Free NFL Picks For Today 10/15/2023
Baltimore Ravens vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/15/2023
Ravens at Titans—Game played in London England. Baltimore starters are healthy on offense. On defense a linebacker is out. Tennessee receiver Burks is out with their center questionable. On defense the nose tackle is questionable.
Baltimore fell to 3-2 with their 17-10 road defeat to Pittsburgh. Ravens rushed for 125 yards for five yards a carry. They held the Steelers to 87 rushing yards for under three yards per rush with 202 passing on 32 attempts. The Ravens had a -2-turnover margin.
Lamar Jackson completed 22 of 38 for 236 yards with an interception and lost fumble. He averaged a season low 6.2 yards per pass attempt and rushed for 45 yards. Tennessee fell to 2-3 following their 23-16 road defeat at Indianapolis Colts.
The Titans rushed for 89 yards on 22 carries. They surrendered 193 yards on the ground to the Colts with 236 passing on 26 attempts. Ryan Tannehill hit 22 of 34 for 264 yards with an interception. He averaged 7.8 yards per pass attempt. Titans are defending the run well holding opponents to 3.6 yards a carry.
Issues for Baltimore in pass protection by allowing three sacks per game. Lamar Jackson is 22-35 to the spread as a favorite. Titans have covered three of four as an underdog this year. Tennessee defense has been good on third down and great in the red zone. Play Tennessee +5.
Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/15/2023
Commanders at Falcons—Washington and Atlanta has healthy starters on offense and defense. Washington drops to 2-3 with their 40-20 home defeat on Thursday night to the Chicago Bears. Commanders rushed for only 29 yards on ten carries. They surrendered 178 yards on the ground to the Bears with 273 passing on 29 attempts
. It was a -2-turnover margin for Washington. Sam Howell completed 37 of 51 for 388 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 7.6 yards per pass attempt and was sacked five times. Atlanta improved to 3-2 with their 21-19 home victory to Houston Texans.
Falcons rushed for 96 yards for under three yards a carry. They limited the Texans to under three yards per rush with 249 passing on 35 attempts.
Desmend Ridder completed 28 of 37 for 329 yards and a touchdown. He averaged a season high of 8.9 yards per pass attempt and had a rushing touchdown. He had 5 passes for 20+ yards in distance. Ten days off for the Commanders after playing on Thursday.
Washington has rushed well this year with 4.5 yards a carry. Atlanta is just 1-4 to the spread this season. The Commanders have won and covered each of their road games where they average 33 points a game.
Washington looked bad on a short week playing on Thursday night but have extra prep time here. Respect the 35 and 31 points they put up on the road. Play Washington +2.5.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/15/2023
Vikings at Bears—Minnesota receiver Justin Jefferson is out. Their starters are healthy on defense. Chicago running back Johnson is out with their center questionable. On defense a safety is questionable. Minnesota fell to 1-4 with their 27-20 home defeat to the Kansas City Chiefs.
The Vikings rushed for 70 yards on 18 carries. They limited KC to just over three yards per run with 266 passing on 41 attempts. Kirk Cousins completed 29 of 47 for 284 yards with two touchdowns for 6 yards per pass attempt. Chicago improved to 1-4 with their 40-20 road win at Washington Commanders.
Bears rushed for 178 yards for 5.5 yards a carry. They limited the Commanders to 29 rushing yards with 359 passing on 51 attempts. Justin Fields completed 15 of 29 for 282 yards with four touchdowns. He averaged 9.7 yards per pass attempt with 57 rushing yards.
Ten days rest for Chicago after posting their win against the Commanders. Bad weather is forecasted in Chicago and the Vikings average the least amount of runs of any team in the NFL.
Bears are defending the run by allowing 3.7 yards per carry. Chicago is rushing for 4.9 yards a carry and has been making plays in the passing game the past two weeks under Fields. Play Chicago +3.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/15/2023
Colts at Jaguars—Indianapolis center Ryan Kelly is questionable with their right tackle out. Quarterback Anthony Richardson out with Gardner Minshew starting. Their starters are healthy on defense. Jacksonville receiver Zay Jones is out with their left guard out.
On defense a linebacker is questionable. Indianapolis improved to 3-2 following their 23-16 home victory to Tennessee Titans. The Colts had 193 yards on the ground. They held the Titans to four yards per run with 259 passing on 35 attempts.
Gardner Minshew hit 11 of 14 for 155 yards with 11.1 yards per pass attempt. Minshew is in line to start the next four to eight games with the shoulder injury to Anthony Richardson. Jacksonville improved to 3-2 with their 25-20 road win at Buffalo Bills in London.
The Jaguars rushed for 196 yards for nearly five yards a carry. They held the Bills to just 29 yards rushing with 359 passing on 40 attempts. Trevor Lawrence completed 25 of 37 for 315 yards with a touchdown and averaging 8.5 yards per pass attempt.
