Free NFL Picks For Today 10/22/2023
Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/22/2023
Bills at Patriots—Buffalo offensive starters are healthy. On defense a tackle is questionable. New England receiver Smith Shuster is questionable as is tight end Hunter Henry. Four starters on the offensive line are questionable. On defense they have two linebackers and both safeties are questionable. Buffalo improved to 4-2 with their 14-9 home victory to the New York Giants. The Bills rushed for 128 yards. They allowed 132 yards on the ground to the Giants for four yards a carry with 185 passing on 36 attempts. Josh Allen completed 19 of 30 for 169 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 5.6 yards per pass attempt, a season low. Allen was listed on the injury report this week as day to day with a shoulder injury. New England fell to 1-5 with their 21-17 road defeat to Las Vegas Raiders. The Patriots rushed for 83 yards on 19 carries. They limited Las Vegas to under three yards per rush with 264 passing on 32 attempts. Mac Jones 24 of 33 for 200 yards with an interception. He averaged 6.1 yards per pass attempt and took four sacks. The Patriots defense played well, holding teams to 3.4 yards a carry. They have the 27th ranked offense averaging 282 yards a game. They run for 3.4 yards a carry and are an inefficient passing team. New England has gone under in 5 of their 6 games. Last three games they average 6.7 points a game. Buffalo has the 12th ranked defense in the NFL by holding foes to 323 yards a game. They have gone under in all three road games. Play Buffalo and New England under 40.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/22/2023
Falcons at Buccaneers—Atlanta starters on offense and defense are healthy. Tampa Bay starters healthy on offense. Their nose tackle is questionable. Atlanta fell to 3-3 following their 24-16 home defeat to Washington Commanders. The Falcons rushed for 106 yards on 29 carries. They limited the Commanders to 72 yards rushing with 121 passing on 23 attempts. Atlanta had a -3-turnover margin. Desmond Ridder completed 28 of 47 for 307 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions. He averaged 6.5 yards per pass attempt. Tampa Bay fell to 3-2 with their 20-6 home defeat to Detroit Lions. The Buccaneers rushed for 46 yards on 16 carries. They limited the Lions to under two yards per carry with 340 passing on 44 attempts. Baker Mayfield completed 19 of 37 passes for 206 yards with an interception. He averaged 5.6 yards per pass attempt. He has been listed on the injury report this week with a non-throwing hand contusion. The Falcons have lost both road games averaging only 6.5 points and 235 yards a game. Ridder in his road games has two interceptions and averaging only 6.2 yards per pass attempt. Play Tampa Bay -2.5.
Los Vegas Raiders vs. Chicago Bears NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/22/2023
Raiders at Bears—Jimmy Garoppolo is out for Las Vegas. On defense a defensive end and cornerback are questionable. Chicago quarterback Justin Fields is out with running back Roschon Johnson questionable. Their right guard and tackle are questionable. On defense a free safety is questionable. Las Vegas improved to 3-3 with their 21-17 home victory to New England Patriots. The Raiders rushed for 84 yards on 33 carries. They allowed 83 yards on the ground to the Patriots with 176 passing on 33 attempts. Jimmy Garoppolo completed 14 of 22 for 162 yards with a touchdown and interception. He averaged 7.4 yards per pass attempt. Garoppolo suffered a back injury and was listed as questionable during the week and is now out. Brian Hoyer relieved last week and completed 6 of 10 for 102 yards with 10.2 yards per pass attempt. Chicago fell to 1-5 after their 19-13 home defeat to Minnesota Vikings. The Bears rushed for 162 yards. They limited the Vikings to 46 yards rushing on 22 carries with 174 passing on 31 attempts. Justin Fields is listed as doubtful with a dislocated right thumb. Rookie Tyson Bagent is QB2 and went 10 of 14 for 83 yards and interception in relief last week. He averaged 5.9 yards per pass attempt and had a rushing touchdown. Chicago had a -2-turnover margin. Hoyer entered the league in 2009 and has a career 59.4% completion rate with 7 yards per pass attempt. He posted 53 touchdowns and 35 interceptions. Tyson Bagent moved ahead in the depth chart over Nathan Peterman who has a career 53.1% completion rate with 4.5 yards per pass attempt. He has thrown four touchdowns with thirteen interceptions. Las Vegas run game has been stalled this season with a 3 yards per rush average. Bears pass defense has struggled by allowing 70.3% completions, 10.9 yards per completion and 7.7 yards per pass attempt. The Chicago defense the concern here. Play Las Vegas -2.5.
