Free NFL Picks For Today 10/29/2023
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Atlanta Falcons vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/29/2023
Falcons at Titans—Atlanta starters on offense are healthy. A linebacker on defense is questionable. Ryan Tannehill is out in Tennessee. Their defensive starters are healthy. Atlanta improved to 4-3 with their 16-13 road win at Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Falcons rushed for 156 yards on 38 attempts. They limited the Buccaneers to 3.5 yards per run with 256 passing on 42 attempts. Desmon Ridder completed 19 of 25 for 250 yards. He averaged 10 yards per pass attempt and rushed for a touchdown. First road win for Ridder. Atlanta committed three turnovers and forced two from the Buccaneers. Tennessee fell to 2-4 with their 24-16 defeat in London two weeks ago to the Baltimore Ravens. The Titans rushed for 129 yards on 19 carries. They allowed 3.5 yards per run to the Ravens with 221 passing on 30 attempts. Ryan Tannehill hit 8 of 16 for 76 yards and an interception. Tannehill missed the fourth quarter with a high ankle sprain and listed it as questionable heading into the bye week. Levis gets the start at quarterback so expect a whole lot of Derrick Henry running the football with play action opportunities for Levis. Tennessee runs for 4.6 yards a carry. The Titans do a good job in defending the run. Ridder’s turnover makes is tough to back as a road favorite. The Falcons are 22nd in the league offensively in the red zone. Titans defense is third in the red zone. They are 2-0 straight up at home allowing 13.5 points and 276 yards a game. Play Tennessee +2.5.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/29/2023
Vikings at Packers—Minnesota has a left guard questionable on offense. Their defensive starters are healthy. Green Bay tight end Musgrave is questionable along with their center. On defense a linebacker and corner are questionable. Minnesota improved to 3-4 with their 22-17 home victory to San Francisco Giants. The Vikings rushed for 74 yards on 21 carries. They limited the 49ers to under three yards a carry with 260 passing on 30 attempts. Minnesota had a +2-turnover margin. Kirk Cousins completed 35 of 45 for 378 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 8.4 yards per pass attempt. Green Bay is 2-4 with their 19-17 road defeat at Denver Broncos. The Packers rushed for 137 yards on 29 carries. They surrendered 145 yards on the ground to the Broncos with 194 passing on 29 attempts. Jordan Love hit 21 of 31 for 180 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 5.8 yards per pass attempt. Short week for Minnesota after their Monday night game. Vikings are struggling to run the football and the Packers have been efficient in pass defense. Minnesota defensively is giving up 74.8% completion rate with 6.8 yards per pass attempt. Love is 4-2 straight up at home. The Vikings defense is 25th on third down and 26th in the red zone. Play Green Bay +1.
Houston Texans vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/29/2023
Texans at Panthers—Houston receiver Woods is out with their left guard questionable. On defense a tackle is out. Carolina has their right offensive tackle questionable. On defense two linebackers and their free safety are questionable with a strong safety out. Houston improved to 3-3 with their 20-13 home victory to New Orleans Saints two weeks ago. The Texans rushed for 120 yards on 31 carries. They allowed 3.5 yards per run to the Saints with 341 yards passing on 51 attempts. C.J. Stroud completed 13 of 27 for 199 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 7.4 yards per pass attempt. Carolina fell to 0-6 with their 42-21 road defeat to Miami Dolphins two weeks ago. The Panthers blew a 14-0 lead after one quarter. They rushed for 4.2 yards a carry. Carolina allowed 162 yards rushing to the Dolphins with 262 passing on 32 attempts. Bryce Young hit 23 of 38 for 217 yards with a touchdown. He averaged 5.7 yards per pass attempt. The Panthers are a desperate team needing a win and a good shot to get it here. Houston struggles with their run game with 3.2 yards a carry and poor quarterback accuracy with 59.8%. Carolina is a high-volume passing team and Houston is allowing 70.6% completion rate with 6.9 yards per pass attempt. The Texans’ offense is 28th in the red zone and the defense is 27th on third down. The Panthers offense is above average on third down and the defense sits fourth. Play Carolina +3.5.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/29/2023
