Free MLB Picks For Today 4/13/2024
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Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/13/2024
Royals at Mets—Alec Marsh to start for Kansas City. Marsh had 25 appearances in 2023 posting an ERA of 5.69 with WHIP of 1.56. The righthander struck out 24.9% with 11.4% walks. Ground balls sat at 34.6% with 1.94 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the year allowing four earned runs with eight strikeouts in 11 2/3rd innings. Sean Manaea to start for New York. Manaea last year had 37 appearances with an ERA of 4.44 with WHIP of 1.24. The lefthander fanned 25.7% with 8.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.9% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. In his two starts this year he allowed one run with fourteen strikeouts in 11 innings.
The Pick:
Kansas City is batting .206 against lefthanders. The Mets are batting only .173 at home. Overall, both bullpens are performing well. New York is 46-30 to the under at home facing teams that average 7 or greater strikeouts per game. They are also 38-19 to the under at home against right-handed starters the past two seasons. Play Kansas City and New York under 8.5.
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/13/2024
Rockies at Blue Jays—Dakota Hudson to start for Colorado. Hudson in 18 appearances last year delivered an ERA of 4.98 with WHIP of 1.50. The righthander struck out only 12.7% with 9.6% walks. Grounders came in at 51.5% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. In two starts this year he allowed three earned runs with six strikeouts in 11 2/3rd innings. Bowden Francis is the starter for Toronto. Francis appeared in 20 games last year dealt an ERA of 1.73 with WHIP of 0.83. The righty had a K rate of 25.7% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.2% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts in 2024 and allowed twelve earned runs, four homers and 12 strikeouts in 8 1/3rd innings.
The Pick:
The Blue Jays are 37-35 as a home favorite of -110 or higher the past two seasons. The Blue Jays bullpen ERA at home is 8-31 in three home games and they have struggled to get runs on the board. Play Colorado +169.
Milwaukee Brewers s. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/13/2024
Brewers at Orioles—DL Hall to start for Milwaukee. Hall had eighteen appearances in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.26 with WHIP of 1.19. The lefthander had a K rate of 28.4% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 49% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. He had two starts on the year allowing five earned runs with six strikeouts in 9 1/3rd innings. Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer made 32 starts a year ago with an ERA of 4.12 with WHIP of 1.31. The righthander struck out 21.4% with 7.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.3% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings. In two starts on the year he allowed four runs with 11 strikeouts in 12 1/3rd innings.
The Pick:
The Brewers are 35-25 as an underdog of +100 to +150 the past two seasons with a +16.3-unit return. They are 15-8 in interleague play with a +9.7 unit return the past two seasons. The Brewers are hitting .277 and putting up 6.2 runs per game on the road. The Orioles are hitting only .180 in their five games against left-handed starters.
Play Milwaukee +129.
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/13/2024
Rangers at Astros—Andrew Heaney is the start for Texas. Heaney appeared in 34 games in 2023 carrying an ERA of 4.15 with WHIP of 1.38. The lefthander fanned 23.6% with 9.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 40% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings. In two starts on the campaign he allowed nine runs with nine strikeouts in 8 1/3rd innings. Seven runs were earned. Ronel Blanco to start for Houston. Blanco had 17 appearances last year with an ERA of 4.50 with WHIP of 1.48. The righty had a K rate of 23% with 12.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.7% with 2.08 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the year allowing no runs with 11 strikeouts and one hit in 15 innings of work.
The Pick:
In Day Games the Rangers are batting .192 and Astros at .319. Blanco’s form a key here. Play Houston -139.
Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/13/2024
Pirates at Phillies—Marco Gonzales to start for Pittsburgh. Gonzales made 10 starts last season posting an ERA of 5.22 with WHIP of 1.46. The lefthander fanned 15.8% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls sat at 40.6% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts in the year allowing three runs with six strikeouts in 11 innings. Spencer Turnbull had seven starts last year with an ERA of 7.26 with WHIP of 1.68. The righthander struck out 16.6% with 10.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.5% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the campaign allowing one run with thirteen strikeouts in 11 innings.
