Cal Poly Mustangs (3-5) vs. Oregon State Beavers (4-3)
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Oregon State Beavers 12/4/23 – The Cal Poly Mustangs (3-5) will face the Oregon State Beavers (4-3) on Monday night in a non-conference NCAA Men’s Basketball matchup. The game, set to take place at 10:00 PM ET at Gill Coliseum, is expected to draw significant attention. Our NCAAB free expert analysis predicts a lopsided win for the favorites at home.
Cal Poly Mustangs have had an uneven season. Averaging 68.6 points per game and boasting an impressive field goal percentage of 42.8%, they have demonstrated some offensive potential – particularly on offense where their field goal percentage stands at 42.8%. Unfortunately their record on the road (ranging from 0-15 straight up wins in their last 15 road contests to an ATS record that often outperforms expectations) betrays their difficulties.
Oregon State Beavers, however, have enjoyed greater success this season averaging 71.6 points per game with a field goal percentage of 41.9% and boast an excellent home record at Gill Coliseum where they have gone undefeated during their last five games played there; their home advantage could prove vitally important against Cal Poly; however their performance against Big West conference teams suggests possible weaknesses which Cal Poly could exploit.
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Oregon State Beavers 12/4/23 Game Info
| When: | Monday, December 4, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Gill Coliseum |
| TV: | PACN |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Kobe Sanders (Guard) vs. Jordan Pope (Guard)
Mustangs guard Kobe Sanders is scoring nearly a third of the team’s points this year. His outside stroke has powered an efficient perimeter attack. However, Sanders lacks size at just 6-foot-1 and has struggled against high-major opponents. Facing an athletic Beavers backcourt on the road will be a difficult challenge.
Beavers guard Jordan Pope has emerged as a dynamic scorer in his first season for Oregon State. He attacks the rim relentlessly despite standing just 6-foot-1 himself. Pope also rarely misses at the charity stripe. His quickness could overwhelm Sanders defensively. But if Sanders gets hot from deep, Pope may be forced into foul trouble trying to contain him.
This matchup features two undersized scoring guards. Sanders has proven capable of taking over games with his scoring, while Pope has shown the same natural ability. Whichever player is able to exploit their athletic advantages could swing this game in their team’s direction. Their supporting casts must also deliver to take some pressure off the go-to guys.
NCAAB Odds/Point Spread: Oregon State Beavers -1250, Total Odds: 134.5
The Beavers are nearly two touchdown favorites at home against Cal Poly. This big of a spread suggests Oregon State could turn this into a blowout. The total is set fairly low at just 135 points. In a game featuring two high-scoring guards, points could be plentiful. Bettors may look to the over in that scenario.
Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Trends
The recent performance trends for Cal Poly showcase their ability to stay competitive against the spread, but extreme struggles winning games overall. The Mustangs enter Monday’s contest on a 15-game losing streak on the road. This extended skid away from home doesn’t bode well for their chances at Gill Coliseum. On a more positive note, low-scoring games have been the norm for Cal Poly in non-conference December matchups lately, with the under hitting in four of their past five contests played in the year’s final month.
Oregon State Beavers Betting Trends
As for Oregon State, they have been virtually unstoppable on their home floor, entering Monday on a 5-game winning streak in Corvallis. The Beavers have also handled opponents from the Big West Conference with ease in recent years, owning a 5-1 straight up record in their last six games against the mid-major conference. Much like their opponents, low-scoring affairs have also been common for Oregon State leading up to conference play, with six of their last seven December games finishing under the total. Their dominance at Gill Coliseum is further evidenced by their sterling 7-2 record against the spread in their previous nine home Monday night contests.
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Oregon State Beavers 12/4/2023 Betting Picks
This game presents a clear favorite in Oregon State, but the point spread poses a challenging decision for bettors. Cal Poly’s ATS record indicates they could cover the spread, even if winning outright seems unlikely.
For premium predictions, Oregon State is favored to win, but the value may lie in Cal Poly covering the spread, given the large point differential. The total points are a tricky prediction, but given both teams’ scoring trends, the under on 134.5 could be a reasonable choice.
Free Pick and Prediction: Oregon State Beavers 72, Cal Poly Mustangs 61