Luton Town (2-3-9) vs. Arsenal (10-3-1)
Luton Town vs. Arsenal 12/5/23 – Luton Town (2-3-9) takes on league powerhouse Arsenal (10-3-1) in EPL action on Tuesday in a big mismatch on paper. Luton Town sits second last in the standings and has lost 9 of their 14 matches. Arsenal is competing for the league title, losing just once this season. The oddsmakers see this as an easy Arsenal win as well with EPL free predictions today pointing heavily in their favor.
Luton Town leans heavily on striker Carlton Morris for scoring with 3 goals in 14 starts. His physical and aggressive style could pose problems for Arsenal’s back line. Elijah Adebayo also provides a scoring threat up front with 2 goals early on. However, Arsenal has conceded the second fewest goals in the league at just 10 allowed. Their organized defense and midfield should limit quality chances.
Arsenal distributes scoring very evenly with consistent contributions. Eddie Nketiah leads the club with 5 goals so far. Dynamic winger Bukayo Saka has added another 5 goals while also pacing the team with 4 assists. Creative midfielder Martin Ødegaard facilitiates the attack masterfully racking up 4 goals and 2 assists. Luton’s defense allows the most goals in the league at 31 conceded so Arsenal’s multifaceted attack could have their way.
Luton Town vs. Arsenal 12/5/23 Game Info
| When: | Tuesday, December 5, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET |
| Where: | Kenilworth Road |
| TV: | |
| Stream: |
Thomas Kaminski GK vs David Raya GK
Veteran goalkeeper Thomas Kaminski has faced plenty of shots given Luton Town’s porous defense, making 55 saves and allowing 25 goals over 14 starts. His strong positional sense and reflexes make scoring difficult when shots are within range. However, Arsenal’s dynamic attack thrives on turning defenses with quick combination play, often creating high percentage chances. Quality opportunities could be Kaminski’s demise.
David Raya continues to develop into one of the league’s better shot-stoppers for Arsenal. He has earned 4 clean sheets in 9 starts, conceding just 7 times with a bright 75% save rate. Raya’s composure on crosses and ability to cover his box gives Arsenal stability at the back. Playing the league’s most porous defense, his skills likely won’t be tested often on Tuesday.
Soccer Odds/Point Spread: Arsenal -280, Total Odds: 3
The oddsmakers see Arsenal as significant road favorites laying 1.5 goals at reasonable -107 odds against lowly Luton Town. Given Arsenal’s vast superiority, taking them to cover seems advisable. The total of 3 also feels a bit high considering Arsenal doesn’t often concede and outmatches Luton considerably in attack as well. The under on goals holds solid value.
Luton Town Betting Trends
Luton Town is 0-2 in their last 5 matches. They are 3-2 against the spread in their last 5. Just 3-5 against the spread in away fixtures. The over has hit in 3 of their last 5 games. Luton Town has struggled mightily for positive results and covering spreads recently. With Arsenal entering in peak form, turning around their away spread record seems unlikely on Tuesday. The over trend is notable though which plays into Arsenal’s offensive explosiveness.
Arsenal Betting Trends
Arsenal has won 4 of their last 5 matches. Also 4-1 against the spreads in their last 5 games
Away from home they are 1-1 against the number. The over has hit in 4 of their last 5 matches. Arsenal comes in red hot over the past month winning and covering consistently. Even on the road they’ve fared decently against the spread this season. Their high-powered attack has also fueled overs frequently of late. Facing Luton Town’s porous defense points to continued overs success.
Luton Town vs. Arsenal 12/5/23 Betting Picks
Considering the analysis and recent trends, Arsenal emerges as the clear favorite. Their offensive strength, coupled with a solid defense, gives them a significant edge over Luton Town. However, Luton Town’s ability to challenge stronger teams should not be underestimated, especially with home-field advantage.
For those interested in premium parlays, Arsenal seems a safe bet for the win, with the potential for the game to exceed the total goals of 3. Luton Town’s challenge will be to contain Arsenal’s attack while creating scoring opportunities against a tough defense.
Free Pick and Prediction: Arsenal 3, Luton Town 1.