Free MLB Picks For Today 3/30/2024
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/30/2024
Brewers at Mets—DL Hall to start for Milwaukee. Hall appeared in 18 games with the Orioles last year producing an ERA of 3.26 with WHIP of 1.19. The lefthander struck out 28.4% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls served at 49% with limited home run damage. Luis Severino to start for New York. Severino in 19 appearances with the Yankees in 2023 carried an ERA of 6.65 with WHIP of 1.65. The veteran saw his strikeout rate plummet to 18.9% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls sat at 42.2% with 2.32 home runs per nine innings. His swinging strikes dropped to 9.7%. The Brewers won the opener of this series 3-1.
The Pick:
Milwaukee has won eight of nine against the Mets. The team record behind Severino 11-28 when lined between +125 and -125. New York is 17-35 against left-handed starters for -26.8-unit loss. Play Milwaukee +115.
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/30/2024
Tigers at White Sox—Kenta Maeda starts for Detroit. Maeda made 21 appearances in 2023 carrying an ERA of 4.23 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander struck out 27.3% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sat at 32.6% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings. Michael Soroka to start for Chicago. Soroka appeared in seven games with Atlanta last year posting an ERA of 6.40 with WHIP of 1.48. The injury laden righty struck out 20% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.9% with 2.51 home runs per nine innings. Detroit won the opener 1-0.
The Pick:
Detroit 17-4 on the road when favored by -100 and -150. Chicago is 14-35 with -15.4 units as an underdog of +100 or higher the past two seasons. When they are a sizable underdog at home between +125 and +175, they are 5-24 with -16.3 unit loss. Soroka’s injury history the concern. Play Detroit -138.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/30/2024
Angels at Orioles—Griffin Canning will start for Los Angeles. Canning worked in 24 games a season ago with an ERA of 4.32 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander fanned 25.9% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls served at 42.7% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings. Grayson Rodriguez to start for Baltimore. Rodriguez had 23 starts in his rookie year dealing an ERA of 4.35 with WHIP of 1.34. The righty struck out 25% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls sat at 47.2% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings. Baltimore wins the opener 11-3.
The Pick:
Orioles have won six of seven against the Angeles with five of those wins covering the run line. Angels’ bullpen looks as bad as last season and the hitting lineup has weakened. Canning in three starts against the Angels has an ERA of 9.23 with WHIP of 2.10. Play Baltimore on run line -1.5 at +120.
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/30/2024
Braves at Phillies—Max Fried to start for Atlanta. Fried in an injury laden year started 14 games with an ERA of 2.55 and WHIP of 1.13. The lefthander had a K rate of 25.7% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls sat at 57.7% with limited home run damage. Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola started in 32 games in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.46 with WHIP of 1.15. The veteran struck out 25.5% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls served at 42.6% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings. Atlanta won the opener 9-3.
The Pick:
Team record behind Fried 31-8 when road favorite of -110 or higher. Prefer Atlanta lineup and Phillies bullpen concerns real. Play Atlanta -134.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/30/2024
Guardians at Athletics—Tanner Bibee to start for Cleveland. Bibbee in his rookie campaign posted an ERA of 2.98 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander had a strikeout mark of 24.1% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls sat at 36.8% with limited home run damage. JP Sears to start for Oakland. Sears started 32 games in 2023 dealing an ERA of 4.54 with WHIP of 1.26. The lefthander fanned 21.9% with 7.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 29.1% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings. Cleveland moved to 2-0 with a 6-4 win on Friday.
The Pick:
Cleveland has won eight of nine against the Athletics. Oakland is 18-49 as a home underdog of +125 to +175 with a -22.8-unit loss past two seasons. Play Cleveland -135.
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/30/2024
Twins at Royals—Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan started 29 games in 2023 dealing an ERA of 4.51 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander struck out 29.3% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls sat at 31.6% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings. Ryan added a sinker to his arsenal. Seth Lugo to start for Kansas City. Lugo had 26 starts with the Padres last year with an ERA of 3.57 and WHIP of 1.20. The veteran fanned 23.2% with 6% walks. Ground balls sat at 45.2% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. Minnesota wins the opener 4-1.
The Pick:
KC is 9-22 when in these closed line games when lined at +125 to -125 past two seasons with a -13.3 unit loss. The Royals bullpen makes them tough to take at this short price and bats were quiet in the opener. Play Minnesota -118.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/30/2024
Pirates at Marlins—Jared Jones to start for Pittsburgh. Jones makes his MLB debut on Saturday. A second-round draft pick in 2020 out of high school from Whittier California. He spent time in Double and Triple A last year combining for 146 strikeouts in 126 innings of work. The righthander earned this opportunity with a good spring. Ryan Weathers will start for Miami. Weathers worked in 15 games in 2023 dealing an ERA of 6.55 with WHIP of 1.68 for the Marlins and Padres. The lefthander struck out 16.7% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.6% with 1.87 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Weathers a career ERA of 5.88 with WHIP of 1.52. He has been ineffective in his three seasons in MLB. Miami -29.8 units at home against righthanders for the past three seasons. Play Pittsburgh -108.
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/30/2024
Nationals at Reds—Washington starts Patrick Corbin. The veteran lefthander had 32 starts in 2023 dealing an ERA of 5.20 with WHIP of 1.48. Corbin saw his strikeout rate drop to 15.7% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sat at 44.2% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings. Hunter Greene starts for Cincinnati. Green made 22 starts last year with an ERA of 4.82 with WHIP of 1.42. The third year righthander had an elite K rate of 30.5% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 34.4% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings. The Reds won the opener 8-2.
