Iowa Hawkeyes (10-3) vs. Tennessee Volunteers (8-4)
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Tennessee Volunteers 1/1/24 – The NCAAF Citrus Bowl presents a thrilling encounter between the Iowa Hawkeyes, with an impressive 10-3 record, and the Tennessee Volunteers, standing at 8-4. This match-up on Monday, at Camping World Stadium, is more than just a game; it’s a battle of wits, strategy, and raw talent. Fans and bettors alike are keenly looking for NCAAF bowl winning free picks in this evenly poised contest.
Iowa Hawkeyes season has been highlighted by outstanding performances from running back Leshon Williams and wide receiver Nico Ragaini, two players who have consistently made headlines this season. Williams rushed for 804 yards at an impressive average of 4.9 per carry while Ragaini has provided reliable receiving options during key moments.
Tennessee Volunteers counter with Jabari Small and Squirrel White as two offensive stars that pose significant threats against Iowa Hawkeyes defenses. Small has played an essential role in Tennessee’s running game with 475 rushing yards and two touchdowns in four games played this year; White boasts 764 receiving yards with an 11.9 average per catch, making an impactful statement about his speed and route-running abilities.
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Tennessee Volunteers 1/1/24 Game Info
|Monday, January 1, 2024 at 1:00 PM ET
|Camping World Stadium
Deacon Hill QB vs. Nico Iamaleava QB
Deacon Hill entered the season with high expectations in his first year as the starting quarterback. However, he has struggled to find consistency and limit mistakes. On the year, Hill has completed just 49.4% of his passes, averaging a meager 4.7 yards per attempt with more interceptions (6) than touchdowns (5). He has also taken his fair share of sacks (20) resulting in over 130 sack yards lost due to his immobility and indecision in the pocket. Hill clearly lacks confidence and continues to leave too many plays on the field.
On the other hand, Nico Iamaleava possesses tremendous upside if called upon to take a larger role. Despite his true freshman status, he has displayed early signs of promise in limited action. Iamaleava is completing over 60% of his passes while averaging 6.3 yards per attempt. He has shown the accuracy, athleticism, and playmaking ability that Hill lacks for the Hawkeyes. Most promising is Iamaleava’s early mastery of the offense and ability to protect the football. He has only taken one sack for minimal loss while throwing his lone touchdown and no interceptions.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Tennessee Volunteers -225, Total Odds: 36
The betting odds favor Tennessee, with a spread of -6 suggesting confidence in their ability to cover. The total set at a relatively low 36 points indicates expectations of a defensive battle.
Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Trends
Iowa has gone 2-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last 6 games, failing to cover in 4 of its last 5. This indicates the Hawkeyes have struggled to meet betting market expectations recently. The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Iowa’s last 8 games. The Hawkeyes’ anemic offense and stout defense have led to a series of low-scoring affairs. Iowa is 4-1 straight up (SU) in its last 5 games, displaying an ability to grind out wins despite offensive limitations.
Tennessee Volunteers Betting Trends
Tennessee has gone 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games. This points to the Volunteers failing to cover inflated spreads caused by the public betting their high-powered offense. The total has gone OVER 4 of Tennessee’s last 6 games. The Volunteers have one of the highest-scoring offenses in the nation and tend to get involved in shootouts. Tennessee is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games. When focused, the Volunteers can score with anyone behind their abundant offensive talent.
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Tennessee Volunteers 1/1/24 Betting Picks
Analyzing both teams’ strengths and weaknesses, Tennessee appears to have a slight edge, primarily due to their stronger offensive capabilities. However, Iowa’s defensive prowess cannot be underestimated, especially considering their trend of keeping games low-scoring.
For bettors, the safer pick might be Tennessee, but Iowa’s potential for an upset, especially with their defensive record, makes them an intriguing underdog. Prop bets on individual player performances could add value, especially given the expected defensive nature of the game. Considering the trends, betting on the UNDER might be a prudent choice.
With premium expert tips favoring Tennessee, this Citrus Bowl match-up promises to be a tactically intense and closely contested game, ideal for fans and bettors alike.
Free Pick and Prediction: Tennessee Volunteers 20, Iowa Hawkeyes 13