Free MLB Picks For Today 4/12/2024
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/12/2024
Pirates at Phillies—Bailey Falter will start for Pittsburgh. Falter appeared in 18 games last year posting an ERA of 5.36 with WHIP of 1.41. The lefthander fanned 17.3% with 5.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.2% with 1.90 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts this season, allowing six runs with two homers and three strikeouts in ten innings. Christopher Sanchez is the starter for Philadelphia. Sanchez had 29 appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 3.44 and WHIP of 1.05. The lefthander had a K rate of 24.2% with 4% walks. Ground balls sat at 57% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. In his two starts on the campaign he allowed five earned runs with nine strikeouts in 9 1/3rd innings.
The Pick:
Pirates in their five games against left-handed starters are hitting .302 and putting up 7.8 runs per game. They were 5-0 in those games. Philadelphia has hit just .223 at home. Team record behind Falter 10-1 when facing an NL team with a slugging percentage of .390 or lower the past two seasons. Play Pittsburgh +143.
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/12/2024
Giants at Rays—Keaton Winn to start for San Francisco. Winn had nine appearances in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.68 with WHIP of 1.04. The righthander fanned 20.3% with 4.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 58% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the year allowing seven runs with seven strikeouts in 11 innings. Tyler Alexander will start for Tampa Bay. Alexander appeared in 25 games last year posting an ERA of 4.50 with WHIP of 1.11. The lefthander had a K rate of 24.3% with 2.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 32% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings. In his two starts he allowed nine earned runs with four homers and eight strikeouts in 9 1/3rd innings.
The Pick:
San Francisco in their two games against left-handed starters are batting .303 and putting up five runs per game. Their bullpen in their seven road games has an ERA of 7.46. The Rays in their three games against the NL are putting up 6 runs per game. Their bullpen has an ERA of 6.43. Play San Francisco and Tampa Bay over 7.5.
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/12/2024
Yankees at Guardians—Clarke Schmidt to start for New York. Schmidt made 33 appearances last season putting up an ERA of 4.64 with WHIP of 1.35. The righthander struck out 21.5% with 6.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.8% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the year allowing five earned runs with nine strikeouts in 9 2/3rd innings. Carlos Carrasco will start for Cleveland. Carrasco in 20 starts in 2023 delivered an ERA of 6.80 with WHIP of .170. The veteran fanned 15.8% with 9.1% walks. Grounders sat at 45% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings. In his two starts in 2024 he allowed four earned runs with nine strikeouts in eight innings of work.
The Pick:
The New York bullpen in their seven road games have an ERA of 1.27. Cleveland is putting up elite numbers from their bullpen with an ERA of 1.29. The Guardians are 35-21 to the under when facing a bullpen with a WHIP of 1.35 the past two seasons. Schmidt is 14-4 to the under when facing a team with a slugging percentage of .410 or worse the past three seasons. Play New York and Cleveland under 9.
Texan Rangers vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/12/2024
Rangers at Astros—Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning appeared in 35 games in 2023 produced an ERA of 3.70 with WHIP of 1.26. The righthander had a K rate of 19.4% with 7.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.3% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. In his two starts on the year he allowed six earned runs with seven walks and 14 strikeouts in 13 innings. J.P. France will start for Houston. France had 24 appearances delivering an ERA of 3.83 with WHIP of 1.36. The righty had a K rate of 17.4% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls sat at 42.8% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the year allowing six earned runs with nine strikeouts in 11 1/3rd innings.
The Pick:
Texas is batting .306 against right-handed starters and putting up 6.2 runs per game winning six of those eight games. The Astros bullpen in their seven home games has an ERA of 6.00. Houston is 2-8 as a favorite this year of -110 or higher with a -8.1-unit loss. The Rangers are 27-20 as an underdog of +100 to +150 the past two seasons with a +11.7-unit return. Play Texas +121.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/12/2024
Padres at Dodgers—Michael King will start for San Diego. He has three appearances in the year with an ERA of 3.14 and WHIP of 1.47. The righthander struck out 23.4% with 17.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.2% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Yoshinobu Yamamoto to start for Los Angeles. Yamamoto in three starts carries an ERA of 4.09 with WHIP of 1.09. The righty has a Krate of 31.9% with 6.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 50% with no homers allowed.
The Pick:
Los Angeles is 39-21 to the over when facing a bad bullpen with an ERA of 4.20 or higher the past two seasons with a +16 unit return. San Diego is batting .277 on the road and putting u 5.7 runs per game. Los Angeles is batting .295 against righthanders and putting up 6 runs per game. Both bullpens are struggling. Play San Diego and Los Angeles over 8.5.