Kentucky Wildcats (6-5) vs. Louisville Cardinals (10-1)
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Louisville Cardinals 11/25/23 – As the NCAAF season progresses, the Kentucky Wildcats confront a formidable challenge against the Louisville Cardinals in a highly anticipated Week 13 encounter. Both teams enter this confrontation with noteworthy records – the Wildcats at 6-5 and the Cardinals at an impressive 10-1. This contest, slated for Saturday at Cardinal Stadium and televised on ABC, represents a significant test for both teams. It provides an exceptional opportunity for enthusiasts seeking top NCAAF picks to witness a compelling display of collegiate football.
Kentucky Wildcats season has been marked by both success and failure. Running back Ray Davis has been an instrumental asset, amassing 990 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns with the ability to break tackles and gain substantial yards from opponents. Wide Receiver Dane Key also proved himself vital with 528 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns; his agility and timely catches are integral for Kentucky’s offensive strategy.
Louisville Cardinals fans should take heart from their near-perfect season and their deep bench of talent. Running Back Jawhar Jordan has been outstanding, rushing for 1009 yards and 11 touchdowns while Wide Receiver Jamari Thrash has made headlines by amassing 741 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns through route running and consistency, making him an invaluable target.
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Louisville Cardinals 11/25/23 Game Info
|Saturday, November 25, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
Devin Leary QB vs. Jack Plummer QB
Kentucky quarterback Devin Leary has had an outstanding season. Compiling 2234 passing yards and 20 touchdowns against 9 interceptions, his performance has been commendable. While not stellar, his 56.4% completion rate has kept the Wildcats competitive while also showing great ability to read defenses and make quick decisions under pressure; though 18 sacks indicate better protection and quicker releases may be required to improve.
On the other side of things, Louisville Cardinals quarterback Jack Plummer has been more than efficient. Amassing 2710 passing yards, 19 touchdowns, and an astounding completion rate of 65.4% this season alone he has been instrumental in their success this year. Especially notable has been his 85-yard longest pass and impressive decision-making under pressure skills that stand him apart compared to Leary; yet similarly he too has experienced 20 sacks thus far this season which could indicate vulnerabilities against strong defenses.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Louisville Cardinals -300, Total Odds: 50.5
The betting odds favor the Louisville Cardinals with a -300 moneyline and a spread of -7.5. The total set at 50.5 points suggests expectations of a moderately high-scoring game. Bettors should consider these odds while keeping an eye on the teams’ recent performances and matchups history.
Kentucky Wildcats Betting Trends
The Wildcats’ betting trends present a challenging picture. Their 1-5 record against the spread in their last six games illustrates an underperforming relative to expectations; however, their 5-1 ATS mark against Louisville and propensity for total points over suggests potential areas for betting opportunities.
Louisville Cardinals Betting Trends
Louisville’s betting trends are more positive. Their 4-2 against-the-spread record and 11-1 record against straight up opponents over their last 12 games show consistency and reliability; however, their 1-7 mark against Southeastern Conference rivals could be cause for concern.
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Louisville Cardinals 11/25/23 Betting Picks
Based on our analysis and betting trends, my recommendation leans heavily in favor of Louisville Cardinals. Their overall performance this season, combined with home field advantage and superior quarterback play gives them an edge; however, due to their resilient history against Louisville and recent success against them as an underdog they remain an option in covering spreads against them.
For those seeking elite top betting advice, while Louisville seems the safer pick for a straight win, the spread presents a more nuanced challenge. Kentucky’s ability to keep games close and their historical performance against Louisville suggest they could cover the +7.5 spread. The total, set at 50.5, is a tricky proposition, but given both teams’ offensive capabilities, an OVER bet might be worth considering, particularly with both teams showing tendencies to exceed point expectations in recent games.
Free Pick and Prediction: Louisville Cardinals 31, Louisville Cardinals 24