Detroit Lions vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/22/2023
Lions at Ravens—Detroit running back Montgomery and tight end LaPorta is questionable. A left guard is also questionable. Their defensive starters are healthy. Baltimore starters on offense are healthy. A free safety is questionable. Detroit improved to 5-1 with their 20-6 road win at Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Lions rushed for under two yards a carry. They limited the Buccaneers to three yards per rush with 205 passing on 37 attempts. Jared Goff completed 30 of 44 passes for 353 yards with two touchdowns. He averaged 8 yards per pass attempt with six completions of 20 plus yards. Baltimore improved to 4-2 with their 24-16 victory in London to the Tennessee Titans. The Ravens rushed for 139 yards for 3.5 yards a carry. They allowed 129 yards to the Titans on the ground with only 104 passing on 21 attempts. Lamar Jackson hit 21 of 30 for 223 yards with a touchdown and interception. He averaged 7.4 yards per pass attempt and rushed for 62 yards. Justin Tucker had six field goals in the win. The Lions are 3rd in total offense by averaging 383 yards per game. Detroit defends well holding opponents to 285 yards with 3.3 yards per run. The Lions’ good form has carried on the road. Goff is 16-8 to the spread as a road underdog. Lamar Jackson 10-23 to the spread as a home favorite. Lions’ offense and defense were good on third down. Play Detroit +3.
Cleveland Browns vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/22/2023
Browns at Colts—Quarterback Deshaun Watson is questionable. On defense a linebacker is out, and corner is questionable. Indianapolis quarterback Anthony Richardson is out for the season. Wide receiver Price is questionable with tight end Granson out. Their right tackle is out. Cleveland improved to 3-2 after their 19-17 home victory to San Francisco 49ers. The Browns rushed for 160 yards on 34 carries. They allowed just over four yards a carry on the ground to the 49ers with 107 passing on 27 attempts. DeShaun Watson missed the game due to a shoulder injury and was questionable during the week. PJ Walker in relief hit 18 of 34 for 192 yards with two interceptions. Browns got the win as 49ers kicker Jake Moody missed a 41 yards field goal in the closing seconds. Indianapolis fell to 3-3 following their 37-20 road defeat at Jacksonville Jaguars. The Colts rushed for under three yards per carry. They limited the Jaguars to 85 yards rushing on 29 carries with 148 passing on 30 attempts. Indianapolis committed four turnovers and forced one away from the Jaguars. Gardner Minshew hit 33 of 55 for 329 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions with a lost fumble. Deshaun Watson practices on Friday and is pointing toward returning on Sunday. Cleveland is the top defense in the NFL by allowing 200 yards a game. Teams complete just 51.9% of their passes against them. Minshew 4-7 to the spread as a home underdog. He has thrown six touchdowns with six interceptions in the past two seasons. The turnover prone Minshew the concern here against this Browns defense. Play Cleveland -3.5.
Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/22/2023
Commanders at Giants—Washington starters are healthy on offense and defense. New York starting quarterback Daniel Jones is questionable. Their left tackle and center are out with right tackle questionable. Their defensive starters are healthy. Washington moved to 3-3 with their 24-16 road victory to the Atlanta Falcons. The Commanders rushed for 72 yards on 22 carries. They allowed 106 yards on the ground to the Falcons with 296 passing on 47 attempts. Sam Howell completed 14 of 23 for 151 yards and three touchdowns. He averaged 6.6 yards per pass attempt. Washington had a +3 turnover margin picking off three passes. New York dropped to 1-5 with their 14-9 road defeat at Buffalo. The Giants rushed for 132 yards for 3.5 yards a carry. They allowed 128 yards rushing to the Bills with 169 passing on 30 attempts. New York had a +2-turnover margin. Daniel Jones missed the game with a neck injury. He has been limited in practice. Tyrod Taylor in relief hit 24 of 36 for 200 yards for 5.6 yards per pass attempt. Daniel Jones was not cleared for contact during Friday’s practice is not a good sign for him to participate on Sunday. New York is 27th in defense by allowing 364 yards per game. Respect Howells passing performance at Denver and Philadelphia. The Giants are allowing 11.3 yards per completion and 7.3 yards per pass attempt. New York sits 30th in yards allowed per rush at 5.1. Play Washington -2.5.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/22/2023
Cardinals at Seahawks—Arizona has their left guard out. On defense a corner and safety are out. A linebacker and defensive end are questionable. Seattle receiver DK Metcalf is questionable and game time decision. Their center, right guard and eight tackle are questionable. Their defensive starters are healthy. Arizona fell to 1-5 with their 26-9 road defeat to Los Angeles Rams. The Cardinals were competitive for a half but get outscored 20-0 in the second half. They rushed for 130 yards on 30 carries. Arizona surrendered 179 yards on the ground to the Rams with 203 passing on 24 attempts. Joshua Dobbs completed 21 of 41 for 231 yards with an interception and a lost fumble. He averaged 5.7 yards per pass attempt and rushed for 47 yards. Seattle drops to 3-2 with their 17-13 road defeat to the Cincinnati Bengals. The Seahawks rushed for 87 yards on 25 carries. They limited the Bengals to three yards per run with 168 passing on 35 attempts. Geno Smith hit 27 of 41 for 326 yards and two interceptions. He averaged 8 yards per pass attempt. Smith was sacked four times. The Cardinals have lost three straight and all by 14 or greater points. Dobbs has struggled with accuracy and efficiency during this streak. The Seahawks defense has shown improvement in their past three games holding teams to 280 yards, 3.5 yards per rush along with 5 yards per pass attempt. The Seahawks offensive injuries are a concern here. Play Arizona and Seattle under 44.5.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/22/2023
Steelers at Rams—Pittsburgh tight end Pat Freiermuth is out. Their defensive starters are healthy. Los Angeles running back Kyren Williams is out. On defense a linebacker and corner are questionable. Pittsburgh improved to 3-2 with their 17-10 home victory to the Baltimore Ravens two weeks ago. The Steelers rushed for just under three yards a carry. They allowed five yards per rush to the Ravens with 210 passing on 38 attempts. Pittsburgh had a +2-turnover margin. Kenny Pickett completed 18 of 32 passes for 224 yards and a touchdown. He averaged 7 yards per pass attempt. Los Angeles improved to 3-3 after their 26-9 home victory to Arizona Cardinals. The Rams outscored the Cardinals 20-0 in the second half. They rushed for 179 yards. Los Angeles allowed 130 yards on the ground to the Cardinals for over 4 yards per run with 215 passing on 41 attempts. Matthew Stafford completed 15 of 24 for 226 yards and a touchdown. He averaged 9.4 yards per pass attempt. They left 8 points off the scoreboard with a dropped touchdown pass in two drives that resulted in made field goals. Pittsburgh has won three of four and come off the bye week. Matthew Stafford 5-10 to the spread in his past ten games. Stafford is 27th in quarterback completion rate and his lead running back is out. In the Rams losses to the 49ers, Bengals, and Eagles they struggled gaining rushing yards. Tomlin 34-20 to the spread as a road underdog of 7 points or fewer. Play Pittsburgh +3.5.
