Free MLB Picks For Today 9/22/2023
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/22/2023
Rockies at Cubs—Noah Davis to start for Colorado. Davis appeared in six games with an ERA of 9.58 and WHIP of 2.03. the righthander has a strikeout rate of 17.6% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 50.7% with 1.74 home runs per nine innings.
Jameson Taillon to start for Chicago. Taillon has 27 starts with an ERA of 5.27 and WHIP of 1.31. The veteran fans 21.5% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 37.7% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings. Davis in his past two starts has allowed twelve earned runs with three homers in six innings.
Taillon in his past three starts allowed ten runs in 16 2/3rd innings. Cubs past seven games hitting .278 and putting up 5.7 runs per game. Play Colorado and Chicago over 9.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/22/2023
Pirates at Reds—Luis Ortiz will start for Pittsburgh. Ortiz in sixteen appearances delivers an ERA of 4.85 and WHIP of 1.73. The second year righthander strikes out 13.9% with 12.2% walks. Grounders sit at 47.7% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings.
Andrew Abbott to start for Cincinnati. Abbott has 19 starts deals an ERA of 3.68 and WHIP of 1.27. The lefthander is striking out 26.1% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 28.4% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. The Reds past seven games hitting .219.
Abbott in his past two starts allowed eight earned runs in 7 2/3rd innings. Pirates have won three of four with the bats getting hot in their final two games in Chicago. Pittsburgh has won six of ten against the Red this season. Play Pittsburgh.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/22/2023
Brewers at Marlins—Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes has 30 starts to the season, puts up an ERA of 3.56 and WHIP of 1.07. The veteran has a K rate of 25.4% with 8.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.7% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Johnny Cueto is the starter for Miami. Cueto appeared in 11 games with an ERA of 6.32 and WHIP of 1.30. The righthander is striking out 17.8% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 34% with 2.87 home runs per nine innings.
Burnes has allowed eight earned runs in his past three starts working 19 2/3rd innings. Cueto in his past five starts allowed 18 runs in 19 2/3rd innings. Marlins in their past seven games hitting .303 and putting up 6.6 runs per game. Play Milwaukee and Miami over the total.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/22/2023
Blue Jays at Rays—Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt has 31 starts in the year with an ERA of 3.78 and WHIP of 1.20. The ten-year veteran has a strikeout mark of 21.5% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.9% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings.
Tyler Glasnow to start for Tampa Bay. Glasnow in 19 appearances deals an ERA of 3.53 and WHIP of 1.09. The righthander has an elite strikeout rate of 32.8% with 7.2% walks. Grounders come in at 50.4% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Bassitt has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Glasnow in his past two starts allowed ten earned runs with three homers in ten innings. The team record behind Bassitt 29-14 on the road against teams that average seven strikeouts per game or higher with a +15.3-unit return.
Bassitt 16-4 on the road pitching on 5-6 days of rest with a +12-unit return. The Rays past seven games hitting .240. Play Toronto +136.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/22/2023
Mets at Phillies—Tylor Megill will start for New York. Megill in 23 starts delivers an ERA of 4.94 and WHIP of 1.65. The third year righthander has a strikeout mark of 17.9% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls delivered at 43.2% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker has 29 starts with an ERA of 4.40 and WHIP of 1.33. The veteran fans 19.3% with 9.7% walks. Grounders dished at 45% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Walker in his past three starts allowed fifteen runs in 17 1/3rd innings.
Mets bullpen in good form the past ten games. Megill has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Phillies in their past seven games hitting .216. Play New York +142.
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/22/2023
Braves at Nationals—Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton in 29 starts has an ERA of 3.66 and WHIP of 1.42. The righthander strikes out 25.6% with 11.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.3% with limited home run damage.
Patrick Corbin will start for Washington. Corbin has 30 starts carrying an ERA of 5.00 and WHIP of 1.47. The lefthander strikes out 16.2% with 7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.2% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings. Morton in his past two starts allowed ten earned runs with nine walks in 10 2/3rd innings.
