Sam Houston Bearkats (0-5) vs New Mexico State Aggies (3-3)
Sam Houston Bearkats vs New Mexico State Aggies 10/11/23 – In an intriguing midweek showdown at Aggie Memorial Stadium, the winless Sam Houston Bearkats will look to change their fortunes against a balanced New Mexico State Aggies side. This matchup, set to light up Wednesday night, is among the NCAAF matchups to watch, with both teams aiming to solidify their season standings.
The Bearkats, despite their lackluster record, have shown sparks of brilliance. With John Gentry leading the rushing department with 141 yards, and Noah Smith emerging as a reliable target in the passing game with 253 receiving yards, there’s potential for them to break through. However, consistency in both the offensive and defensive departments has been a challenge, explaining their current position.
On the other hand, the Aggies have displayed a more balanced performance this season, standing at a .500 record. Their running game, spearheaded by their dual-threat quarterback Diego Pavia, who also boasts 314 rushing yards, has been essential in diversifying their offense. Wide receiver Jonathan Brady, with an impressive 21 yards per reception, adds another dimension, stretching defenses and providing big-play capabilities.
Sam Houston Bearkats vs New Mexico State Aggies Game Info
| When: | Wednesday, October 11, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Aggie Memorial Stadium |
| TV: | CBSSN |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Keegan Shoemaker QB vs Diego Pavia QB
Keegan Shoemaker of the Bearkats has had a challenging season. With 731 passing yards, he has shown the ability to move the ball but has equally encountered challenges. His 5.8 yards per pass attempt suggest a cautious approach, but his 6 interceptions raise questions about decision-making. Keegan’s passer rating of 110.8 tells a story of a quarterback under duress, further exacerbated by the 10 sacks he has taken. His resilience and ability to bounce back in tough situations will be key in this matchup.
Diego Pavia, leading the Aggies, presents a multi-faceted threat. With 1329 passing yards and an impressive 10.4 yards per pass attempt, Pavia exhibits an aggressive style, seeking downfield options. His 12 touchdowns show his efficiency in the red zone. However, the 5 interceptions point to moments of overconfidence. His composure, especially when the pocket collapses, given the 10 sacks he’s faced, will be crucial in dictating the game’s tempo.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: New Mexico State Aggies -224, Total Odds: 46.5
The Aggies enter this game as favorites, perhaps expected given the Bearkats’ form. However, with a relatively tight point spread, the game is anticipated to be closely contested. The over/under at 46.5 suggests an expectation of a moderate-scoring game.
Sam Houston Bearkats Betting Trends
Sam Houston State’s ATS (Against The Spread) record reflects their struggle this season, standing at 1-5 in their last 6 games. Their on-field results mirror this, with a 0-10 SU (Straight Up) record in their last 10 games. Road games have been particularly challenging, with a 0-6 SU in their last six outings. Their recent history against teams from the Independents (FBS) conference further compounds their challenge, with a 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
New Mexico State Aggies Betting Trends
The Aggies present a mixed bag in their betting trends. Their ATS stands at a respectable 4-1 in their last 5 games, and they’ve had decent success with a 9-4 SU in their last 13. Impressively, their home record boasts a 6-0 SU in the last six games, making Aggie Memorial Stadium a fortress of sorts. However, their record against teams from the Western Athletic conference is a potential red flag, standing at a dismal 1-8 SU.
Sam Houston Bearkats vs New Mexico State Aggies 10/11/23 Betting Picks
Considering both teams’ recent performances, the Aggies appear to have an edge, especially playing at home. Their balanced attack, combined with the Bearkats’ struggles, might tilt the scales in their favor.
However, as with any sports matchup, the unpredictability factor remains. The Bearkats, hungry for a win, might pull off a surprise. For those looking for betting advice from top handicapper sites, it might be wise to consider the under given the trends, and the Aggies, given their home record, seem to be the safer pick.
Free Pick and Prediction: New Mexico State Aggies 28, Sam Houston Bearkats 20.