First home game for Jacksonville after spending two weeks in London. Jonathan Taylor is playing his second game since resigning from the team. Jaguars are struggling in pass defense by allowing 262 yards, 11 yards per completion and 7.2 yards per pass attempt.
Colts have been defending the run well and the Jaguars have struggled running the football along with converting third downs and in the red zone. Trevor Lawrence is 0-5 to the spread as a home favorite. Indianapolis has won and covered both road games. Play Indianapolis +4.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/15/2023
49ers at Browns—San Francisco offensive starters are healthy. A linebacker is questionable on defense. Cleveland starting quarterback Deshaun Watson is out along with their left guard. Tight end Njoku and center is questionable. On defense their starters are healthy.
San Francisco improved to 5-0 following their 42-10 home victory to Dallas Cowboys. 49ers rushed for 170 yards. They limited Dallas to three yards per carry on the ground with 140 passing on 26 attempts. San Francisco had a +3-turnover margin by picking off three passes.
Brock Purdy completed 17 of 24 passes for 252 yards with four touchdowns. Cleveland fell to 2-2 with their 28-3 home defeat to the Baltimore Ravens two weeks ago. The Browns rushed for 93 yards for under four yards a carry. They allowed 131 yards rushing to the Ravens with 165 passing on 19 attempts.
Cleveland had a -2-turnover margin. DeShaun Watson missed the game due to a shoulder injury suffered during warmups. He is day to day with a bruised rotator cuff injury on his throwing shoulder.
Rookie Dorian Thompson Robinson was forced unexpectedly into action going 19 of 36 for 121 yards and three touchdowns. He averaged only 3.4 yards per pass attempt and ran for 24 yards. PJ Walker to start for Cleveland and has seen action in fifteen games in his three years with Carolina.
Walker carries a career mark of 57.5% completions, 6.4 yards per pass attempt with five touchdowns and eleven interceptions. San Francisco is third in total offense and first in total defense. Without Watson the Browns were held to three points in a home loss to the Ravens.
San Francisco has won four of their five games by 18 or greater points. Brock Purdy 13-3 to the spread. PJ Walker not efficient enough to back here. Play San Francisco -10.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/15/2023
Seahawks at Bengals—Seattle left guard doubtful with their right guard questionable. Their defensive starters are healthy. Cincinnati receiver Higgins is questionable. On defense a linebacker is out and questionable. Seattle improved to 3-1 with their 24-3 road win at the New York Giants two weeks ago.
The Seahawks rushed for 121 yards. They allowed 112 yards on the ground to the Giants for over four yards per run with 136 passing on 34 attempts. They had a +3 turnover margin and returned an interception for a touchdown.
Geno Smith completed 13 of 20 for 110 yards with a touchdown. He averaged 5.5 yards per pass attempt. Smith twisted his knee in the game but was a full participant in practice. Cincinnati improved to 2-3 after their 34-20 road victory to Arizona Cardinals.
Bengals rushed for just over three yards a carry. They did cough up 142 yards on the ground for nearly seven yards a carry to the Cardinals with 152 passing on 32 attempts. Joe Burrow went 36 of 48 for 317 yards with three touchdowns and an interception.
Burrow commented during that week of practice that his calf felt much better. Seattle is coming off the bye week. The Bengals defense has struggled to defend the run by allowing 154 yards with 5.3 yards per rush. Cincinnati is 31st in the nation in total offense, averaging 264 yards per game, 3.5 yards per run with 4.8 yards per pass attempt.
The Seahawks defensively has played well holding foes to 3.2 yards per un with 6.8 yards per pass attempt. Geno Smith 9-5 to the spread on the road. The Seahawks won and covered the road to the Giants and Lions. Play Seattle +3.
New Orleans Saints vs. Houston Texans NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/15/2023
Saints at Texans—New Orleans tight end Johnson and fullback Prentice are out. Their defensive starters are healthy. Houston receivers Woodds and Dell are questionable. On defense a linebackers is questionable. New Orleans improved to 3-2 following their 34-0 road defeat to the New England Patriots.
The Saints rushed for 136 yards. They limited the Patriots to 45 yards rushing for under three yards a carry with 111 passing on 31 attempts. Derek Carr hit 18 of 26 for 183 yards with two touchdowns. Three completions went for 20 or greater yards.
New Orleans had a +3-turnover margin with one interception returned for a touchdown. Houston fell to 2-3 with their 21-19 road defeat to the Atlanta Falcons. Texans rushed for under three yards a carry. They surrendered 98 yards on the ground to the Falcons with 351 passing on 38 attempts.