The Pick:
Gonzales off to a good start. Pirates’ bullpen has outperformed the Phillies. The Phillies hit .224 in their seven home games. The Pirates in their eight road games hit .274 and put up 6.2 runs per game. The team record behind Gonzales is 17-7 when working on 5 to 6 days rest with a +11.7 unit return and 12-4 when facing an NL team hitting .255 or worse with a +11.1-unit return. Play Pittsburgh +130.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/13/2024
Braves at Marlins—Chris Sale to start for Atlanta. Sale made 20 starts last season dealing an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP of 1.03. The lefthander fanned 29.4% with 6.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.3% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. He made two starts on the year allowing four runs with thirteen strikeouts in 10 2/3rd innings. Max Meyer to start for Miami. Meyer appeared in two games in 2023 allowing five earned runs with two homers and six strikeouts in six innings of work. The righthander has two starts on the year allowing three runs with seven strikeouts in two homers in 11 innings.
The Pick:
Miami is batting .175 against lefthanders putting up 2.1 runs per game and getting poor work from their bullpen. Atlanta facing right-handed pitching is hitting .341 and putting up 8.1 runs per game. The Braves are 38-23 to the run line facing a team with an OBP of .315 or lower the past two seasons. Miami is 14-26 to the run line facing teams outscoring opponents by 1 or greater run per game the past two seasons. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -115.
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/13/2024
Giants at Rays—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb in his three starts on the year carries an ERA of 4.86 with WHIP of 1.56. The veteran strikes out 17.8% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls sat at 44.6% with limited home run damage. Ryan Pepiot to start for Tampa Bay. Pepiot appeared in eight games last year with an ERA of 2.14 with WHIP of 0.76. The righthander struck out 23.9% with 3.1% walks. Ground balls served at 42.3% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings. In his two starts on the year he allowed six earned runs with fourteen strikeouts in 11 2/3rd innings.
The Pick:
San Francisco is 7-0 in their first seven games on the road this season. Webb form is poor as is their bullpen. The Rays are 42-24 to the over at home facing right-handed starters the past two seasons. Pepiot got hammered in his first start of the season at home to Texas. Play San Francisco and Tampa Bay over 8.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/13/2024
Angels at Red Sox—Griffin Canning is the starter for Los Angeles. Canning appeared in 24 games in 2023 dealing an ERA of 4.32 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander had a strikeout mark of 25.9% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls sat at 42.7% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings. In his two starts this year he allowed nine runs with six strikeouts in 9 2/3rd innings. Cooper Criswell will start for Boston. Criswell had ten appearances with the Rays last year with an ERA of 5.73 and WHIP of 1.55. The righty fanned 17.9% with 7.3% walks. Grounders dealt at 44.4% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings. He had two starts in Triple-A allowing one run with nine strikeouts in 10 1/3rd innings.
The Pick:
Canning’s form a concern as is the Angels bullpen. Facing Los Angeles is a drop in class for the Red Sox lineup in this home stand as they put up 21 runs in their series last week at the Angels. Play Boston.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/13/2024
Cardinals at Diamondbacks—Kyle Gibson to start for St Louis. Gibson made 33 starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.73 with WHIP of 1.32. The veteran fanned 19.5% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls sat at 48.9% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the campaign allowing nine runs, four homers and nine strikeouts in 13 innings. Ryne Nelson will start for Arizona. Nelson had 29 appearances last year producing an ERA of 5.31 with WHIP of 1.42. The righty struck out only 15.5% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls sat at 36.7% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings. He started twice on the year allowing seven earned runs with nine strikeouts in 8 1/3rd innings.
The Pick:
Arizona is batting .290 at home and putting up 6.6 runs per game in their first seven at this location. St Louis is batting only .206 against right handers. St Louis is 25-35 when lined at -100 to -150 this season with a -18.9-unit loss. The Diamondbacks bullpen has performed well this season. Play Arizona +101.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/13/2024
Padres at Dodgers—Matt Waldron to start for San Diego. Waldron had eight appearances last season with an ERA of 4.35 with WHIP of 1.23. The righthander struck out 17.9% with 6.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 40% with 1.96 home runs per nine innings. In his two starts on the campaign he allowed five runs with twelve strikeouts in 9 1/3rd innings. Gavin Stone will start for Los Angeles. Stone made eight appearances last year, dealing an ERA of 9.00 with WHIP of 1.90. The righty fanned 14.5% with 8.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.5% with 2.32 home runs per nine innings. In his two starts on the season he allowed eight earned runs with eleven strikeouts in eight innings.
The Pick:
Los Angeles is hitting .304 at home and putting up 6.5 runs per game and has had success scoring on right-handed starts. Both bullpens have struggled. San Diego is hitting .277 on the road and putting up 5.7 runs per game. The Dodgers are 39-21 to the over facing a bullpen with an ERA of 4.20 or higher the past two seasons. Play San Diego and Los Angeles over 9.