Free MLB Picks For Today 4/22/2024
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/22/2024
Brewers at Pirates—Joe Ross to start for Milwaukee. Ross in three starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 4.91 with WHIP of 1.64. The veteran fans 20% with 11.4% walks. Ground balls served at 50% with no homers allowed. Jard Jones will start for Pittsburgh. Jones has four starts with an ERA of 3.13 with WHIP of 0.78. The righthander strikes out 36.5% with 2.3% walks. Grounders come in at 37.7% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Pirates in their past seven games are hitting .183. Their bullpen in their first seven home games has an ERA of 5.56. Milwaukee batting .282 against the first 18 righthanders they have faced and putting up 6.1 runs per game. They are hitting .306 on the road. The Brewers are 7-0 as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a +8.5 unit return. Play Milwaukee +121.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds NBA Betting Pick Prediction 4/22/2024
Phillies at Reds—Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez has four starts in 2024 producing an ERA of 1.73 with WHIP of 0.77. The lefthander has a K rate of 28.4% with 4.2% walks. Grounders sit at 61.9% with 0.69 home runs per nine innings. Hunter Greene to start for Cincinnati. Greene in four starts an ERA of 4.35 and WHIP of 1.31. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 32.6% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.7% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Reds in their nine games against left-handed starters are batting .207. The team record behind Green 2-9 at home the past two seasons with a -9.1-unit loss. The team record behind Suarez 12-6 against winning teams the past two seasons with a +11-unit return. Play Philadelphia -117.
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays NBA Betting Pick Prediction 4/22/2024
Tigers at Rays—Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit. Skubal has four starts in 2024 with an ERA of 2.28 with WHIP of 0.80. The lefthander strikes out 28.3% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.3% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings. Zack Littell will start for Tampa Bay. Littell in four starts carries an ERA of 2.14 with WHIP of 1.33. The righthander fans 24.7% with 5.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 35.5% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Tampa Bay is batting .281 against the first nine left-handed starters they have faced. The Tigers are batting .222 against the 17 first righthanders they have faced and have a -4.6 unit loss in those games. Play Tampa Bay +101.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals NBA Betting Pick Prediction 4/22/2024
Blue Jays at Royals—Yusei Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi in four starts in 2024 deals an ERA of 2.08 with WHIP of 1.15. The lefthander is striking out 33% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 51% with limited home run damage. Brady Singer will start for KC. Singer has four starts with an ERA of 1.54 with WHIP of 0.86. The righthander fans 25.6% with 7.8% walks. Grounders come in at 57.9% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Royals have the better bullpen performance. The team record behind Singer is 23-11 at home the past three seasons with a +14.6-unit return. The team record behind Kikuchi is 23-29 when favored by -110 or higher and a -20-unit loss. At home KC is putting up 5 runs a game and hitting .260. Play Kansas City -101.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St Louis Cardinals Reds NBA Betting Pick Prediction 4/22/2024
Diamondbacks at Cardinals—Brandon Pfaadt to start for Arizona. Pfaadt has four starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 5.32 with WHIP of 1.23. The second year righthander is fanning 22.8% with 3% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.5% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings. Lance Lynn the starter for St Louis. Lynn in four starts has an ERA of 2.18 with WHIP of 1.21. The veteran is striking out 21.6% with 8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.7% with 1.74 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Arizona is batting .219 against right-handed starters going under in seven of ten against them. St Louis is batting .205 at home going under in six of nine at their ballpark. Pfaadt is 17-5 to the under the past two seasons and 18-6 to the under when facing teams that average seven or greater strikeouts per game the past two seasons. Play Arizona and St Louis under 8.5.
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies NBA Betting Pick Prediction 4/22/2024
Padres at Rockies—Dylan Cease will start for San Diego. Cease has four starts delivering an ERA of 1.99 with WHIP of 0.93. The righthander has a K rate of 30% with 12.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 32.7% with limited home run damage. Austin Gomber to start for San Diego. Gomber in four starts has an ERA of 4.95 with WHIP of 1.50. The lefty fans 20.5% with 9.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.4% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Gomber’s ERA if 3.50 in his two starts at home. The Team record behind Gomber is 16-9 when an underdog of +125 to +175. The Rockies are 19-17 when a home underdog of +150 to +200 the past two seasons with a +16-unit return. Play Colorado +161.
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants NBA Betting Pick Prediction 4/22/2024
Mets at Giants—Jose Quintana to start for New York. Quintana in four starts in 2024 produces an ERA of 3.05 with WHIP of 1.50. The lefthander strikes out 17.6% with 12.1% walks. Grounders served at 43.8% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.52 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Keaton Winn the starter for San Francisco. Winn has four starts delivers an ERA of 4.09 with WHIP of 1.09. The righthander deals 19.5% Ks with 9.2% walks. Grounders sit at 56.7% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Giants bullpen has struggled this year and have been heavily used. San Francisco is their first ten home games are averaging 3.3 runs per game. The Mets in their first nine road games is batting .282 and putting up 6.2 runs per game. New York is 12-4 facing teams that average seven or greater strikeouts per game this season. Play New York +101.