Jaguars at Steelers—Trevor Lawrence is questionable for Jacksonville along with both starting guards. Wide receiver Zay Jones is out. On defense a corner and free safety are questionable. Pittsburgh starters on offense are healthy. On defense a corner is questionable. Jacksonville improved to 5-2 with their 31-24 road win at New Orleans. The Jaguars rushed for 113 yards on 26 carries. They held the Saints to over 3.5 yards per rush with 295 passing on 55 attempts. Trevor Lawrence completed 20 of 29 for 204 yards with a touchdown. He rushed for 59 yards. Pittsburgh improved to 4-2 with their 24-17 road win at Los Angeles Rams. The Steelers rushed for 86 yards on 29 carries. They allowed 4.5 yards per run to Los Angeles with 219 passing on 29 attempts. Kenny Pickett completed 17 of 25 for 230 yards with 9.2 yards per pass attempt. He averaged a season high of 9.2 yards per pass attempt. Bad weather forecast in Pittsburgh with 97% chance or rain. Lawrence was a limited participant in practice this week with his knee sprain. Media reports are that he will play through it. Below average efficiency for the Jaguars passing game with 9.5 yards per completion and 6.4 yards per pass attempt. Pittsburgh in their past three games holding teams to 19 points a game. Lawrence 4-7 straight up as a road favorite. Pickett in these closely line games when he is -1.5 to +5.5 is 8-3 to the spread. Jacksonville offense is 27th on third down. Past three games Jacksonville defense is giving up 383 yards. Play Pittsburgh +2.
New Orleans Saints vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/29/2023
Saints at Colts—New Orleans fullback and left tackle are out. Their left guard is questionable. On defense both safeties and a linebacker are questionable. Indianapolis right end Granson and their right tackle are out. On defense a corner is out. New Orleans falls to 3-4 with their 31-24 home defeat to the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Saints rushed for 112 yards on 31 carries. They allowed 4.5 yards per carry on the ground to the Jaguars with 217 passing on 30 attempts. Derek Carr completed 33 of 55 for 301 yards with a touchdown and interception. He averaged only 5.5 yards per pass attempt and only one completion for twenty or greater yards. Indianapolis fell to 3-4 with their 39-38 home defeat to Cleveland Browns. The Colts rushed for 168 yards on 40 carries. They surrendered 150 yards rushing to the Browns with 166 passing on 37 attempts. Indianapolis allowed four sacks and had a -2-turnover margin after committing four turnovers. Gardner Minshew hit 15 of 23 for 305 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 13.3 yards per pass attempt and had eight completions for twenty or greater yards. Minshew rushed for 29 yards and two touchdowns. New Orleans running game struggling at 3.5 yards a carry. They are not an efficient passing team with 9.1 yards per completion and 5.8 yards per pass attempt. Colts are tenth in the NFL by allowing opponents 5.2 yards per play behind good run defense. Derek Carr is 2-13 to the spread as a road favorite. The New Orleans offense is 26th on third down and 29th in the red zone. The Colts have efficient numbers in their passing game with 10.7 yards per completion and 6.8 yards per pass attempt. Indianapolis defense is eighth on third down. Play Indianapolis +2.
Los Angeles Rams vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/29/2023
Rams at Cowboys—Los Angeles right offensive tackle is questionable. On defense a linebacker is questionable. Dallas has their left tackle questionable with healthy starters on defense. Los Angeles fell to 3-4 with their 24-17 home defeat to Pittsburgh Steelers. The Rams rushed for 135 yards on 31 carries. They limited the Steelers to three yards per run with 214 passing on 25 attempts. Matthew Stafford completed 14 of 29 for 231 yards with a touchdown and interception. He averaged 8 yards per pass attempt. LA allowed the Steelers to convert all three red zone drives. Dallas improved to 20-17 after their 20-17 road win at Los Angeles Chargers two weeks ago. The Cowboys rushed for 96 yards on 26 carries. They held the Chargers to under three yards per run with 219 passing on 37 attempts. Dak Prescott hit 21 of 30 for 272 yards with a touchdown. He averaged a season high of 9.1 yards per pass attempt. The Cowboys come off the bye week. Dallas has an accurate passing game with 69.7% completion rate. Los Angeles has the sixth rated offense in the league by averaging 365 yards per game. The Rams average 11.6 yards per completion and 6.9 yards per pass attempt and get 4.3 yards per rush. Dak Prescott is 23-11 as a home favorite putting up 32.3 points a game. Dallas offense is fourth on third down. Los Angeles is seventh on third down and tenth in the red zone offensively. Play Los Angeles and Dallas over 45.5.
