Free NFL Picks For Today 10/1/2019
LA Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks Pick Prediction 10/3/2019
Rams at Seahawks—NFL pick is Seattle Seahawks -2. Seattle has covered their past two head to head meetings. Rams are not generating yards rushing this season with only a 4.1 yards per rush attempt. That is impacting the LA passing game as Goff is under pressure. Seahawks offense has been clicking as the team is passing for 266 yards per game. Russell Wilson is completing 73% of his passes this season with eight touchdowns and no picks. Seattle is the number one offense in the NFL inside the red zone. Team is expecting backup running back Rashaad Penny back into the lineup after missing the past two games. Rams cornerback Marcus Peters suffered a concussion in the loss to Tampa Bay and has a quick turnaround with this Thursday night game and could miss this game. Rams defense is in the bottom third of the league on third down and red zone. LA defense was shredded by James Winston and Tampa Bay Buccaneers for 376 passing yards on Sunday giving up 55 points. Play Seattle -2.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Houston Texans Pick Prediction 10/6/2019
Falcons at Texans—NFL free pick is Houston Texans -5. Falcons fell to 1-3 after their loss to the Titans last week. Atlanta has been dealing with injuries and poor play on their offensive line. Team had their starting center and guard leave the game last week adding to their list of injuries. They have been hit with injuries to their secondary again this year. As a result, the Falcons did surrender three touchdowns passes to Marcus Mariota. Matt Ryan will face intense pressure with his patch work offensive line in this road spot at an angry Texans team looking to bounce back from their home loss to Carolina. Houston has good balance to their offense as they are rushing for 120 yards per game with five yards per rush on the ground. Falcons giving up an average of 27 points per game on the road. Overall Atlanta defense not getting off the field sitting 29th in the NFL on third down. Texans offense top third in league on third down and fifth best inside the red zone. Play Houston -5.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints Pick Prediction 10/6/2019
Buccaneers at Saints—Free pick is Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4. Bucs have played well on the road win wins and covers at the Panthers and Rams. They are moving the football for 386 yards with 273 passing. In two games with Teddy Bridgewater at quarter the Saints offense accounted for 19 points at Seattle and last week kicked four field goals. In their win at Seattle the Saints were aided by a punt and fumble return for touchdown. Bridgewater averaging only 6.1 yards per pass attempt. Defensively New Orleans is allowing 391 yards with 279 passing for 66% completion rate. Past two games Buccaneers have gained 499 yards on Giants defense and 464 yards on the Rams averaging 43 per game. Bucs defense sits upper third in the league on third down and fourth best in the red zone. Play Tampa Bay +4. Saints passing 177 yards at Seattle and 149 at home in both games under Bridgewater. Saints 30th in the NFL in red zone. Play Tampa Bay +4.
Minnesota Vikings vs. New York Giants Pick Prediction 10/6/2019
Vikings at Giants—NFL pick is Minnesota Vikings -4.5. Huge step down in class for the Vikings facing the Giants defense after struggling against the Bears. Minnesota is a good running team averaging 155 yards with 5.2 yards per rush. New York has struggled with runs up the middle. Kick Cousins will be able to throw downfield against this Giants defense that allows 279 yards per game with 64.6% completion rate. No Saquon Barkley for New York on Sunday as he is out with an ankle injury. Jones will miss him against the Vikings. Minnesota offense fifth in the red zone and on defense fifth on third down. Giants defense allowed 494 yards to the Cowboys and 499 to the Buccaneers. Play Minnesota -4.5.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Carolina Panthers Pick Prediction 10/6/2019
Jaguars at Panthers—NFL free pick Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5. Jacksonville has won two straight after their come from behind 26-24 win at Denver. Jaguars were winning the battle at the line of scrimmage. Jaguars offense is generating 364 yards per game and getting production on the ground with 5.7 yards per rush. Jacksonville quarterback Gardner Minshew is completing 69.4% of his passes with seven touchdowns and a pick. The rookie quarterback has great mobility Panthers have failed to cover four of five at home. They have scored 16 points or fewer in two of three games. Carolina bottom half of league on third down and red zone. They survived three turnovers in their win to Houston. Jaguars defense has been good in the red zone. Play Jacksonville +3.5.
Chicago Bears vs. Oakland Raiders Pick Prediction 10/6/2019
Bears vs. Raiders—Free pick is Chicago Bears -4. Looks like it will be Chase Daniel under center for Chicago as Mitchel Trubisky has a separated shoulder. Daniel could be an upgrade over Trubisky. Chicago has won three straight after their 16-6 home win in a defensive battle against the Vikings. Chicago a very good defensive team limiting opponents to 290 yards with 61 rushing for 3 yards per run. Oakland enters play after a win to Indianapolis who was decimated with injuries. Oakland a poor defensive team surrendering 390 yards per game with 285 passing. Oakland has lost linebacker Vontaze Burfict for the entire season with suspension from the league. Chicago defensively second in scoring defense, third on third down and fifth in the red zone. Oakland defense 27th in the league on third down. Play Chicago Bears -4.
