Texas Longhorns (3-0) vs. Baylor Bears (1-2)
Texas Longhorns vs. Baylor Bears 9/23/23 – The spotlight of NCAAF Week 4 is on the clash between the undefeated Texas Longhorns and the struggling Baylor Bears. Set to kick off at McLane Stadium, this Big 12 matchup promises to have implications for the standings as Texas seeks to extend their winning streak, while Baylor aims to turn their season around.
For the Longhorns, the stage is set for key players like Running Back Jonathon Brooks and Wide Receiver Xavier Worthy to make an impact. Brooks has shown his prowess on the ground, averaging 5.8 yards per rush attempt. On the other hand, Worthy has been a reliable target in the receiving game, accumulating 221 yards with an average of 13.8 yards per reception.
On the Baylor side, Running Back Dominic Richardson and Wide Receiver Ketron Jackson Jr. are the names to watch. Richardson has averaged 5.2 yards per carry, showing promise in the running game. Jackson Jr., the wideout, has 10 receptions for 168 yards, averaging 16.8 yards per catch, indicating his big-play ability. For free proven football picks, continue reading our analysis.
Texas Longhorns vs. Baylor Bears Game Info
| When: | Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET |
| Where: | McLane Stadium |
| TV: | ABC |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Quinn Ewers QB vs. Sawyer Robertson QB
Quinn Ewers has had a stellar season for the Longhorns so far. He’s completed 54 of 89 attempts, amounting to a 60.7% completion rate and 740 passing yards. With 8 passing touchdowns and zero interceptions, Ewers holds an impressive passer rating of 160.2. The QB’s decision-making is noteworthy, although his vulnerability to sacks, with 4 in total, could be a weak point.
Baylor’s Sawyer Robertson has had a more challenging season. Completing just 45.2% of his passes, Robertson has amassed 444 yards with a passer rating of 101. He’s thrown one touchdown and three interceptions. The numbers paint the picture of a quarterback who needs to improve his decision-making and efficiency, especially when facing a team like Texas.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Texas Longhorns -750, Total Odds: 48.5
The betting odds significantly favor Texas with a spread of -17 and a moneyline of -750. The total over/under is set at 48.5. Given Texas’s recent form and Baylor’s struggles, the odds seem to reflect the on-field realities quite accurately. For those considering the moneyline, the steep -750 for Texas indicates oddsmakers have strong confidence in a Longhorns victory, but it also means bettors won’t get a substantial return unless wagering a significant amount. Meanwhile, the over/under of 48.5 suggests that a moderate-scoring game is expected, providing another interesting angle for bettors looking at totals.
Texas Longhorns Betting Trends
Texas has been performing exceptionally well, going 5-1 SU in their last 6 games and 6-2 SU against Baylor in their recent meetings. The total has consistently gone OVER in Texas’ last 5 road games but intriguingly, has gone UNDER when playing on the road against Baylor. In Big 12 confrontations, they have a strong 6-2 SU record, adding to their September specialty with a 16-4 SU record in the month.
Baylor Bears Betting Trends
Baylor has had issues covering the spread, going 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Their overall performance is also concerning, standing at 1-6 SU in their last 7 games. However, their games have mostly been high-scoring affairs, with the total going OVER in 9 of their last 13 games. Oddly, the trend reverses when facing Texas, where the total has gone UNDER in their last 10 matchups.
Texas Longhorns vs. Baylor Bears 9/23/23 Betting Picks
Based on the analysis and trends, Texas Longhorns appear to be the solid pick here. Their strong SU performance in recent games and against Baylor suggests that they’re likely to cover the -17 spread. For those looking to bet on the total, the historical UNDER trend in Texas-Baylor matchups may be worth considering, even though both teams have individually skewed towards the OVER recently.
The better pick here seems to be Texas, especially when considering their exceptional performances in recent games and Baylor’s struggles. Prop bets on Texas’ key players to score could also add an extra layer of excitement to this matchup. If you’re seeking more guidance on prop bets and other betting options, don’t forget to check out free precise sports picks.
Free Pick and Prediction: Texas Longhorns 38, Baylor Bears 17.