Free MLB Picks For Today 4/4/2024
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Game 1 Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/4/2024
Tigers at Mets—12PM ET–With the rainout on Tuesday and Wednesday the pitching matchups remain the same for Thursday. Casey Mize to start for Detroit. Mize last pitched in 2022 due to Tommy John surgery. He comes off a good spring. In 39 career starts the righthander had an ERA of 4.29 with WHIP of 1.21 striking out 148 batters with 56 walks in 188 2/3rd innings of work. Adrian Houser to start for New York. Houser appeared in 23 games with Milwaukee last season producing an ERA of 4.12 with WHIP of 1.39. The veteran struck out 20% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.7% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Detroit bullpen has been outstanding. New York in their three games against righthanded starters are hitting only .137. The Mets are 22-28 as a favorite of -125 to -175 with a -18.2-unit loss the past two seasons. Play Detroit +120 in Game 1.
Game 2 Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/4/2024
Tigers at Mets—3:10PM ET–In Game 2 Matt Manning will start for Detroit. Manning had 15 starts last season dealing an ERA of 3.58 with WHIP of 1.04. The righthander struck out 15.8% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.7% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. He was called up from Triple A for this season. He had a minor league start this season allowing one earned run in five innings. Jose Butto to start for New York. Butto was also recalled from Triple A for this start. Butto appeared in nine games in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.64 with WHIP of 1.33. The righty had a K rate of 21.2% with 12.8% walks. Ground balls served at 42.2% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Butto’s control with the Mets last season a concern here. New York has struggled to hit righthanded starters this season. Play Detroit +120 in Game 2.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/4/2024
Pirates at Nationals—Martin Perez to start for Pittsburgh. Perez had 35 starts in 2023 dealt an ERA of 4.45 with WHIP of 1.40. The lefthander struck out 15.3% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls sat at 45.5% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. In his first start he allowed one earned run with two strikeouts in 4 1/3rd innings at Miami. Josiah Gray to start for Washington. Gray in 30 starts last year posted an ERA of 3.91 with WHIP of 1.46. The righthander had a K rate of 20.5% with 11.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37.8% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. He opened the season at Cincinnati and allowed seven earned runs with two homers and two walks in four innings.
The Pick:
Team record behind Perez 19-4 facing losing teams. Washington is 7-29 at home facing teams with a bullpen ERA of 3.45 or better the past three seasons with a -17.1-unit loss. Play Pittsburgh -132.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/4/2024
Guardians at Twins—Tanner Bibee is the starter for Cleveland. Bibee had 25 starts last year dealing an ERA of 2.98 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander fanned 24.1% with 7.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.8% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings. He opened the season at Oakland by allowing three earned runs with five walks in four innings. Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez in 32 starts in 2023 produced an ERA of 3.66 with WHIP of 1.15. The veteran had a K rate of 29.2% with 6% walks. Ground balls sat at 45.2% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. He began 2024 at KC and allowed one earned run with seven strikeouts in seven innings.
The Pick:
Cleveland 34-17 to the under facing AL Teams averaging 4.4 runs per game or fewer the past two seasons. They are 36-14 to the under in divisional games the past two seasons. Both bullpens were in great form. The twins are batting only .154 against righthanded starters. Play Cleveland and Minnesota under 7.5.
Miami Marlins vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/4/2024
Marlins at Cardinals—Ryan Weathers to start for Miami. Weathers appeared in 15 games last year producing an ERA of 6.55 with WHIP of 1.68. The troubled lefthander struck out 16.7% with 11.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.6% with 1.87 home runs per nine innings. His open assignment was hosting Pittsburgh and allowed three earned runs with two walks in four innings. Lance Lynn to start for St Louis. Lynn in 32 starts in 2023 collected an ERA of 5.73 with WHIP of 1.39. The veteran struck out 23.6% with 8.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 35.6% with 2.16 home runs per nine innings. He faced the Dodgers on the road to begin the season and allowed no runs with five strikeouts in four innings.
The Pick:
The team record behind Lynn is 19-2 facing teams with a win percentage of .380 or lower. Weathers has a career ERA near six in his three seasons in the Majors. Play St Louis -146.
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/4/2024
White Sox at Royals—Michael Soroka to start for Chicago. Soroka appeared in seven games last season putting up an ERA of 6.40 with WHIP of 1.48. The righthander has limited starts the past few seasons due to injuries. He has a career ERA of 3.40 with WHIP of 1.22 striking out 200 batters in 251 1/3rd innings. He opened the year at home to Detroit by allowing four earned runs with three walks in five innings. Seth Lugo to start for KC. Lugo had 26 starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.57 with WHIP of 1.20. The veteran fanned 23.2% with 6% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.2% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. He faced Minnesota to start the season and allowed no runs with four strikeouts in six innings.
The Pick:
Kansas City is 4-13 as a home favorite of -110 or higher the past two seasons with a -12.3 unit loss. KC bullpen has an ERA of nearly seven. Play Chicago +147.