C.J. Stroud completed 20 of 35 passes for 249 yards and 7.1 yards per pass attempt. He had four receptions for 20 or more yards. Houston had a +2-turnover margin. New Orleans sits 25th in total offense by averaging 289 yards a game and only 3.4 yards per run.
The passing game is inefficient with 8.7 yards per completion and 5.7 yards per pass attempt. Texans defending the run and pass well. Saints are doing a great job on defense. C.J. Stroud has been efficient in the passing game with 11.9 yards per completion and 7.3 yards per pass attempt.
Derek Carr 2-12 to the spread as a road favorite. Stroud has covered in his only role as a home underdog. Texans have covered three straight. Check mark on the home team based on quarterback efficiency. Play Houston +1.5.
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Carolina Panthers vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/15/2023
Panthers at Dolphins—Panthers running back Sanders and left guard out. On defense both safeties are out with a defensive end and linebacker questionable. Miami has their fullback questionable with their center out. On defense a linebacker is questionable.
Carolina fell to 0-5 after their 42-24 road defeat to the Detroit Lions. The Panthers rushed for 99 yards on 23 carries. They surrendered 159 yards on the ground to the Lions for over five yards a carry with 219 passing on 28 attempts. Carolina had a -3-turnover margin.
Bryce Young completed 25 of 41 for 247 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. Miami improves to 4-1 following their 31-16 home victory to the New York Giants. The Dolphins rushed for 222 yards for nearly ten yards a carry.
They limited New York to nearly three yards per carry with 183 passing on 32 passing attempts. Tua Tagovailoa hit 22 of 30 for 308 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions with one going for a Giants touchdown. The Panthers have failed to cover a spread in their five losses.
They average only 4.6 yards per play, ranking 29th in the nation. Despite their high volume passing they are near the bottom efficiently by averaging 7.9 yards per completion and 4.9 yards per pass attempt. Carolina poor run defender by allowing 4.9 yards per rush.
Miami has the top offense in the NFL behind 513 yards and 8.5 yards per play. Top efficient passing team in the NFL with 13.5 yards per completion and 9.8 yards per pass attempt.
Past three games the Panthers have averaged 21 points a game. In their past two road games the Panthers put up 27 at Seattle and 24 at Detroit. Play Carolina and Miami over 47.5.
New England Patriots vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/15/2023
Patriots at Raiders—New England receiver Shuster and left guard are out. Their left tackle and right guard are questionable. On defense questionable are their nose tackle, linebacker, corner, and safety. Las Vegas starters on offense are healthy with a corner out on defense.
New England fell to 1-4 with their 34-0 home defeat to the New Orleans Saints. Patriots rushed for 45 yards on 18 carries. They allowed 136 yards rushing to the Saints with 188 passing yards on 26 attempts. The team had a -3-turnover margin.
Mac Jones hit 12 of 22 for 110 yards and two interceptions. He averaged 5 yards per pass attempt. Las Vegas improved to 2-3 with their 17-13 home victory on Monday Night to the Green Bay Packers.
The Raiders rushed for 96 yards for just over three yards a carry. They allowed 110 yards on the ground to the Packers on 25 rushes with 175 passing on 30 attempts. The Raiders had a +2-turnover margin on the strength of three interceptions.
Jimmy Garoppolo completed 22 of 31 for 208 yards with a touchdown and interception. He averaged 6.7 yards per pass attempt. These are two struggling offenses with the Patriots averaging 287 yards and Raiders at 281 yards. The Patriots are ninth in total defense by allowing 298 yards a game and a fifth ranked 4.8 yards per play.
The Raiders sitting 14th in total defense by allowing 326 yards per game with 4.3 yards per rush. Mac Jones 3-13 to the spread as an underdog. Short week for Las Vegas. They have been held to 18 points or fewer in all games this season. Patriots on the road averaging 9 points per game. Play New England and Las Vegas under 41.5.
Detroit Lions vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/15/2023
Lions at Buccaneers—Detroit fullback Cabinda and their left guard out. Tight end Sam LaPorta is probable. Their defensive starters are healthy. Tampa Bay offensive starters are healthy. On defense a linebacker is out. Detroit improved to 4-1 following their 42-24 home victory to Carolina Panthers.
The Lions rushed for 159 yards for nearly six yards a carry. They allowed 99 yards rushing to the Panthers on 23 carries with 243 passing on 41 attempts. Detroit had a +3-turnover margin. Jared Goff completed 20 of 28 for 236 yards with three touchdowns. He averaged 8.4 yards per pass attempt.
Tampa Bay is 3-1 with their 26-9 road win at New Orleans Saints two weeks ago. The Buccaneers had 114 rushing yards for over 3.5 yards a carry. They allowed 70 yards rushing to the Saints on 19 carries with 127 passing on 39 attempts.
