Free MLB Picks For Today 4/30/2024
More MLB Picks Predictions Previews
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/30/2024
Yankees at Orioles—Nestor Cortes to start for New York. Cortes in six starts carries an ERA of 3.50 with WHIP of 1.00. The lefthander strikes out 22.2% with 3.5% walks. Ground balls served at 31.7% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. Dean Kremer is the starter for Baltimore. Kremer has five starts with an ERA of 4.61 with WHIP of 1.06. The righthander fans 23.7% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.7% with 1.98 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Baltimore is batting .235 against the ten left-handed starters they have faced. New York is 15-4 against the 19 righthanders they have faced this year pushing across 6 runs per game. Their bullpen ERA in their sixteen road games is 2.08. Kremer struggled in home starts and Cortes has on the road. Play New York -114.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/30/2024
Cardinals at Tigers—Game 1 Kyle Gibson to start for St Louis. Gibson has five starts on the campaign producing an ERA of 4.35 with WHIP of 1.19. The veteran has seen his strikeouts drop to 16% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 51.1% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. Jack Flaherty will start for Detroit. Flaherty in five starts an ERA of 4.91 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander has seen his K rate increase to 29% with 3.2% walks. Ground balls served at 42.5% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Cardinals in their 21 games against right handed starters are batting .217 going under in 13 of those games. Their bullpen has performed well on the road. The Tigers are batting .219 at home where they get good bullpen performance. St Louis is 10-2 to the under as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. Play St Louis and Detroit under 8 in Game 1.
Cardinals at Tigers Game 2—Steven Matz to start for St Louis. Matz has five starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 5.55 with WHIP of 1.60. The lefthander has seen his strikeouts plummet to 14.7% with 8.3% walks. Grounders dished at 33.3% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings. Kenta Maeda to start for Detroit. Maeda in five starts has an ERA of 5.96 with WHIP of 1.37. The righthander has also seen his strikeouts plummet to 17% with 7% walks. Grounders come in at 43.2% with 2.78 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The St Louis bullpen in their 15 road games have an ERA of 2.87 on the road. Detroit is batting .209 against left-handed starters. The team record behind Matz is 21-11 when he pitches with 5-6 days of rest with a +13.4-unit return. The team record behind Maeda in April Games is 11-21 wit-15.5-unitunit loss. Play St Louis -115.
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/30/2024
Rockies at Marlins—Ryan Felter starts for Colorado. Feltner in five starts carries an ERA of 5.68 with WHIP of 1.74. The righthander fans 25.6% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.6% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings. Roddery Munoz to start for Miami. Munoz in his MLB debut allowed two runs, all homers, with seven strikeouts in five innings. He was drafted by Miami in 2018 and has struggled in the Minors the past two seasons in Triple A.
The Pick:
Miami bullpen in their sixteen home games has an ERA of 6.69 where they have lost 14 of those games. Miami is 0-8 when favored by -110 or higher this season. Play Colorado +110.
Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/30/2024
Royals at Blue Jays—Cole Ragans to start for KC. Ragans in six starts on the year deals an ERA of 3.90 with WHIP of 1.43. The lefthander is striking out 27.8% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.2% with minimal home run damage. Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios has six starts with an ERA of 1.23 with WHIP of 1.04. The veteran fans 19.4% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.5% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.85 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Toronto bullpen struggles at home and the Royals on the road. KC is hitting only .203 on the road. The Blue Jays are batting .274 against left-handed starters in their four games against them winning three of them. KC is 27-75 on the road facing a starter who allows 5.5 hits per start or fewer with a -29.9-unit loss. The Blue Jays have hit well at home. Play Toronto -135.
