Free MLB Picks For Today 5/27/2024
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Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/27/2024
Red Sox at Orioles—Cooper Criswell to start for Boston. Criswell has appeared in eight games in 2024 delivering an ERA of 2.86 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander is fanning 23.9% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 49% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.90 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold. Cole Irvin will start for Baltimore. Irvin appeared in nine games with an ERA of 3.15 and WHIP of 1.09. The lefthander strikes out 16.4% with 4.4% walks. Grounders served at 45.5% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Boston on the road is hitting .252 and putting up 4.9 runs per game, winning 16 of their 27. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.84. The Orioles in their past seven games are hitting .230. The Red Sox are 27-22 when an underdog of +125 to +175 the past two seasons with a +16.7-unit return. Play Boston +147.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/27/2024
Blue Jays at White Sox—Chris Bassitt is the starter for Toronto. Bassitt in ten starts on the season deals with an ERA of 4.39 and WHIP of 1.46. The veteran strikes out 20.5% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls served at 44.4% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. Nick Nastrini is the starter for Chicago. Nastrini has three starts with an ERA of 11.91 with WHIP of 2.56. The righthander fans 12.7% with 20.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35.7% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Toronto is batting .222 on the road, losing 16 of their 27 games. Chicago is batting .215 in Day Games putting up 2.6 runs per game. Bassitt is 11-1 to the under when lined between -125 and -175 the past two seasons. Chicago is 29-16 in home Day Games the past two seasons. The Blue Jays are 36-19 to the under facing an AL team averaging 4.4 runs per game or fewer the past two seasons. Play Toronto and Chicago under 8.5.
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/27/2024
Royals at Twins—Alec Marsh to start for Kansas City. Marsh in eight starts on the season deals an ERA of 2.72 and WHIP of 1.07. The righthander has a K mark of 20.6% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls are 35.8% with 0.63 home runs per nine innings. Joe Ryan is the starter for Minnesota. Ryan has ten starts with an ERA of 3.15 with WHIP of 0.98. The righty is fanning 27% with 3.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.4% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
KC in their past seven games is hitting .324 and putting up 7.7 runs per game. The Twins at home are batting .227 and putting up 3.7 runs per game. The team record behind Marsh is 7-1 this season with a +7.3-unit return. They are 27-15 against right handers this year with a +12.9-unit return. Minnesota is 3-13 facing teams with a .620-win rate with a -11.3-unit loss. Play Kansas City +148.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/27/2024
Cubs at Brewers—Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele in five starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 5.68 with WHIP of 1.18. The lefthander strikes out 21.3% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.3% with 2.13 home runs per nine innings. Robert Gasser to start for Milwaukee. Gasser has three starts with an ERA of 2.65 and WHIP of 1.12. The lefthander is striking out 8.5% with 1.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 50% with no homers allowed.
The Pick:
Chicago in their past seven games is hitting .170 and putting up 2.6 runs per game. Milwaukee in Day Games are batting .281 and putting up 5.3 runs per game winning 14 of their 22. They are 35-17 at home when lined at -100 to -150 the past two seasons with a +13.5-unit return. Play Milwaukee -120.
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/27/2024
Nationals at Braves—Mitchell Parker is the starter for Washington. Parker in seven starts on the year provides an ERA of 3.32 with WHIP of 1.16. The rookie lefthander has a K mark of 20.9% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls served at 47.3% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton in nine starts on the season deals with an ERA of 3.35 and WHIP of 1.20. The veteran fans 24.8% with 10% walks. Ground ball rate of 47% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The past seven games the Braves are batting .240. The Nationals are batting .217 against right handed starters going under in 21 of 34. Washington is 47-29 to the under when a road underdog of +150 or greater the past two seasons. Atlanta is 19-8 to the under when favored by -150 or higher. Play Washington and Atlanta under 9.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/27/2024
Cardinals at Reds—Lance Lynn is the starter for St Louis. Lynn has ten starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 3.68 with WHIP of 1.34. The veteran strikes out 21.4% with 8.9% walks. Grounders sit at 39.7% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. Nick Lodolo is starting for Cincinnati. Lodolo in six starts carries an ERA of 3.34 with WHIP of 0.94. The lefthander tosses an elite 30.7% strikeouts with 6.4% walks. Grounders served at 44.6% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
St Louis in their past seven games is batting .294 and putting up 5.9 runs per game. The Reds in their Day Games are batting .210 and losing 13 of their first 20. Cincinnati is 31-40 when lined at home between -100 and -150 the past two seasons with a -17.6-unit return. Play St Louis +123.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/27/2024
Dodgers at Mets—Gavin Stone will start for Los Angeles. Stone has nine starts on the year carrying an ERA of 3.60 and WHIP of 1.30. The righthander strikes out 16.3% with 8.1% walks. Grounders dealt at 44.6% with 0.72 home runs per nine innings. Tylor Megill to start for New York. Megill in two starts allowed three earned runs with 11 strikeouts in 9 innings of work. He returned from a shoulder strain. In 60 career appearances the righty has an ERA of 4.66 with WHIP of 1.41 striking out 266 batters in 272 1/3rd innings of work.