New York Jets vs. New York Giants NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/29/2023
Jets at Giants—New York Jets receiver Cobb is questionable with their right guard out. Their defense is healthy. NYG quarterback Daniel Jones is out with his neck injury. New York Giants tight end Waller is questionable as is their center and right tackle. Their left tackle is doubtful. On defense a linebacker and corner are questionable. NYJ improved to 3-3 with their 20-14 home victory two weeks ago over the Philadelphia Eagles. The Jets rushed for 89 yards on 21 carries. They allowed under four yards per run to the Eagles with 268 passing on 45 attempts. It was a +4-turnover margin for the Jets. Zach Wilson completed 19 of 33 for 186 yards. He averaged only 5.6 yards per pass attempt. NYG improved to 2-5 after their 14-7 home victory to Washington Commanders. The Giants rushed for 106 yards on 32 carries. They limited the Commanders to 76 yards rushing with 197 passing on 42 attempts. Daniel Jones missed the game with his neck injury. Tyrod Taylor completed 18 of 29 for 279 yards and two touchdowns. He averaged 9.6 yards per pass attempt and had seven completions for 20 or greater yards. The Jets are producing in the run game with 5.2 yards a carry with the Giants 29th in stopping the run by giving up 5 yards per rush. NYG pass defense struggling giving up 10.9 yards per completion and 6.8 yards per pass attempt. The Giants sit 29th in total offense by averaging 278 yards a game with an inefficient passing game. The New York Jets defense does a good job in pass defense. Their offense has shown improvement in their past three games. Play New York Jets -3.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/29/2023
Eagles at Commanders—The Philadelphia starters are healthy. On defense their defensive tackle is questionable. Washington receiver Curtis Sameul is questionable, and their defensive starters are healthy. Philadelphia improved to 6-1 with their 31-17 home victory to the Miami Dolphins. The Eagles rushed for 99 yards on 34 carries. They limited the Dolphins to 45 yards rushing with 199 passing on 32 attempts. Jalen Hurts completed 23 of 31 for 279 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 9 yards per pass attempt with six completions for 20 or greater yards. He had a rushing touchdown. Washington fell to 3-4 with their 14-7 road defeat to the New York Giants. The Commanders rushed for 76 yards on 19 carries. They allowed 3.3 yards per run to the Giants with 250 passing on 29 attempts. Sam Howell hit 22 of 42 for 249 yards with an interception. He averaged 5.9 yards per pass attempt. Howell was sacked six times. A slight chance of rain is forecasted with some wind. The Commanders pass offense is inefficient. They average 4.2 yards per rush, but the Eagles hold opponents to 3.6 yards per carry. Philadelphia efficient in pass defense by allowing 9.2 yards per completion and 6 yards per pass attempt. At home the Commanders averaged only 14.3 points and 288 yards a game. Philadelphia in their past three games allowed 245 yards a game. Washington offense is 31st on third down. Jalen Hurts 11-6 to the under as a road favorite. Howell 2-0 to the under as a home underdog. Play Philadelphia and Washington under 43.5.