New England Patriots vs. Washington Redskins Pick Prediction 10/6/2019
Patriots at Redskins—NFL pick is New England Patriots -15. Redskins are a very poor defensive team. They are allowing 399 yards per game with 251 in the passing game with 78% completion rate. Wide receivers are getting good separation on the Redskins cover men. Team is running for only 2.9 yards per carry which is no help for Case Keenum or rookie Dwyane Haskins if he gets playing time. Washington run game has been poor surrendering 4.7 yards per rush. Redskins have failed to cover four straight at home. New England defense best in the NFL on third down and red zone. Huge step down in class for New England to face the Redskins defense after facing the Bills last week. Redskins scored only three points and gained 176 yards on a bad Giants defense last week. Washington offense 29th on third down and defense 32nd and last. Play New England -15.
Buffalo Bills vs. Tennessee Titans Pick Prediction 10/6/2019
Bills at Titans—NFL pick is Buffalo Bills +3. Titans have struggled against the better defensive teams on the schedule scoring 7 points at Jacksonville and 17 at home to the Indianapolis Colts. Titans offense generates only 321 yards with 202 passing. Bills have the better defense as they hold opponents to 280 yards per game. Must respect the Bills performance at home to New England allowing 16 points to the Patriots and only 18 of 39 passing to Tom Brady. If Josh Allen can’t play it will be Matt Barkley who gets the start. Barkley has had success in his start last year in his lone start going 15 of 25 for 232 yards and two touchdowns in a 41-10 win at the Jets. Buffalo offense is third in the red zone. Team is generating 387 yards offensively with five yards per rush average. Titans offense has struggled on third down ranking 25th. Their defense is 26th defending the red zone. Play Buffalo +3.
New York Jets vs. Philadelphia Eagles Pick Prediction 10/6/2019
Jets at Eagles—NFL free pick is under the total of 44.5. New York Jets offense has been inept as the team is averaging only 196 yards and 11 points per game. Jets have scored just one offensive touchdown all season. Sam Darnold and Trevor Siemian are both out for this game so third string Luke Falk gets the start here. Jets defense show signs or trying hard. They held the Browns to 23 points and Patriots to 30 prior to their bye week. Jets struggle getting points here. New York converting only 21% on third down worst in the league. New York does sit in the upper half on the league defensively on third down and play with pride. Eagles get a lead and milk clock. Play New York Jets and Philadelphia Eagles under the total of 44.5.
Denver Broncos vs. LA Chargers Pick Prediction 10/6/2019
Broncos at Chargers—Free pick is Denver Broncos +6.5. Denver a desperate 0-4 team after their two point home defeat to the Jaguars. Chargers have failed to cover three of four. They didn’t cover their home games to the Texans and Colts. Chargers are dealing with cluster injuries to their wide receiver position and on defense. LA pass defense has struggled allowing a completion rate of 73.9% to opposing quarterbacks. Chargers defense 30th on third down and 28th in the red zone. Broncos generate enough points to cover this number. Play Denver +6.5.
Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys Pick Prediction 10/6/2019
Packers at Cowboys—NFL pick is Green Bay Packers +3.5. Green Bay 3-1 behind quarterback Aaron Rodgers and getting great performance from their defense that is allowing only 17.3 points per game. Cowboys win this season were against weak opponents in the Giants, Redskins and Dolphins. Their offense could only generate 10 points in their step up game at the Saints who were playing with a backup quarterback. Green Bay has won seven of their past eight against the Cowboys. Play Green Bay +3.5.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick Prediction 10/6/2019
Colts at Chiefs—NFL free pick is Kansas City Chiefs and Indianapolis Colts to play under the total of 57 points. The Colts are dealing with major injuries to their wide receivers. And now their top running back Marlon Mack is hobbled with an ankle injury that forced him to leave the game last week at the Raiders. Head to head the Colts and Chiefs have played to under in four of five. Indianapolis could only score 13 on the Chiefs on the road in their playoff game last year that ended under the total. Colts injuries a factor here in the scoring in this game. Play Indianapolis and Kansas City under the total of 57.
Cleveland Browns vs. San Francisco 49ers Pick Prediction 10/7/2019
Browns at 49ers—Free pick is Cleveland Browns +4. Browns evened their record after an impressive 40-24 road win at Baltimore. Browns utilized their ground attack featuring Nick Chubb who rushed for 165 yards and three touchdowns. Team finished with 193 yards. With their run game going it aided Baker Mayfield in the passing game who threw for 342 yards with a touchdown and pick. 49ers coming off a sloppy home performance to Pittsburgh committing five turnovers failing to cover against a Steelers team utilizing a backup quarterback winning 24-20 as a +6.5 favorite. Cleveland defense has down a good job of getting off the field ranking fourth on third down. San Francisco offense 27th in the NFL in the red zone. Play Cleveland Browns +4.