Free MLB Picks For Today 5/11/2023
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 5/11/2023
Mets at Reds—Kodai Senga to start for NYM. Senga in six starts posts an ERA 3.38 with WHIP 1.47. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 25.5% with 15.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 53.7% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.16 suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Ben Lively to make his 2023 debut in MLB. The veteran has 26 career appearances in Major League Baseball with 20 starts posting an ERA of 4.80 and WHIP 1.44. Only 80 strikeouts in 120 innings of work.
Lively has pitched 27 innings in Triple A compiling an ERA of 2.33 and WHIP 1.07. Reds bullpen has been performing well. Senga’s walk rate the concern. Play Cincinnati on the run line +1.5 runs at -125.
San Diego Padres vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 5/11/2023
Padres at Twins—Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish has six starts in 2023 producing an ERA 3.19 and WHIP 1.12. The righthander fans 27% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.1% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings.
Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober in three starts carries an ERA of 0.98 plus WHIP 0.87. The righthander a K rate of 23.5% with 8.8% walks. Grounders sit at 26.7% with no homers allowed.
Past ten games Twins hitting only .170 against righthanders. Two bullpens in excellent form. Padres trending under in seven straight and Twins in four straight. Play San Diego and Minnesota under 8.
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 5/11/2023
White Sox at Royals—Mike Clevinger to start for Chicago. Clevinger in seven starts posts an ERA 4.84 with WHIP 1.53. The righthander a fan rate of 20.6% with 10% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.3% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings.
Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer has seven starts in 2023 has an ERA 8.82 with WHIP 1.60. The righthander is striking out 21.2% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.6% with 1.87 home runs per nine innings. Starters and bullpen form here in poor condition. Play Chicago and KC over 9.5.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 5/11/2023
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 5/11/2023
Rays at Yankees—Drew Rasmussen to start for Tampa Bay. Rasmussen in seven starts posts an ERA 3.11 with WHIP 1.19. The righthander is striking out 26% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 51% with limited home run damage.
Domingo German to start for NYY. German has seven starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.35 and WHIP 0.94. The righty has a K rate of 28.2% with 7.7% walks. Grounders come in at 38.1% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings.
Yankees bullpen is outperforming the Rays. Tampa Bay’s lack of offense on the road in their three game series at Baltimore a concern here. Encouraged by German’s WHIP and strikeout rate. Play New York +107.
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 5/11/2023
Giants at Diamondbacks—Alex Cobb to start for San Francisco. Cobb in seven starts in 2023 has an ERA of 2.01 with WHIP 1.24. The veteran fans 22.6% with 63.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 63.1% with limited home run damage.
Tommy Henry to start for Arizona. Henry has three starts on the campaign posting an ERA 5.17 with WHIP 1.53. The lefthander pitches to high contact with 10.4% strikeouts with 10.4% walks. Grounders sit at 39.6% with limited home run damage.
Cobb has not been as effective on the road. Diamondbacks at home hitting .283 against righthanders and putting up 6.12 runs per game against them. Play Arizona +124.
Texas Rangers vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 5/11/2023
Rangers at Athletics—Nathan Eovaldi to start for Texas. Eovaldi in seven starts carries an ERA of 3.22 plus WHIP 1.10. The veteran a strikeout mark of 24.9% with 4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 50.8% with minimal home run damage.
Zach Neal expected to start for Oakland. Neal went to Japan after logging 85 2/3rd Major League innings with an ERA of 4.94 and WHIP 1.17. Pitched to high contact with only 37 strikeouts. He spent 2022 in Triple A with an ERA of 6.71 and WHIP 1.50.
In three appearances in Triple A this year the righthander posts an ERA of 5.56 and WHIP of 1.17. The 34 year old figures to go limited innings averaging less than four innings per appearance in Triple A this year.
That exposes a bad Oakland bullpen that sits with an ERA of 6.87 and was pounded in their three game series at the Yankees. Play Texas on run line -1.5 runs.
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