Free MLB Picks For Today 5/13/2024
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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/13/2024
Blue Jays at Orioles—Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios in eight starts on the year carries an ERA of 2.85 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander is striking out 20% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.8% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. Corbin Burnes to start for Baltimore. Burnes has eight starts with an ERA of 2.83 with WHIP of 0.97. The veteran strikes out 25.3% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 50% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Blue Jays are batting .217 on the road. The Orioles in their 21-night games are batting .229. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.12. Berrios is 17-4 to the under playing on 5-6 days rest. The Orioles are 41-24 to the under facing teams that average 0.9 home runs per game or fewer the past three seasons. Play Toronto and Baltimore under 8.
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/13/2024
Marlins at Tigers—Sixto Sanchez to start for Miami. Sanchez has 10 appearances in the campaign dealing an ERA of 7.50 with WHIP of 1.67. The righthander fans 12.9% with 8.2% walks. Grounders come in at 45.3% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.87 suggesting a dropping ERA based on his numbers. Matt Manning to start for Detroit. Manning in three starts has an ERA of 4.24 with WHIP of 1.18. The righty strikes out 23.9% with 11.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 32.6% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Tigers are batting .222 against right-handed starters, losing 17 of 31 against them. Miami bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.88. The Marlins are putting up 4.2 runs per game on right-handed starters. Play Miami +147.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/13/2024
Rays at Red Sox—Zach Eflin to start for Tampa Bay. Eflin has eight starts in the year posting an ERA of 3.75 with WHIP of 1.13. The veteran strikes out 19.5% with 2% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.3% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. Kutter Crawford is the starter for Boston. Crawford has eight starts on the year putting up an ERA of 1.75 with WHIP of 1.09. Righty fans 24.3% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 34.1% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Boston in their past seven games is hitting .224 and putting up 2.7 runs per game. The team record behind Crawford is 3-12 at home the past two seasons with a -12.8-unit loss. Boston is 50-81 at home facing the division the past three seasons with a -29.3-unit loss. Play Tampa Bay +107.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/13/2024
Phillies at Mets—Cristopher Sanchez to start for Philadelphia. Sanchez has seven starts in the season posting an ERA of 3.22 with WHIP of 1.46. The lefthander strikes out 21.4% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 61.8% with minimal home run damage. Sean Manaea will start for New York. Manea in seven starts has an ERA of 3.31 with WHIP of 1.39. The lefty is fanning 20.4% with 12.5% walks. Grounders sit at 32.3% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
The Phillies are hitting .270 on the road, winning 13 of 18 there. They are 19-5 facing losing teams this season. The Mets in their first 21 home games are hitting .204. New York is 21-38 against left-handed starters the past two seasons with a -26-unit loss. Play Philadelphia -113.
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/13/2024
Cubs at Braves—Shota Imanaga will start for Chicago. Imanaga in seven starts on the year posts an ERA of 1.08 with WHIP of 0.82. The righthander has a 26.9% K rate with 3.1% walks. Grounders dished at 36.4% with 0.65 home runs per nine innings. Reynaldo Lopez is the starter for Atlanta. Lopez has six starts with an ERA of 1.53 with WHIP of 1.13. The righty strikes out 25.5% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.1% with 0.51 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Braves in their past seven games are hitting .207 going under in six of those games. The Cubs on the road are hitting .227. Atlanta is 22-11 to the under when favored by -110 or higher this season and 17-7 to the under facing teams that average seven or more strikeouts per game. Play Chicago and Atlanta under 8.
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/13/2024
Nationals at White Sox—Trevor Williams to start for Washington. Williams has seven starts on the season producing an ERA of 1.96 with WHIP of 1.06. The righthander is striking out 21.1% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 49% with no homers allowed. Chris Flexen to start for Chicago. Flexen appeared in eight starts with an ERA of 4.29 with WHIP of 1.21. Righty fans 17.1% with 8.9% walks. Grounders come in at 34.3% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago has won six of their past nine games. Washington is batting .218 against right-handed starters. Play Chicago +120.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/13/2024
Pirates at Brewers—Mitch Keller will start for Pittsburgh. Keller in eight starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 4.41 with WHIP of 1.33. The righthander strikes out 21% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.1% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. Colin Rea will start for Milwaukee Rea has seven starts on the year with an ERA of 3.29 with WHIP of 1.28. Righty fans 15.1% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.9% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh is hitting .209 against right-handed starters, losing 17 of 26. Milwaukee is batting .255 against right-handed starters putting up 5.5 runs per game, winning 21 of their 33 against them. The team record behind Rea is 12-2 in night games the past two seasons with a +11.4-unit return. Pittsburgh is 5-15 facing a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or lower this season with a -11.8-unit loss. Play Milwaukee -138.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/13/2024
Guardians at Rangers—Tanner Bibee to start for Cleveland. Bibee has eight starts this season delivering an ERA of 4.91 with WHIP of 1.36. The righthander fans 25.3% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.7% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. Michael Lorenzen to start for Texas. Lorenzen has five starts this year with an ERA of 4.66 with WHIP of 1.34. The righty is fanning 19.2% with 11.7% walks. Ground balls are 45.7% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The past seven games the Guardians are hitting .205. The Rangers bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.19 in their 19 games. Texas is 48-22 facing an AL team with a .400 or lower slugging percentage the past two seasons with a +19.7 unit return. Play Texas -112.
