Andre Fili vs. Lucas Almeida 12/16/23 – Our expert premium predictions for the upcoming UFC 296 featherweight bout between Andre Fili and Lucas Almeida taking place on December 16, 2023 evaluate the fighters’ skills, statistics, and recent performances to provide the analysis and picks. The matchup features two highly talented strikers looking to bounce back into the win column after recent losses. Let us delve into fighter’s ability to take down opponent.
Andre Fili vs. Lucas Almeida 12/16/23 Game Info
| When: | Saturday, December 16, 2023 at 6:00 PM ET |
| Where: | T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
Andre “Touchy” Fili Analysis
Andre Fili‘s record as a featherweight fighter speaks for itself; with over 10 years’ experience under his belt and multiple fighting styles under his belt he has demonstrated the versatility to adapt. His average fight time shows an intelligent approach leading to long and strategic fights. Fili’s striking game can be identified by his high strike rate of 3.83 strikes per minute with 37% accuracy, signaling his preference for an aggressive approach with reduced precision; he absorbs 4.13 strikes per minute which could be problematic against an expert striker like Almeida.
Fili excels at grappling. His average of 2.22 takedowns every 15 minutes combined with 47% takedown accuracy show his skill in effectively shifting fights onto the ground, while his takedown defense rate of 69% further shows off his expertise during grappling exchanges. Fili has proven himself an adaptable fighter during recent performances despite losing to Wood. He has faced an array of opponents while learning and adapting effectively for each fight he faced; these skills are critical in an ever-evolving sport such as mixed martial arts (MMA).
Lucas Almeida Analysis
Lucas Almeida‘s 14-2-0 record indicates an aspiring fighter on the rise, showing both skill and ambition. His fight times reflect his preference for decisive engagements over Fili’s approach of slow, measured engagements. Almeida’s striking is one of his core strengths. He averages 5.29 significant strikes per minute at 47% accuracy, showing not just volume but precision as well. Yet with equal strikes taken per minute against, Fili can exploit any defensive gaps through skillful striker play.
Almeida has comparatively weak grappling stats. He has no recorded takedowns and only 40% takedown defense, leaving him vulnerable against versatile grapplers like Fili, who can combine striking with effective ground control techniques. This aspect could prove decisive during any fight between them. Recent fights by Almeida have showcased his power while also exposing flaws in his defense, particularly on the ground. His loss against Sabatini exposed vulnerabilities which Fili could exploit.
Andre Fili vs. Lucas Almeida Stats
| Fili | Almeida | |
| Wins/Losses/Draws | 22-10-0 (1 NC) | 14-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 11:08 | 10:54 |
| Height | 5′ 11″ | 5′ 11″ |
| Weight | 145 lbs | 145 lbs |
| Reach | 74″ | 71″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed per Min. | 3.83 | 5.29 |
| Striking Accuracy | 37% | 47% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 4.13 | 5.29 |
| Defense | 51% | 45% |
| Takedowns Average/15 min. | 2.22 | 0.00 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 47% | 0% |
| Takedown Defense | 69% | 40% |
| Submission Average/15 min. | 0.3 | 0.0 |
Andre Fili vs. Lucas Almeida Betting Pick
After a thorough analysis of both fighters’ styles, strengths, and recent performances, the pick for the UFC 296 Featherweight bout leans towards Andre Fili. Fili’s balanced approach in both striking and grappling, combined with his tactical experience, gives him an edge. Almeida’s striking prowess is formidable, but Fili’s ability to navigate both stand-up and ground scenarios effectively might be the key to controlling and eventually winning the bout.
Free Pick: Andre “Touchy” Fili -180
The MMA free selections for this anticipated UFC 296 matchup suggest Andre Fili as the favored fighter against Lucas Almeida. Fili’s blend of experience, striking ability, and grappling expertise positions him as a well-rounded contender. Almeida, while a powerful striker, may need to bolster his grappling defense to counter Fili’s diverse skill set. This bout is poised to be a showcase of Fili’s strategic acumen against Almeida’s striking force, making it a must-watch for MMA fans. Enjoy the fight and best of luck with the wagers of all the punters online.