New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/29/2023
Patriots at Dolphins—New England left tackle is questionable. On defense they have a linebacker out with a defensive end and corner questionable. Miami running back Mostert, their fullback and center all questionable. On defense a corner and safety are questionable. New England is 2-5 after their 29-25 home victory to the Buffalo Bills. The Patriots rushed for 96 yards on 24 carries. They limited the Bills to 81 rushing yards for under four yards per rush with 258 passing on 41 attempts. Mac Jones completed 25 of 30 passes for 272 yards with two touchdowns. He averaged 9.4 yards per pass attempt. Jones led a game winning drive in the closing seconds in victory. Miami fell to 5-2 with their 31-17 road defeat to the Philadelphia Eagles. The Dolphins rushed for only 45 yards on 12 carries. They held the Eagles to under three yards a carry with 256 passing on 31 attempts. Tua Tagovailoa hit 23 of 32 passes for 216 yards with a touchdown and interception. He averaged 6.8 yards per pass attempt and was limited to two completions of 20 or greater yards. Miami has won and covered all three games at home. Wins by 50 to the Giants, 15 to the Giants and 14 to the Panthers. New England on the road averaging 15.3 points and 259 yards per game. Miami has the top-rated offense in the NFL by averaging 462 yards and 7.9 yards per play. An efficient passing team that averages 12.7 yards per completion and 9.1 yards per pass attempt. Mac Jones is 2-8 to the spread as a road underdog completing only 61.8% of his passes. Play Miami -9.5.
Cleveland Browns vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/29/2023
Browns at Seahawks—Cleveland quarterback Deshaun Watson is out. Running back Ford and their left tackle are questionable. On defense a linebacker is questionable. Seattle receiver Lockett is questionable with their right guard doubtful. Their safety on defense is questionable. Cleveland is 4-2 after their 39-38 road win at Indianapolis. The Browns rushed for 150 yards on 33 carries. They allowed 168 yards rushing to the Colts with 288 passing on 23 attempts. Cleveland had a +2-turnover margin. DeShaun Watson left the game early with a shoulder injury. PJ Walker relieved and completed 15 of 32 passes for 178 yards with an interception. He averaged only 5.6 yards per pass attempt and has been announced as the starter for Sunday. Seattle improved to 4-2 following their 20-10 home victory to Arizona Cardinals. The Seahawks rushed for 115 yards on 32 carries. They allowed 127 yards rushing to Arizona with only 122 passing on 34 attempts. The Seahawks survived a -3-turnover margin. Geno Smith hit 18 of 24 passes for 219 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He averaged a season high of 9.1 yards per pass attempt. DK Metcalf missed the game due to injury. Cleveland is running effectively for 4.5 yards a carry. Seattle offense at home averaging 307 yards a game. The Browns have the top-rated defense as they are strong against the pass and run. Five turnovers for Seattle in their past two games. The Seahawks defense is 28th on third down and 30th in the red zone. Poor performance for Seattle on third down and red zone on offense. Cleveland offense is fifth in the red zone and defensively best on third down. Play Cleveland +3.5.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Arizona Cardinals NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/29/2023
Ravens at Cardinals—Baltimore starters are healthy on offense. Defensively a linebacker and safety are questionable. Kyler Murray will not return on Sunday to Arizona and the left guard is out. On defense an end is out with a safety questionable. Baltimore moved to 5-2 with their 38-6 home victory to Detroit Lions. The Ravens rushed for 146 yards on 27 carries. They allowed 84 yards rushing to the Lions with 253 passing on 53 attempts and had five sacks. Lamar Jackson completed 21 of 27 for 357 yards and three touchdowns. He averaged a season high of 13.2 yards per completion and had a rushing touchdown. Arizona drops to 1-6 with their 20-10 road defeat to Seattle Seahawks. The Cardinals rushed for 127 yards on 25 carries. They allowed 3.5 yards per run to the Seahawks with 203 passing on 24 attempts. Arizona had a +3-turnover margin. Joshua Dobbs hit 19 of 33 for 146 yards. He averaged 4.4 yards per pass attempt and rushed for 43 yards and a touchdown. Baltimore has the second ranked defense in the NFL holding teams to 271 yards a game. Best in pass defense in regard to efficiency by allowing 7.5 yards per completion and 4.5 yards per pass attempt. Arizona is having issues with quarterback accuracy and passing efficiency. Ravens are 3-1 to the under on the road by holding opponents to 242 yards a game. Past three games the Cardinals averaging 13 points and 296 yards per game. Joshua Dobbs 4-0 to the under when an underdog of +6 to +13. Play Baltimore and Arizona under 44.5.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/29/2023
