Alabama Crimson Tide (10-1) vs. Auburn Tigers (6-5)
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers 11/25/23 – Entering Week 13 of NCAAF action, the fierce rivalry between the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Auburn Tigers is set to ignite once again. With the Crimson Tide boasting a formidable 10-1 record against the Tigers’ more modest 6-5, this matchup at Jordan-Hare Stadium on November 25, 2023, is steeped in anticipation. These contrasting records provide intriguing Handicapping Insights, as both teams prepare for a high-stakes battle, broadcast live at 3:30 PM ET on CBS.
Alabama’s offense features a two-headed monster at running back in Jahmyr Gibbs and Jase McClellan. The duo has combined for over 1,800 rushing yards and 20 touchdowns this season. Auburn’s defense allows just 130 rushing yards per game, so slowing down Alabama’s ground attack will be critical. Quarterback Bryce Young poses another threat with his pinpoint accuracy, distributing the ball evenly to his many weapons.
For Auburn, quarterback Robby Ashford makes this offense go. While inconsistent as a passer, Ashford brings game-breaking speed as a runner, keeping defenses honest. His connection with receiver Ja’Varrius Johnson continues improving and could be an x-factor. Ultimately, we foresee Alabama’s offensive firepower being too much for the Tigers to overcome.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers 11/25/23 Game Info
| When: | Saturday, November 25, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET |
| Where: | Jordan-Hare Stadium |
| TV: | CBS |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Jalen Milroe QB vs. Payton Thorne QB
Bryce Young is putting up Heisman-caliber numbers again, completing 67% of his passes for 3,007 yards, 27 touchdowns and just 5 interceptions. The quick-release junior displays exceptional accuracy and touch, distributing to all areas of the field. Young’s pocket presence and play extension allow his electric receivers to uncover. He should find plenty of success attacking Auburn’s 97th ranked pass defense.
As a passer, Robby Ashford has been inconsistent, tossing 6 interceptions over his last four games. The dual-threat weapon thrives more as a runner, tallying over 500 rushing yards and 7 scores. While he can improvise and create explosive plays with his legs, Ashford’s 57% completion rate and 4:3 TD to INT ratio reveal room for improvement. Alabama’s pass defense allows just 179 yards per game.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide -600, Total Odds: 48.5
The current betting odds favor the Alabama Crimson Tide significantly, with a -13.5 spread and a -600 moneyline, reflecting their strong season performance. The total of 48.5 points, leaning towards an over, suggests expectations of a high-scoring game, a scenario quite possible given the offensive firepower of both teams.
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Trends
Alabama has been reliable for bettors this season, covering the spread in 7 of their last 8 games. The Crimson Tide are also rolling straight up, going 9-0 SU across their last nine contests. When playing Auburn specifically, Alabama is 4-1 straight up over their previous five meetings. However, traveling to Jordan-Hare Stadium has posed some issues against the spread historically, with Alabama going just 1-4 ATS over their last five road matchups against the Tigers.
Auburn Tigers Betting Trends
Despite their straight up struggles in the SEC, Auburn has brought their A-game against Alabama at home recently. The Tigers are 4-1 against the spread over their last five home games facing the Tide. In general late-season play, Auburn has been a strong bet going 6-1-1 ATS over their previous eight games in November. The total has also trended under for Auburn, going below the line in 16 of their last 20 games played in week 13. When catching points as underdogs, their games have gone over 8 of the last 10 times.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers 11/25/23 Betting Picks
Considering these statistics and trends, the final thoughts lean towards Alabama having the upper hand. Their offensive strength, coupled with Auburn’s struggles against SEC teams, makes them a strong pick. However, Auburn’s ATS performance at home against Alabama and their late-season surge indicate a potential for a closer game than the spread suggests. The key will be Alabama’s ability to overcome the road environment and Auburn’s determination to defy the odds.
For NCAAF free selections, the recommendation leans towards picking Alabama to win but Auburn to cover the spread, acknowledging the rivalry’s intensity and Auburn’s home-field advantage. The over/under is trickier, but given Alabama’s offensive trends, betting on the OVER could be a worthwhile consideration.
Free Pick and Prediction: Alabama Crimson Tide 31, Auburn Tigers 21