Green Bay Packers vs. Denver Broncos NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/22/2023
Packers at Broncos—Green Bay running back Aaron Jones is questionable as is their left guard. On defense a linebacker is doubtful with a defensive end, linebacker, corner and safety questionable. Denver tight end Greg Dulcich is out with their defensive starters healthy. Green Bay fell to 2-3 with their 17-13 road defeat to the Las Vegas Raiders. The Packers rushed for 110 yards on 25 carries. They limited the Raiders to just over three yards per run with 183 rushing on 31 attempts. Green Bay had a -2-turnover margin. Jordan Love hit 16 of 30 for 182 yards with three interceptions. He averaged 6.1 yards per pass attempt and rushed for 37 yards. Denver fell to 1-5 with their 19-8 road defeat to the Kansas City Chiefs. The Broncos rushed for 115 yards on 23 attempts. They limited the Chiefs to 3.5 yards per run with 293 passing on 41 attempts. Russell Wilson hit 13 of 22 passes for 95 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. He averaged a season low 4.3 yards per pass attempt. Green Bay has the 28th ranked offense in the NFL by averaging 281 yards a game. This is the least accurate passing attack with a 55.6% completion rate. Denver is running the ball effectively for 4.9 yards a carry with the Packers allowing 4.3 yards per attempt. The Broncos have defended better at home by allowing 352 yards per game. Jordan Love on the road is 1-7 straight up. The Broncos are averaging 23.3 points per game. Green Bay defense on the road giving up 279 yards passing per game. Jones was limited at practice on Wednesday and Thursday. Play Denver +1.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/22/2023
Chargers at Chiefs—Los Angeles starters on offense are healthy. On defense their free safety is out with strong safety questionable. Kansas City starters on offense and defense are healthy. Los Angeles fell to 2-3 with their 20-17 home defeat to Dallas Cowboys. The Chargers rushed for 53 yards on 23 carries. They limited the Cowboys to under four yards per run with 246 passing on 30 attempts. Justin Herbert hit 22 of 37 for 227 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 6.1 yards per pass attempt which was a season low. Kansas City improved to 5-1 with their 19-8 home victory to Denver Broncos. The Chiefs rushed for 96 yards on 27 attempts. They allowed 4.5 yards per run to the Broncos with only 82 passing yards on 22 attempts. Patrick Mahomes completed 30 of 40 for 306 yards with a touchdown and interception. He averaged 7.7 yards per pass attempt. Chargers are putting gup 26 points and 408 yards per game on the road this season. Justin Herbert 10-4 as a road underdog and 5-1 to the spread against the Chiefs. Past three games Kansas City putting up just 23 points a game. Play Los Angeles +5.5.
Miami Dolphins vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/22/2023
Dolphins at Eagles—Miami fullback Ingold and their center are questionable. On defense a corner is questionable. Philadelphia starters on offense are healthy with their free safety out. Miami improved to 5-1 after their 42-21 home victory to Carolina Panthers. The Dolphins rushed for 162 yards for five yards a carry. They allowed 108 yards rushing to the Panthers with 188 passing on 39 attempts. Tua Tagovailoa completed 21 of 31 for 262 yards and three touchdowns. He averaged 8.5 yards per pass attempt. Philadelphia fell to 5-1 with their 20-14 road defeat to the New York Jets. The Eagles rushed for 80 yards on 22 carries. They allowed 89 yards on the ground to the Jets with 155 passing on 33 attempts. It was a -4-turnover margin for the Eagles. Jalen Hurts hit 28 of 45 for 280 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions. He rushed for 47 yards and a touchdown. Miami has the number one ranked offense in the NFL by averaging 499 yards a game. They have an efficient passing game. The Eagles have averaged 34 points in both home games. Philadelphia has the second ranked offense by averaging 395 yards a game with efficient running and passing. Dolphins defense is allowing 33 points on the road with 75% completion rate with 7.1 yards per pass attempt. Play Miami and Philadelphia over 51.5.