Chiefs at Broncos—Kansas City starters on offense and defense are healthy. Denver starters on offense healthy with their strong safety suspended. Kansas City improved to 6-1 with their 31-17 home victory to Los Angeles Chargers. The Chiefs rushed for 68 yards on 21 carries. They allowed 139 yards rushing to the Chargers with 219 passing on 30 attempts. Patrick Mahomes completed 32 of 42 for 424 yards with four touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 10.1 yards per pass attempt and had 8 completions for 20 yards or greater. Denver improved to 2-5 with their 19-17 home victory to Green Bay Packers. The Broncos rushed for 145 yards on 25 carries. Russell Wilson completed 20 of 29 for 194 yards and a touchdown. He averaged 6.7 yards per pass attempt. Denver at home is putting up 326 yards per game with 5.4 yards per rush. At home Wilson completed 67.5% of his passes with eight touchdowns and one interception. On the road Kansas City allows 4.8 yards per run. Play Denver +7.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/29/2023
Bengals at 49ers—Cincinnati starters on offense are healthy. On defense a linebacker is out. San Francisco receiver Samuel is out with a left tackle questionable. Their defensive starters are healthy. Cincinnati is 3-3 with their 17-13 home victory to Seattle Seahawks two weeks ago. The Bengals. Rushed for 46 yards on fifteen carries. They limited the Seahawks to 3.5 yards per carry with 297 passing on 41 attempts. Joe Burrow completed 24 of 35 for 185 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Cincinnati registered four sacks. San Francisco fell to 5-2 with their 22-17 road defeat to the Minnesota Vikings on Monday night. The 49ers rushed for 65 yards on 22 carries. They held the Vikings to under four yards per run with 378 passing on 45 attempts. It was a -2-turnover margin for San Francsico. Brock Purdy hit 21 of 30 for 272 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. He is expected to play after going through concussion protocol as he was a full participant at practice on Friday. The 49ers at home have been dominant, winning and covering all three by an average of 23 points. In their three road games the Bengals are giving up 5.5 yards per rush. Brock Purdy 9-1 to the spread as a home favorite. At home the 49ers defense is giving up 236 yards per game. Play San Francisco -5.
Chicago Bears vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/29/2023
Bears at Chargers—Justin Fields out for Chicago along with their right guard. On defense their strong safety is out with a free safety questionable. Los Angeles tight end Everett and receiver Palmer are questionable. On defense a free safety is questionable. Chicago improved to 30-12 with their 30-12 home victory to Las Vegas Raiders. The Bears rushed for 173 yards on 38 carries. They held the Raiders to 39 rushing yards with 196 passing on 45 attempts. Chicago had a +3-turnover margin on the strength of three interceptions. Tyson Bagent completed 21 of 29 for 162 yards with a touchdown. He averaged 5.6 yards per pass attempt. Justin Fields is doubtful so Nathan Peterman will backup Bagent. Los Angeles fell to 2-4 with their 31-17 road defeat at Kansas City Chiefs. The Chargers rushed for 139 yards on 26 carries. They held the Chiefs to 3.1 yards per run but 415 yards passing on 42 attempts. Each team committed two turnovers. Justin Herbert went 17 of 30 for 259 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. He averaged 8.6 yards per pass attempt and had six completions for 20 or greater yards. Chargers defense has been effective in stopping the run. Bears backup quarterback in a road start a concern. Chicago pass defense allowed 68.5% completions, 10.3 yards per pass attempt and 7.1 yards per completions. The Chargers pass offense is efficient by averaging 10.6 yards per completion and 7.1 yards per pass attempt. Play Los Angeles -8.5.