Tampa Bay had a +2-turnover margin. Baker Mayfield completed 25 of 32 for 246 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 7.7 yards per pass attempt. Tampa Bay defense playing at a high-level sitting 11th holding teams to 318 yards a game.
Goff is not as efficient on the road this season with receivers averaging only two yards after the catch. The Buccaneers coming off the bye was able to generate 26 points on the road against a good Saints defense. Play Tampa Bay +3.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/15/2023
Cardinals at Rams—Arizona receiver Marquise Brown is questionable and running back Connor is out. On defense a safety is out with defensive tackle and linebacker questionable. Los Angeles right guard is questionable. On defense a linebacker is questionable.
Arizona fell to 1-4 following their 34-20 home defeat to Cincinnati Bengals. The Cardinals rushed for 142 yards for over six yards per carry. They limited the Bengals to 93 rushing yards on 30 carries but 287 passing yards on 46 attempts. It was a -2-turnover margin for Arizona.
Joshua Dobbs completed 15 of 32 for 166 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. He averaged 5.2 yards per pass attempt. Los Angeles fell to 2-3 with their 23-14 home defeat to the Philadelphia Eagles. The Rams rushed for 54 yards on 14 carries. They allowed 159 yards rushing to the Eagles with 295 passing on 38 attempts.
Matthew Stafford hit 21 of 37 for 222 yards with two touchdowns. He averaged six yards per pass attempt. The Cardinals did run the ball effectively last week behind Moor and Demercado contributions. LA is surrendering 4.3 yards per run.
Dobbs is 8-4 to the spread in all his games. Rams have lost both home games and lost three of four overall. They blew a 20-0 halftime lead to Indianapolis and needed overtime to win. Play Arizona +7.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Jets NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/15/2023
Eagles at Jets—Philadelphia starters on offense are healthy. On defense a corner is out. New York has their fullback Bawden questionable. On defense corners are out. Philadelphia improved to 5-0 with their 23-14 road victory to Los Angeles Rams.
Philadelphia rushed for 159 yards for four yards per run. They limited Los Angeles to 54 yards rushing with 195 passing on 37 attempts. Jalen Hurts completed 25 of 38 for 303 yards with a touchdown and interception. He rushed for 72 yards and a touchdown.
New York improved to 2-3 with their 31-21 road victory at Denver Broncos. The Jets rushed for 234 yards. They allowed 139 yards rushing to the Broncos for nearly seven yards per attempt with 169 passing on 31 attempts.
Zach Wilson completed 19 of 26 passes for 199 yards with an interception. He averaged 7.7 yards per pass completion. Tough spot for the Eagles on back-to-back road trips after playing in Los Angeles last week. They are the second rated offense in the NFL by averaging 404 yards per game with efficiency in the run and pass.
New York is allowing 352 yards a game with 4.5 yards per run. They are an efficient pass defense. The team struggles offensively averaging 283 yards a game sitting 27th. They run well but near the bottom in all levels in the passing game.
The Eagles defend the run and efficient in pass defense. Zach Wilson is 4-7 to the spread as a home underdog. New York could be down four members of their secondary with depth and issue here. Play Philadelphia -6.5.
New York Giants vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Betting Pick Prediction 10/15/2023
Giants at Bills—Daniel Jones is out as is their left tackle and center. Tight end Walker, running back Barkley and their right tackle questionable. On defense a starting linebacker is questionable. Buffalo has their tight end Knox questionable.
New York fell to 1-4 with their 31-16 road defeat to Miami Dolphins. The Giants rushed for under three yards per carry. They allowed 222 yards rushing to the Dolphins with 302 passing on 30 attempts. Quarterback Daniel Jones will miss the game due to a neck injury.
Tyrod Taylor gets the start. Taylor has spent the past two seasons as the Giants backup going 17 of 23 for 150 yards with a touchdown and interception with 6.5 yards per pass attempt. He has a career 61.5% completion rate, 60 touchdowns, 26 interceptions and 7 yards per pass attempt.
Buffalo sits at 3-2 with their 25-20 defeat to the Jacksonville Jaguars in London. Buffalo rushed for only 29 yards for just over two yards per carry. They gave up 196 yards on the ground to the Jaguars with 278 passing on 37 attempts.
Josh Allen went 27 of 40 for 359 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 9 yards per pass attempt and had a rushing touchdown. The Giants are 4-1 to the under this season. Their job has gotten much harder right now offensively with their injuries on the line.
When they faced three good defenses they were shut out by Dallas and held to 12 points to San Francisco. They scored just three on Seattle at home.
New York has the 32nd and last ranked offense in the NFL by averaging 255 yards a game. Expect the Giants to try and exploit the Bills run defense with high volume of rushes which will move the clock. Play New York and Buffalo under 44.
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