Corbin in his past four starts surrendered 17 earned runs in 21 2/3rd innings. Braves are 21-10 to the over facing teams with .380-to-.460-win percentage. Braves hit .291 against lefthanders. Atlanta bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 7.49. Play Atlanta and Washington over 9.5.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/22/2023
Diamondbacks at Yankees—Brandon Pfaadt to start for Arizona. Pfaadt appeared in seventeen games delivering an ERA of 5.86 with WHIP of 1.42. The righthander fans 20.7% with 6.9% walks. Grounders dealt at 31.3% with 2.09 home runs per nine innings.
Carlos Rodon to start for New York. Rodon has twelve starts to the season posting an ERA of 5.90 with WHIP of 1.36. The lefty has a K rate of 23.6% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 26.4% with 2.17 home runs per nine innings. Pfaadt has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five starts.
Rodon past three starts allowed ten earned runs in 11 1/3rd innings. Past ten games Diamondbacks bullpen an ERA of 2.35. New York -14.5 units when favored by -100 to -150 this season. Team record behind Rodon 1-7 when favored by -110 or higher with a -10 unit loss. Play Arizona +110.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 9/22/2023
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/22/2023
Orioles at Guardians—Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer has 30 starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 4.17 and WHIP of 1.30. The fourth year righthander fans 21% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls delivered at 39.5% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings.
Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland. Bieber in 19 starts an ERA of 3.77 and WHIP of 1.25. The righty has struck out 19.4% with 6.7% walks. Grounders sit at 46.5% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Kremer has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of five starts.
Bieber returns from the injure list with an elbow injury. He had allowed four earned runs or greater in four of five starts. Orioles are 26-11 facing American League teams averaging 4.4 runs per game or fewer with a +13-unit return.
Team record behind Kremer 12-2 facing teams that average 7 strikeouts per game or greater with a +10.6 unit return. Orioles 19-5 as a road favorite of -110 or higher. Play Baltimore -109.
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/22/2023
White Sox at Red Sox—Touki Toussaint will start for Chicago. Toussaint appeared in 18 games posting an ERA of 5.40 and WHIP of 1.47. The righthander is fanning 23.2% with 15.2% walks. Grounders dealt at 50.5% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Chris Sale starts for Boston. Sale started eighteen games with an ERA of 4.66 and WHIP of 1.17. The veteran lefthander has 29.8% Ks with 6.9% walks. Grounders sit at 37.7% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. Toussaint has allowed fourteen runs in his past four starts working 17 1/3rd innings.
Sale has allowed fifteen runs in his past five starts working 24 2/3rd innings. The White Sox bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 6.97 with the Red Sox at 4.75. Boston 62-45 to the over facing right-handed starters this season with a +11.5-unit return. At home the Red Sox hit .285. Play Chicago and Boston over 9.
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/22/2023
Mariners at Rangers—Bryce Miller to start for Seattle. Miller in 23 starts to the season deals an ERA of 3.88 with WHIP of 1.11. The rookie righthander strikes out 22.6% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 32.4% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
Dane Dunning is the starter for Texas. Dunning appeared in 32 games displaying an ERA of 3.78 with WHIP of 1.29. The righty fans 19.3% with 7.7% walks. Grounders served at 46.3% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. The Rangers have won five of six against the Mariners this season.
Miller faced Texas in early June giving up seven earned runs in 2 1/3rd innings. Dunning has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Mariners are 8-20 facing teams outscoring opponents by one run or greater this season with a -15.6-unit loss. Seattle past seven games hitting .233. Play Texas -114.
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/22/2023
Royals at Astros—Cole Ragans to start for Kansas City. Ragans has 27 starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 3.33 and WHIP of 1.14. The lefthander is striking out 29.4% with 9.7% walks. Ground balls served at 45.1% with limited home run damage.
Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez at 29 starts an ERA of 3.20 and WHIP of 1.09. The lefty is striking out 24.1% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 54.3% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. KC has won seven of eight. Ragans has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts.
Valdez form has been good allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Astros bullpen past ten games an ERA of 4.45 and Royals at 3.64. Kansas City past seven games hitting .276 and putting up six runs per game. Play Kansas City on run line +1.5 runs at -115.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/22/2023
Angels at Twins—Davis Daniel to start for Los Angeles. Daniel in his MLB debut allowed no earned runs with three walks in three innings at home to Cleveland. He went to college at Auburn and spent 2023 in three levels of the minors. He had 21 starts in Triple A in 2022 with an ERA of 4.49 and WHIP of 1.21.
Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez has 30 starts with an ERA of 3.58 and WHIP of 1.15. The righthander fans 29.2% with 6.1% walks. Grounders served at 44.7% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Lopez in his last start gave up five runs and two homers to the White Sox.
Past ten games Angel’s bullpen an ERA of 4.84. Twins past seven games averaging 6.4 runs per game. Play Los Angeles and Minnesota over 8.
St Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/22/2023
Cardinals at Padres—Dakota Hudson to start for St Louis. Hudson appeared in sixteen starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 5.12 and WHIP of 1.45. The righthander strikes out 13% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 50.95 with 1.02 home runs per nine innings.
Matt Waldron will start for San Diego. Waldron appeared in six games with an ERA of 5.16 and WHIP of 1.31. Righty fans 15.7% with 6.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 34.3% with 2.12 home runs per nine innings. St Louis lost three of four at home to Milwaukee and struggling to score runs.
The Padres have won eight of nine. Hudson, past three starts allowed fifteen earned runs in 14 1/3rd innings. Past two seasons San Diego 29-12 following an off day with +17.4-unit return. St Louis past seven games hitting .208. Play San Diego -154.
Detroit Tigers vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/22/2023
Tigers at Athletics—Sawyer Gipson Long to start for Detroit. Gipson Long in his two starts allowed three earned runs with sixteen strikeouts in ten innings. A sixth-round pick in 2019 out of Mercer who spent 2023 in two levels of the high minors with good results in Double A.
Ken Waldichuk to start for Oakland. Waldichuk has 33 appearances with an ERA of 5.40 and WHIP of 1.58. The lefthander strikes out 20.6% with 11.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.4% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings. The Tigers have won six of eight. Waldichuk past three starts allowed six earned runs in 15 innings.
Detroit bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 3.45. Tigers 16-5 facing a losing team past 21 instances with a +11.3-unit return. Detroit 22-9 when favored by -100 to -150 this year with a +10.7-unit return. Past seven games Tigers are averaging 5.4 runs per game and Oakland 1.9 while hitting .187. Play Detroit -132.
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/22/2023
Giants at Dodgers—Sean Manaea to start for San Francisco. Manaea in 35 appearances deals an ERA of 4.82 and WHIP of 1.30. The lefthander is striking out 26.1% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls served at 39.7% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings.
Gavin Stone to start for Los Angeles. Stone appeared in seven games with an ERA of 9.45 and WHIP of 2.03. The righthander fans only 12.7% with 8.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.6% with 2.03 home runs per nine innings. Manaea past five starts allowed 23 runs in 20 2/3rd innings.
Manaea on the road an ERA of 6.75 and WHIP of 2.06. Stone at home an ERA of 10.61 with WHIP of 2.14. Last year in Manaea’s two starts against Los Angeles he allowed 23 runs in 12 1/3rd innings.
San Francisco bullpen in the past ten games an ERA of 5.36. Manaea 14-4 to the over when an underdog of +100 or higher. Los Angeles 41-20 to the over when favored by -125 to -175 this year. Play San Francisco and Los Angeles over 9.
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