The Pick:
Team record behind Corbin 10-7 in day games the past two seasons with a +11.1 unit return and 2-1 the past three seasons against the Reds. Nationals 33-33 with +20.7 unit return in day games past two seasons. Play Washington +147.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/30/2024
Blue Jays at Rays—Yusei Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi started 32 games last year dealing an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 1.27. The lefthander struck out 25.9% with 6.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.7% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. Zack Littell to start for Tampa Bay. Littell appeared in 28 games in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.10 with WHIP of 1.18. The traveled righthander fanned 19.5% with 3.2% walks. Ground balls sat at 42.5% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. The Rays evened this series with the 8-2 home win.
The Pick:
The team record behind Kikuchi 12-4 when closely lined at +125 to -125 with a +8.3-unit return. Littell high contact a concern against this Blue Jays lineup. Play Toronto +108.
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/30/2024
Cubs at Rangers—Kyle Hendricks to start for Chicago. Hendricks had 24 starts a season ago dishing an ERA of 3.74 with WHIP of 1.20. The veteran saw his strikeouts drop to 16.1% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls sat at 46.3% with limited home run damage. Cody Bradford will start for Texas. Bradford appeared in 20 games in his rookie campaign dealing an ERA of 5.30 with WHIP of 1.21. The lefthander struck out 21.8% with 5.1% walks. Grounders sat at 32.1% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings. The Rangers in the opener in extra innings 4-3.
The Pick:
Bradford posted a WHIP of 0.98 at home last year with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Hendricks high contact a concern against this Rangers lineup. Chicago 36-50 the past two seasons in these closely line games when sitting at +125 to -125. Play Texas -125.
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/30/2024
Yankees at Astros—Marcus Stroman to start for New York. Stroman appeared in 27 games in 2023 carrying an ERA of 3.95 with WHIP of 1.26. The veteran struck out 20.7% with 9% walks. Ground balls served at 57.1% with minimal home run damage. Hunter Brown to start for Houston. Brown in 31 appearances last year had an ERA of 5.09 with WHIP of 1.36. The second year righthander fanned 26.8% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls sat at 52.4% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings. New York has taken the first two in this series with their 7-1 win.
The Pick:
The team record behind Brown is 5-10 at home the past two seasons with a -12.7-unit loss. Houston 27-33 at home facing a right-handed starter the past two seasons with a -23-unit loss. Play New York +122.
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/30/2024
Giants at Padres—Jordan Hicks to start for San Francisco. Hicks in 65 appearances a season ago had an ERA of 3.29 with WHIP of 1.46. The righthander had a K rate of 28.4% with 11.2% walks. Grounders dealt at 58.3% with limited home run damage. Dylan Cease will start for San Diego. Cease had 33 starts for the White Sox in 2023 delivering an ERA of 4.58 with WHIP of 1.42. The righty struck out 27.3% with 10.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 36% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. San Francisco evened this series with the 8-3 win on Friday.
The Pick:
We could see a lot of work from these bullpens on Saturday. Each of these bullpens are struggling early on. Padres and Giants are hitting. Play San Francisco and San Diego over 7.5.
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/30/2024
Rockies at Diamondbacks—Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber in 27 starts last year posted an ERA of 5.50 with WHIP of 1.49. The lefthander saw his strikeouts plummet to 14.9% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.6% with 1.68 home runs per nine innings. Tommy Henry will start for Arizona. Henry in 17 appearances in 2023 carried an ERA of 4.15 with WHIP of 1.36. The lefty struck out 16.8% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls delivered at 36.2% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Arizona has taken the first two in this series with the 7-3 win on Friday.
The Pick:
Rockies pitching has allowed 23 runs in the first two games of this series. Arizona has won six of seven against Colorado with all six wins covering the run line. The Diamondbacks are 37-19 to the run line against left-handed starters the past two seasons with a +17 unit return. Arizona hit Gomber well. Play Arizona on run line -1.5 runs at +105.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/30/2024
Cardinals at Dodgers—Lance Lynn to start for St Louis. Lynn at 32 starts with the White Sox and Dodgers last year had an ERA of 5.73 with WHIP of 1.39. The fourteen-year veteran stuck out 23.6% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls sat at 35.6% with 2.16 home runs per nine innings. Yoshinobu came over from the Japanese League with elite performance. In his season opener the righthander allowed five earned runs with two strikeouts in one inning against the Padres in Korea. Los Angeles has taken the first two in this series after their 6-3 win on Friday.
The Pick:
Lynn is 22-11 to the over the past two seasons. Lynn’s form is the concern. Yamamoto struggled in the spring and in his first appearance in the regular season. Play St Louis and Los Angeles over 9.
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/30/2024
Red Sox at Mariners—Kutter Crawford appeared in 31 games last year dealing an ERA of 4.04 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander fanned 25.6% with 6.8% walks. Grounders served at 34.9% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings. Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert had 32 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.73 and WHIP of 1.08. The fourth year righty struck out 24.5% with 4.7% walks. Grounders dealt at 41.4% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. Seattle evened this series with a 1-0 win on Friday.
The Pick:
Team record behind Gilbert 3-9 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 the past three seasons with a -10.4-unit loss. Red Sox 22-18 as an underdog of +125 to +175 the past two seasons with a +13.8-unit return. Like Crawford’s WHIP and strikeout rate last season. Play Boston +133.