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/30/2024
Giants at Red Sox—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb in six starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 2.33 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander has seen his strikeout mark drop to 17% with 4.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 59.7% with minimal home run damage. Cooper Criswell will start for Boston. Criswell has eight appearances with an ERA of 2.38 with WHIP of 1.15. the righty fans 14.6% with 4.2% walks. Ground ball dealt at 42.1% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.87 which suggests a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Boston bullpen in their thirteen home games has an ERA of 5.91 and the Giants in their thirteen road games is 5.82. Over the past seven games the Giants are batting .226 with the Red Sox at .306 and putting up six runs per game. San Francisco is 62-73 against right-handed starters the past two seasons with a -22.6 unit loss. Play Boston +113.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/30/2024
Cubs at Mets—Javier Assad to start for Chicago. Assad has five starts on the campaign producing an ERA of 2.00 with WHIP of 1.00. The righthander is fanning 24.5% with 8.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 33.8% with 0.67 home runs per nine innings. Sean Manaea will start for New York. Manaea in five starts has an ERA of 3.33 with WHIP of 1.44. The lefthander strikes out 25.2% with 13.1% walks. Grounders come in at 27% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
New York bullpen at home has an ERA of 1.94 in their fifteen games and Cubs 5.75 on the road in their 15 games. Chicago is batting .289 in their five games against left-handed starters putting up seven runs per game. The Mets are putting up 4.4 runs per game against right-handed starters. Manaea 17-4 to the over working on 5-6 days rest. Play Chicago and New York over 8.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/30/2024
Twins at White Sox—Simeon Woods Richardson to start for Minnesota. Woods Richardson in two starts allowed three earned runs with 11 strikeouts in 11 innings. A second-round draft pick in 2018 by the Mets who has pitched a total of 9 2/3rd innings the previous two seasons with the Twins. The righty has put up poor numbers in Triple A this and last season. Michael Soroka to start for Chicago. Soroka has six starts with an ERA of 6.83 and WHIP of 1.69. The righthander has seen his strikeouts plummet to 9.8% with 12.8% walks. Ground balls are 47.1% with 2.17 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Twins bullpen in their first fifteen on the road has an ERA of 3.17. The White Sox in their first games against right-handed starters are batting .213. They are hitting only .209 against the division and the Twins .222. Chicago is 46-29 to the under as an underdog of +125 to +175 with a unit return of +15.1 the past two seasons. They are also 22-11 to the under at home facing a team with a .410 slugging percentage of worse. Play Minnesota and Chicago under 9.
PART 2
Tampa Bay vs. Milwaukee MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/30/2024
Rays at Brewers—Tyler Alexander to start for Tampa Bay. Alexander appeared in five games with an ERA of 4.74 with WHIP of 1.30. The lefthander strikes out 18.9% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls served at 27.3% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings. Freddy Peralta to start for Milwaukee. Peralta has five starts in 2024 dealing an ERA of 3.18 with WHIP of 0.99. The righthander has an elite K rate of 33.3% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.6% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Brewers bullpen in their 12 home games have an ERA of 5.89. They bat just .184 against the four lefthanders they have faced pushing across 2.5 runs per game. The Rays have hit better on the road and so has their bullpen. Play Tampa Bay +156
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/30/2024
Nationals at Rangers—MacKenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore has five starts in 2024 carrying an ERA of 3.12 with WHIP of 1.38. The righthander is striking out 28.7% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 31.3% with 0.69 home runs per nine innings. Jon Gray to start for Texas. Gray in six appearances has an ERA of 2.92 with WHIP of 1.46. The veteran fans 29.1% with 10% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.8% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Rangers are batting .198 against the eight left handers they have faced this season. Their bullpen in their sixteen home games has an ERA of 2.44. The Nationals bullpen in their sixteen road games has an ERA of 2.88. They hit just .229 against right-handed starters. The Rangers are 13-4 to the under facing a team that average seven or greater strikeouts per game. Play Washington and Texas under 8.5.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/30/2024
