Sam Houston Bearkats (0-2) vs. Houston Cougars (1-2)
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Houston Cougars 9/23/23 – Two Texas-based teams will square off on September 23rd at 7 PM ET. The Sam Houston Bearkats (0-2) will face off against the Houston Cougars (2-1). It will be streamed live via ESP+ and should prove an intriguing battle of two Texas teams.
The Sam Houston Bearkats have relied on key players such as running back Zach Hrbacek and wide receiver Noah Smith to move the chain, yet neither have produced notable numbers thus far. Hrbacek has managed only 30 rushing yards, while Smith has amassed 56 receiving yards across six games so far.
On the flip side, however, the Houston Cougars have shown glimpses of their offensive potential thanks to running back Stacy Sneed and wide receiver Samuel Brown. Sneed has amassed 103 rushing yards, as well as one touchdown, while Brown has made 20 receptions for 343 yards (although he hasn’t found the end zone). For free wining NCAAF picks, continue reading our analysis.
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Houston Cougars Game Info
| When: | Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET |
| Where: | TDECU Stadium |
| TV: | ESP+ |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Keegan Shoemaker QB vs. Donovan Smith QB
Keegan Shoemaker, the Sam Houston Bearkats’ quarterback, has faced challenges this season. With 191 passing yards, a 55.3% completion rate, and zero touchdowns, his performance leaves much to be desired. Shoemaker has also been sacked five times and has thrown three interceptions, resulting in a low passer rating of 76.7. His decision-making and ability to read defenses will be critical for the Bearkats to have any chance in this game. Pressure management will be crucial, considering the five sacks he’s taken.
Houston’s Donovan Smith has displayed a more solid performance, accumulating 718 passing yards and four touchdowns. While his 56.8% completion rate is roughly equivalent to Shoemaker’s, he has been more effective in turning drives into points. That said, Smith has been sacked 12 times and has thrown three interceptions. His challenge lies in maintaining pocket presence and avoiding costly turnovers, especially against a Bearkats defense that will be eager to capitalize on any mistakes.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Houston Cougars -460, Total Odds: 37.5
The Cougars are the heavy favorites with a -12 spread and a -460 moneyline, indicating a clear-cut expectation for a Houston win. With the total set at 37.5, the oddsmakers are predicting a low-scoring game, which aligns with both teams’ recent under trends. This low total suggests that the defenses might play a significant role, potentially leading to a more strategic, ground-controlled game. Bettors considering the over/under will have to weigh whether both teams can combine to exceed this mark, especially given their offensive challenges this season.
Sam Houston State Betting Trends
Sam Houston State has been performing admirably against the spread, boasting a 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. However, their SU record paints a bleak picture with a 0-9 in their last 9 games. The Bearkats have struggled particularly on the road, losing their last 8 away games. Despite their losing streak, their 5-1 ATS record on Saturdays could provide some solace to bettors.
Houston Cougars Betting Trends
The Cougars have struggled recently, with a 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games and a poor 1-7 ATS at home. The team hasn’t performed well in September, evidenced by their 1-5 ATS record. However, they have an impressive 17-3 SU in their last 20 games played in week 4, suggesting that they may turn things around.
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Houston Cougars 9/23/23 Betting Picks
Based on recent performances and key player statistics, the Houston Cougars appear to have the edge, both offensively and defensively. While Sam Houston’s strong ATS record is noteworthy, their inability to win games outright cannot be ignored.
If you’re looking for a straight-up bet, the Cougars would be the safer option. However, given Sam Houston State’s recent ATS performance, they might cover the 12-point spread. The low total set at 37.5 also offers an opportunity for an under bet, considering both teams’ recent under trends. If you’re seeking more guidance on prop bets and other betting options, don’t forget to check out free reliable sports picks.
Free Pick and Prediction: Houston Cougars 24, Sam Houston Bearkats 10.