PART 2
Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/13/2024
Athletics at Astros—Ross Stripling to start for Oakland. Stripling in eight starts on the season delivers an ERA of 5.14 with WHIP of 1.57. The righthander strikes out 15.3% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.5% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. Spencer Arrighetti to start for Houston. Arrighetti in five starts carries an ERA of 8.44 with WHIP of 2.02. The righty fans 23.6% with 12.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 34.3% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Athletics in their past seven games are putting up 6.1 runs per game. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.48 in their 19 games. The Astros bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.75. At home, Houston is putting up 4.8 runs per game hitting .271. They are 46-29 to the over facing a team that averages 1.25 home runs per game or greater the past two seasons. Play Oakland and Houston over 8.5.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/13/2024
Cardinals at Angels—Kyle Leahy is expected to be the primary pitcher. Leahy in four appearances in 2024 delivers an ERA of 7.71 with WHIP of 1.43. The righthander fans 12.9% with 9.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.8% with no homers allowed. Jose Soriano to start for Los Angeles. Soriano appeared in eight games with an ERA of 4.32 with WHIP of 1.35. The righty is striking out 21.9% with 11.6% walks. Grounders come in at 60.2% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Angels are batting .288 against left-handed starters putting up 5.7 runs per game winning five of their six games against them. The Cardinals in their past seven games are putting up 2.7 runs per game losing six of those games. St Louis is 60-79 facing a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or lower the past two seasons with a -22.5-unit loss. Play Los Angeles -109.
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/13/2024
Royals at Mariners—Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer has eight starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 2.36 with WHIP of 1.01. The righthander fans 25.1% with 8.2% walks. Grounders dished at 55.5% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.39 suggests a rise in ERA based on form. George Kirby will start for Seattle. Kirby has eight starts with an ERA of 4.15 with WHIP of 1.04. The righty fans 25.6% with 2.8% walks. Grounders come in at 33.6% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Past seven games the Royals are batting .270 and putting up 4.7 runs per game. Seattle is hitting .209 at home. The Royals are 18-6 facing an AL team averaging 4.4 runs per game or fewer this season with a +11.9-unit return. The team record behind Singer is 31-24 facing a team that averages seven or greater strike outs per game the past two seasons with a +12.6-unit return. Play Kansas City +134.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/13/2024
Rockies at Padres—Dakota Hudson to start for Colorado. Hudson has seven starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 6.35 with WHIP of 1.79. The righthander strikes out 12.4% with 13.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 58.6% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. Randy Vasquez will start for San Diego. Vasquez in three starts carries an ERA of 4.50 with WHIP of 1.58. The righty fans 20.4% with 5.6% walks. Grounders dished at 48.7% with 2.25 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Padres at home are hitting .227 with the Rockies on the road batting .221. Colorado is 50-35 to the under on the road facing a team that averages seven strikeout games or more the past two seasons. Play San Diego and Colorado under 8.5.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/13/2024
Reds at Diamondbacks—Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft in seven starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 1.34. The righthander is striking out 18.6% with 7% walks. Ground ball rate of 51.2% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Jordan Montgomery to start for Arizona. Montgomery has four starts with an ERA of 4.70 plus WHIP of 1.30. The lefthander fans 10.5% with 6.3% walks. Grounders sit at 42.3% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cincinnati is batting .202 against the fifteen left handers they have faced. Arizona is batting .222 against right-handed starters going under in 17 of those 23 games. Cincinnati is 59-39 facing an NL team with an OBP of .325 or lower the past two seasons. Play Cincinnati and Arizona under 8.5.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/13/2024
Dodgers at Giants—Yoshinobu Yamamoto to start for Los Angeles. Yamamoto has eight starts in the season dealing an ERA of 2.79 with WHIP of 1.00. The righthander fans 27.8% with 4.7% walks. Grounders come in at 45.1% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Jordan Hicks to start for San Francisco. Hicks in eight starts delivers an ERA of 2.30 with WHIP of 1.12. The righty strikes out 20% with 9.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 55.8% with minimal home run damage. A FIP of 3.13 suggests a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
The San Francisco bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.76 in their 19 games. Los Angeles on the road has a bullpen ERA of 2.20 in their 19 games. Los Angeles is hitting .279 and putting up 6.2 runs per game in night games and are 9-2 to the run line at night returning +7.5 units this season. San Francisco is 59-86 to the run line against the division the past three seasons with a -40.9-unit loss and 62-83 to the run line against right handed starters with a -32.8 unit loss the past two seasons. Play Los Angeles on run line -1.5 runs at -115.