Guardians at Astros—Carlos Carrasco to start for Cleveland. Carrasco in five starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 4.63 with WHIP of 1.63. The righthander is striking out 18.9% with 12.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 50% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Hunter Brown will start for Houston. Brown has five starts with an ERA of 9.68 with WHIP of 2.49. The righty has seen his K’s drop to 18.3% with 12.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 51.6% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Cleveland bullpen in their sixteen road games has an ERA of 2.56. The Astros bullpen in their thirteen at home has an ERA of 6.14. The Guardians are putting up 5.2 runs per game on the road. The team record behind Brown is 5-12 at home the past two seasons with a -14.9-unit loss. The Guardians are 11-5 on the road with a +8.1 unit return on the year. Play Cleveland +145.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/30/2024
Phillies at Angels—Spencer Turnbull to start for Philadelphia. Turnbull has five starts on the campaign producing an ERA of 1.33 with WHIP of 0.85. The righthander fans 28.3% with 9.4% walks. Grounders served at 47.7% with 0.67 home runs per nine innings. Tyler Anderson to start for Los Angeles. Anderson in five starts an ERA of 1.78 with WHIP of 1.05. The left hander strikes out 17.2% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.5% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Angels bullpen in their thirteen home games have an ERA of 6.88. The Phillies pen has been better on the road. They have been held to .237 hitting against the eleven left-handed starters they have faced putting up 3.7 runs per game. The Angels have shown improvement in hitting and scoring runs the past seven games. Play Los Angeles +127.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/30/2024
Pirates at Athletics—Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller in six starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 5.14 with WHIP of 1.49. The righthander strikes out 20.5% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.3% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Alex Wood to start for Oakland. Wood has six starts with an ERA of 6.59 with WHIP of 1.98. The lefthander is striking out 18.8% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 33% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Athletics bullpen in their fourteen home games has an ERA of 2.79. The Pirates in their past seven games are hitting .200 and putting up 2.3 runs per game. Play Oakland +120.
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/30/2024
Braves at Mariners—Reynaldo Lopez to start for Atlanta. Lopez in four starts delivers an ERA of 0.72 with WHIP of 0.88. The righthander has a K rate of 26.1% with 8.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.8% with minimal home run damage. Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo has six starts with an ERA of 41.5 with WHIP of 1.30. The righty strikes out 28.8% with 4.8% walks. Grounders sit at 35.4% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Seattle bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.96 in seventeen games but their offense is hitting only .198 there. Atlanta in their past seven games is hitting .237. The Braves are 9-1 to the under against the AL this season. Seattle is 9-1 to the under at home facing the NL. Play Atlanta and Seattle under 7.5.
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/30/2024
Reds at Padres—Nick Martinez to start for Cincinnati. Martinez appeared in five games in the year carrying an ERA of 5.48 with WHIP of 1.39. The righthander is striking out 16.8% with 2% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.6% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings. Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish in five starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 4.18 with WHIP of 1.27. The veteran fans 21.8% with 9.9% walks. Grounders dished at 31.3% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Padres hit .228 at home where they have lost 12 of 18. The Reds are pushing across five runs per game in their thirteen road games. The Reds are 37-38 as a road underdog +100 or higher the past two seasons with a +12-unit return. Play Cincinnati +139.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/30/2024
Dodgers at Diamondbacks—Landon Knack to start for Los Angeles. Knack in two starts allowed four earned runs with nine strikeouts in 11 innings. He was second round draft pick in 2020 putting up good numbers in Double and Triple A last season in 22 combined starts. Jordan Montgomery to start for Arizona. Montgomery in two starts allowed four earned runs with seven strikeouts in 13 innings. He signed his free agent contract in late March.
The Pick:
Arizona in their sixteen games against righthanders are hitting only .208 and putting up 3.7 runs per game. The Los Angeles bullpen in their 14 road games has an ERA of 2.18 while the Diamondbacks sit at 4.31 at home. LA is hitting .286 on the road putting up 5.1 runs per game. The team record behind Montgomery is 15-24 the past two seasons with a -20.1 unit loss. Montgomery missed much of Spring Training and is pitching to uncomfortable high contact this season which is a major concern facing this Dodgers lineup. Play Los Angeles -113.