Free MLB Picks For Today 4/16/2024
More MLB Picks Predictions Previews
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/16/2024
Twins at Orioles—Chris Paddack to start for Minnesota. Paddack had been sidelined to injury. He has a career 70 appearances with an ERA of 4.21 with WHIP of 1.15. He has 345 strikeouts and 72 walks in 344 innings. The righthander has two starts this year allowing four earned runs with two homers and seven strikeouts in 8 2/3rd innings. Grayson Rodriguez to start for Baltimore. Rodriguez in three starts on the year posted an ERA of 2.50 with WHIP of 1.17. The righty has a K rate of 28.4% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.5% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.89 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
The Orioles are putting up 6.1 runs per game against righthanded starters in their first nine games against them. Minnesota is batting only .184 against righthanded starters having faced them 11 times on the year. Minnesota is 15-23 to the run line on the road facing lineups averaging 1.25 home runs per game the past three seasons with a -16.3-unit loss. The Orioles are 70-48 to the run line against right-handed starters the past two seasons with a +16.3-unit return. Play Baltimore on run line -1.5 runs at +130.
San Fracisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/16/2024
Giants at Marlins—Jordan Hicks to start for San Francisco. Hicks in three starts on the year carries an ERA of 1.00 with WHIP of 0.83. The righthander fans 19.7% with 4.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 56.3% with limited home run damage. Ryan Weather to start for Miami. Weathers has three starts in 2024 with an ERA of 2.57 with WHIP of 1.50. The lefthander is striking out 18.5% with 12.3% walks. Grounders served at 52.4% with 0.64 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.80 suggests a rising ERA based on form.
The Pick:
The Giants bullpen has an ERA of 6.29 on the road and the Marlins 6.61 at home. The Marlins are averaging 5.6 runs per game against right-handed starters in their first seven games against them. San Francisco is batting .303 against left-handed starters. As this series opened the Giants were 9-1 to the over on the road. The Giants are 19-8 to the over facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.70 or higher the past two seasons. Play San Francisco and Miami over 8.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/16/2024
Angels at Rays—Jose Soriano to start for Los Angeles. Soriano in three appearances on the year posts an ERA of 6.30 with WHIP of 1.30 with one start and two relief appearances. The righthander allowed three homers this season. He appeared in 38 games last year with an ERA of 3.64 and WHIP of 1.33. He had 30.3% strikeouts with 12.4% walks. Grounders served at 53.3% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. Aaron Civale to start for Tampa Bay. Civale has three starts in 2024 with an ERA of 2.12 with WHIP of 0.94. The veteran fans 27.3% with 6.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.4% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Team record behind Civale is 3-12 when facing an AL team with a slugging percentage of .410 or worse with a +20.5-unit return. Civale’s form is the difference here. Play Tampa Bay -145.
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/16/2024
Yankees at Blue Jays—Carlos Rodon to start for New York. Rodon had three starts on the year posting an ERA of 1.72 with WHIP of 1.47. The lefthander strikes out 18.8% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls served at 34.7% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. Yusei Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi in three starts in 2023 has an ERA of 2.30 with WHIP of 1.28. The lefty fans 30.8% with 10.8% walks. Grounders sit at 57.9% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
The New York bullpen has performed well this season. Toronto, in their first six games at home, have a bullpen ERA of 6.75. The team record behind Rodon is 17-4 with a +13.7 unit return when facing an AL team averaging 3.9 runs per game or fewer. Play New York -111.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/16/2024
Guardians at Red Sox—Tanner Bibee to start for Boston. Bibee in three starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 5.93 with WHIP of 1.83. The righthander has a K rate of 23.1% with 12.3% walks. Grounders dealt at 41% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. Garrett Whitlock to start for Boston. Whitlock has three starts in 2024 with an ERA of 1.26 and WHIP of 1.19. The righty is striking out 27.1% with 10.2% walks. Grounders sit at 44.4% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Cleveland is getting elite work out of their bullpen. The Red Sox bullpen at home has an ERA of 6.20 in their six games. The Guardians are averaging 5.9 runs per game on the road. Boston is batting .206 at home. Boston is 25-37 at home facing righthanded starters with a -19.5-unit loss the past two seasons. Play Cleveland +100.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/16/2024
Pirates at Mets—Jared Jones to start for Pittsburgh. Jones in three starts delivers an ERA of 4.00 with WHIP of 0.94. The rookie righthander has a K rate of 34.7% with 2.8% walks. Grounders served at 34.1% with 2.00 home runs per nine innings. Jose Quintana will start in New York. Quintana has three starts in the year with an ERA of 3.45 and WHIP of 1.53. The lefthander is fanning 17.1% with 11.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 44% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh in their seven games against left-handed starters are batting .292 and putting up 6.4 runs per game. Quintana control is a concern. Play Pittsburgh.
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/16/2024
Padres at Brewers—Dylan Cease to start for San Diego. Cease in three starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 2.16 with WHIP of 0.84. The righthander is striking out 30.3% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 27.5% with limited home run damage. Wade Miley will start for Milwaukee. Miley started 23 games in 2023 with an ERA of 3.14 with WHIP of 1.14. He had a strikeout mark of 16.1% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.3% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. Miley in his first start of the year allowed one run with no strikeouts in five innings at Cincinnati. He returned from a 15-day stint on the IL with a shoulder injury.
The Pick:
Team record behind Miley 11-4 as an underdog of +100 or higher the past two seasons with a +10-unit return. Milwaukee is batting .294 against right-handed starters putting up 6.8 runs per game. San Diego has struggled to put up runs against left-handed starters. Play Milwaukee +111.
Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/16/2024
Braves at Astros—Reynaldo Lopez will start for Atlanta. Lopez had 68 appearances in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.27 with WHIP of 1.27. The righthander fanned 29.9% with 12.2% walks. Ground balls sat at 39.2% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the year allowing one run with 11 strikeouts in 12 innings. Hunter Brown to start for Houston. Brown in three starts on the season has an ERA of 16.43 with WHIP of 3.91. The righty is striking out 15.1% with 13.2% walks. Grounders are 44.7% with 2.35 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Atlanta in their first eight games against right-handed starters are hitting .324 and putting up 7.2 runs per game. The Astros bullpen in their first ten at home carries an ERA of 6.10. The team record behind Brown is 5-11 at home the past two seasons with a -13.9-unit loss. Houston is 18-24 at home facing a winning team the past two seasons with a -15.5-unit loss. Play Atlanta -115.