Arkansas Razorbacks (2-1) vs. LSU Tigers (2-1)
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers 09/23/23 – On September 23rd at 7:00 PM ET in Tiger Stadium, LSU Tigers and Arkansas Razorbacks will square off in an important SEC showdown. Both squads enter with identical 2-1 records, but their stories vary significantly; Arkansas hopes to establish itself as a rising force, while LSU wants to maintain home-field advantage and claim bragging rights over them.
Arkansas Razorbacks teammates AJ Green and Andrew Armstrong have been integral to their early success. Green has been an impact player, amassing 190 rushing yards on 28 attempts with an average of 6.8 yards per carry average and two scores. At the same time, Armstrong has become his quarterback’s go-to receiver, catching 18 passes for 197 yards with three touchdowns to help make history at Arkansas.
At LSU, the standout performers have been Logan Diggs at running back and Malik Nabers at wide receiver. Diggs has distinguished himself on the ground by amassing 156 rushing yards on 24 attempts for an average of 6.5 yards per rush and scoring one touchdown; Nabers made waves through his passing game by amassing 393 receiving yards at 16.4 average yards per catch with three scores to his name. For free week 4 football picks, continue reading our analysis.
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers 09/23/23 Game Info
| When: | Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Tiger Stadium |
| TV: | ESPN |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
KJ Jefferson QB vs. Jayden Daniels QB
KJ Jefferson has been the backbone of the Arkansas offense this season. His numbers speak for themselves: a completion rate of 71.4% with 629 passing yards and six touchdowns against just a single interception. His passer rating sits at a highly respectable 163.2. Jefferson has shown he can be a dual-threat quarterback, but his primary strength lies in his accuracy and ability to distribute the ball effectively to his receivers. However, one area of concern has been his vulnerability to sacks; he’s been taken down seven times already this season. This suggests that either he holds onto the ball for too long or the offensive line isn’t providing adequate protection.
On the other side, Jayden Daniels for LSU has been nothing short of phenomenal. With a passer rating of 185.7, Daniels has completed 73.7% of his passes, throwing for an impressive 976 yards and eight touchdowns. His ability to read defenses and exploit weaknesses is among the best in college football right now. What sets Daniels apart is his deep-ball capability; he’s averaging 10.3 yards per pass attempt, which opens up the field and creates opportunities for big plays. However, just like Jefferson, Daniels has faced issues with sacks, having been brought down seven times for a loss of 42 yards.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: LSU Tigers -1000, Total Odds: 54.5
The betting odds are decidedly in favor of LSU, with a spread of -17.5 and a moneyline of -1000. The total for the game is set at 54.5, indicating an expectation for a relatively high-scoring affair. Given Arkansas’s history against LSU, a spread bet on the Razorbacks could offer value.
Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Trends
Arkansas comes into this game with a trend of high-scoring affairs, with the total going OVER in five of their last six games. They have a 4-2 record straight up in their last six games but are 1-6 in their last seven matchups against LSU. Interestingly, they are 11-4-1 against the spread in their last 16 games against Louisiana State, suggesting they often outperform expectations in this particular rivalry.
LSU Tigers Betting Trends
LSU has seen the total go OVER in seven of their last seven games. The Tigers are a dominant force at home, boasting a 9-1 straight-up record in their last 10 home games. Against Arkansas, the total has gone UNDER in five of their last six meetings. When playing at home against Arkansas, LSU holds a strong 11-3 straight-up record in the last 14 matchups.
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers 09/23/23 Betting Picks
In terms of final thoughts and recommendations, while LSU is a strong favorite, the point spread of 17.5 offers value for Arkansas, especially given their against-the-spread history against LSU. A bet on Arkansas to cover could prove to be a smart move.
For prop bets, consider the over on the total points given the offensive potency of both teams. With both quarterbacks displaying solid performances thus far, it wouldn’t be surprising to see a high-scoring game. If you’re seeking more guidance on prop bets and other betting options, don’t forget to check out free sports picks online.
Free Pick and Prediction: LSU Tigers 38, Arkansas Razorbacks 24.