Jets in three of five. In their first meeting New York had no offensive points with two touchdowns on special teams and a pick six. Sam Darnold now sees a Bill Belichick defense. Darnold in his only start against New England was 16 of 28 for 167 yards and four sacks as the Jets scored only three points in defeat. New York defense has played well at home holding opponents to 14.3 points and 289 yards per game with 3.3 yards per rush. Play New England and New York Jets under 42.5.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cincinnati Bengals Pick Prediction 10/20/2019
Jaguars at Bengals—NFL free pick is Jacksonville Jaguars -3. Bengals a winless team at 0-6. This is an offense that produces only 16.2 points and 308 yards per game. Cincinnati has not been able to run the ball effectively with just 3.1 yards per rush average. They sit 32nd offensively in the red zone. Bengals defense surrendered 497 yards last week to Baltimore and two weeks ago 514 yards to the Arizona Cardinals. Jaguars defense put on a very good effort last week in holding the Saints to just 13 points and 326 yards last week. After competitive losses to good teams they take a step down in class facing a bad Bengals defense. Jaguars defense sits fifth best in the red zone. Jaguars quarterback Gardner Minshew is completing 63.9% of his throws with nine touchdowns and two picks and will be throwing against a poor defensive team. They are moving the football for 414 yards per game on the road. Play Jacksonville -3.
Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills Pick Prediction 10/20/2019
Dolphins at Bills—NFL pick is Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills to play under the total of 39.5 points. Dolphins offense performing poorly at record levels. After five games they are averaging 8.4 points and 234 yards per game. Coming off a bye week they dropped a 17-16 home decision to winless Washington. Their run game generates only 3.2 yards per rush and the team averages 4.9 yards per pass attempt. Quarterback Josh Rosen only a 53.2% completion rate with a touchdown pass and five picks. This offense sits 30th on third down and red zone. Buffalo prides itself on defense. A strong defensive team allowing 14 points and 275 yards per game. They are not very powerful offensively with 18 points per game average. They do run the ball 29 times per game which will run clock. With a lead look for the Bills to stay on the ground. With a 4.8 yards per rush average would not be surprised if runs exceed passing plays in this spot. Bills defense fifth on third down while the offense sits only 24th on third down. Play Miami and Buffalo under 39.5.
LA Rams vs. Atlanta Falcons Pick Prediction 10/20/2019
Rams at Falcons—NFL free pick is LA Rams and Atlanta Falcons to play over the total of 53.5. LA took a hit to their defense as they lose corner Aqib Talib with a rib injury. Past three games Rams defense allowing 403 yards and 36 points per game. Falcons defense in that span giving up 466 yards and 37 points per game. Atlanta offense is moving the football with 391 yards per game. Matt Ryan is completing 72.1% of his throws this season. In his past four games Ryan has thrown for 10 touchdowns and 2 picks. The offense is seventh best on third down and red zone. But defense is 32nd and last on third down and 29th in red zone. Play LA Rams and Atlanta Falcons over the total of 53.5.
Arizona Cardinals vs. New York Giants Pick Prediction 10/20/2019
Cardinals at Giants—Free pick is Arizona Cardinals and New York Giants over the total of 49 points. New York defense has not been good this season giving up 412 yards and 26.7 points per game. Quarterbacks are completing 69.7% of their passes on the Giants. Quarterback Daniel Jones is an upgrade to the New York offense. Arizona defense surrender 414 yards and 28.5 points per game. Cardinals offense has moved the football the past two weeks with 442 yards last week against Arizona and two weeks ago 514 yards at Cincinnati. Kyler Murray is second leading rusher on the Cardinals which adds another element against a bad Giants defense. Daniel Jones can also extend drives with his feet. Cardinals have gone over in three of five. Play Arizona and New York Giants over the total of 49.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Washington Redskins Pick Prediction 10/20/2019
49ers at Redskins—NFL pick is San Francisco 49ers -9.5. San Francisco averages 14 points per game greater than Washington and allows 15 points fewer than the Redskins. Washington has lost their past four games by ten points or greater. Washington offense generates only 286 yards per game. 49ers defense very good holding teams to 238 yards per game and forcing 2.4 turnovers. Past two games San Francisco held the Browns to 180 yards and Rams to 157 allowing an average of 5 points per game. 49ers defense fourth best on third down and best in red zone. Play San Francisco -9.5.
LA Chargers vs. Tennessee Titans Pick Prediction 10/20/2019
Chargers at Titans—NFL free pick is Tennessee Titans -2. The best unit on the field in this game is the Tennessee defense. Titans are holding teams to only 15.3 points and 321 yards per game. Marcus Mariota was benched last week in a poor offensive showing so this could spark the offense this week. Chargers are dealing with injuries on the defensive end of the field. LA offense has been held to 17 points or fewer in three of their games. They have six turnovers in their past two games. Chargers defense struggling on third down ranking 29th in the league. Titans defense third in the league on third down. Play Tennessee -2.