The Pick:
The Los Angeles bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.34 in their 24 games. They are 12-5 to the under in Day Games as they bat .229 and put up 3.6 runs per game. The Mets bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.81 in their first 16 home games. They are batting .204 at home going under in 16 of their first 26. New York is 47-23 to the under at home against righthanders the past two seasons. Play Los Angeles and New York under 8.5.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/27/2024
Guardians at Rockies—Xzavion Curry will start for Cleveland. Curry in two starts allowed two earned runs with five strikeouts in 9 1/3rd innings. He struggled in Triple A this year with an ERA of 8.79 and WHIP of 1.53 in 28 2/3rd innings. The righthander has 45 career appearances with an ERA of 4.04 and WHIP of 1.38 in 113 2/3rd innings striking out 75 batters. Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber has ten starts with an ERA of 2.76 and WHIP of 1.11. The lefthander fans 17.4% with 7.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.6% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Guardians bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.73 in their 28 games, winning 17 of them. They are batting .272 against lefthanders putting up 6.5 runs per game. Cleveland is 14-3 in their Day Games. Colorado is batting .230 in Day Games losing 13 of 19. Cleveland is 18-5 when lined between -100 and -150 this season with a +11.6 unit return and 31-13 facing teams that average 7 or greater strikeouts per game. Play Cleveland -127.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/27/2024
Phillies at Giants—Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker in five starts carries an ERA of 5.06 with WHIP of 1.54. The righthander fans 18.3% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls served at 31.7% with 2.03 home runs per nine innings. Blake Snell to start for San Francisco. Snell has four starts with an ERA of 11.40 with WHIP of 2.07. The lefthander has a K mark of 22.1% with 11.7% walks. Ground balls served at 51% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.58 suggesting a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Philadelphia is hitting .260 and putting up five runs per game on the road, winning 16 of their 23 games. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.01. First home game for San Francisco with no day off after an road trip traveling from New York. The Phillies are 11-2 when lined between +125 and -125 this season with a +9.1-unit return. The team record behind Walker is 16-4 when lined between +125 and -125 the past two seasons with a +12.1-unit return. His team record behind Snell is 6-13 in the first half of 2023 and 24 combined with a -10.5-unit loss. Play Philadelphia -107.
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/27/2024
Marlins at Padres—Trevor Rogers to start for Miami. Rogers in ten starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 6.11 with WHIP of 1.84. The lefthander strikes out 18.5% with 10.4% walks. Grounders served at 50% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.32 which suggests a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Michael King to start for San Diego. King has eleven appearances with an ERA of 4.28 with WHIP of 1.31. The righthander fans 25.5% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.4% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Miami is 17-17 facing right-handed starters this season with a +4.4-unit return. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.62 in their 24 games. In their past seven games the Marlins are betting .274. Miami is batting .225 against lefthanders and averaging 2.5 runs per game. San Diego has lost 18 of 29 at home. Play Miami +160.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/27/2024
Astros at Mariners—Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in seven starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 4.32 with WHIP of 1.32. The lefthander is striking out 19.9% with 7% walks. Ground ball rate of 65.3% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Bryce Miller is starting for Seattle. Miller has ten starts with an ERA of 3.53 and WHIP of 0.97. The righty is fanning 24.3% with 7% walks. Grounders served at 37.3% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Seattle at home is batting 2.17 going under in 16 of their 24 games. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.10. First home game for the Mariners after a ten-game road trip back east with no day off in between. The under is 4-1 in Miller’s first five home starts. Play Houston and Seattle under 7.5.