Free MLB Picks For Today 5/16/2024
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New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/16/2024
Yankees at Twins—Clarke Schmidt to start for New York. Schmidt in eight starts on the year deals with an ERA of 2.95 with WHIP of 1.27. The righthander strikes out 27% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan has eight starts with an ERA of 3.21 with WHIP of 0.99. The righty fans 28% with 3.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.4% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
After winning the opener of this series the Yankees had won 22 of 31 against right handers. They are hitting .280 in their past seven games, putting up 5.9 runs per game. Their bullpen in their 24 road games has an ERA of 2.48. The team record behind Schmidt is 17-4 facing an AL team with an OBP of .320 or worse the past two seasons. The Twins are 5-17 facing a team with a .620 or greater win percentage the past two seasons with a -11.6 unit loss. Play New York +104.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/16/2024
Mets at Phillies—Jose Quintana to start for New York. Quintana has eight starts posting an ERA of 5.44 with WHIP of 1.55. The lefthander has seen his strikeout mark drop to 15.1% with 9.7% walks. Grounders served at 47.4% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker in three starts has an ERA of 4.82 with WHIP of 1.34. The veteran fans 19.5% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 26.8% with 1.93 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Past seven games New York is batting .220 and putting up 3.1 runs per game. In this period the Phillies are putting up 6.3 runs per game. The team record behind Walker is 14-2 when favored by -125 to -175 the past two seasons with a +9.3 unit return and 16-3 in night games the past two seasons. Play Philadelphia -145.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/16/2024
Rays at Red Sox—Zack Littell to start for Tampa Bay. Littell in eight starts on the season delivers an ERA of 3.02 with WHIP of 1.28. The righthander strikes out 24.1% with 3.7% walks. Grounders dished at 34.6% with 0.60 home runs per nine innings. Cooper Criswell to start for Boston. Criswell appeared in six games with an ERA of 2.10 and WHIP of 1.01. Righty fans 24.8% with 5% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.9% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Red Sox in their past seven games are hitting .218 and putting up 2.6 runs per game. They are 31-42 at home against right-handed starters the past two seasons with a -19.2 unit loss. Tampa Bay is 32-15 on the road when lined between -100 and -150 the past two seasons with a +13.3-unit return. Play Tampa Bay -103.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/16/2024
Pirates at Cubs—Jared Jones to start for Pittsburgh. Jones in eight starts on the year deals with an ERA of 2.68 with WHIP of 0.87. The righthander has an elite K rate of 30.9% with 3.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.5% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings. Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele in three starts has an ERA of 4.73 with WHIP of 1.20. The left hander fans 19.6% with 7.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 45% with 2.03 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Pirates in their past seven games are hitting .214. They are averaging 3.3 runs per game in their 22-night games of the season. The Pirates bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.52 in their 22 games. Chicago has won 13 of 19 at home where they average 4.9 runs per game. Play Chicago -126.
Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/16/2024
Athletics at Astros—Joey Estes to start for Oakland. Estes in his 2024 opener allowed one earned run with five strikeouts in five innings at Seattle. The righty was a 16th round draft pick in 2018 out of high school who struggled in Triple A this year with an ERA of 6.04 and WHIP of 1.46 in six starts. Cristian Javier to start for Houston. Javier has five starts delivering an ERA of 4.01 with WHIP of 1.42. The righthander has seen his K’s drop to 16.7% with 13.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 24.3% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Athletics are hitting .207 on the road. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.85 in their 21 games. Javier is 12-1 under when favored by -175 to -250 in his career. Houston is 31-17 to the under facing teams getting outscored by 0.5 runs per game or greater the past two seasons. Play Oakland and Houston under 8.5.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/16/2024
Reds at Dodgers—Nick Martinez to start for Cincinnati. Martinez in nine appearances on the season dealing with an ERA of 4.86 with WHIP of 1.35. The righthander fans 16.9% with 3.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 29.8% with 0.54 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.03 does suggest a drop in ERA should form hold. Tyler Glasnow to start for Los Angeles. Glasnow has nine starts with an ERA of 2.53 and WHIP of 0.86. The veteran has an elite K mark of 33.6% with 6.9% walks. Grounders served at 45.7% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Los Angeles in their first 28 night games are hitting .281 and putting up 6.4 runs per game. Cincinnati has improved their hitting over the past seven games by hitting .281. The Reds bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.55. The Dodgers have gone over in 15 of 23 at home. Play Cincinnati and Los Angeles over 8.