Vanderbilt Commodores (2-1) vs. UNLV Rebels (1-1)
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. UNLV Rebels 9/16/23 – As we enter Week 3 of the NCAAF season, the Vanderbilt Commodores (2-1) are set to clash with the UNLV Rebels (1-1) in a game that offers plenty of intrigue. Scheduled for Saturday, September 16, 2023, at 7:00 PM ET, the match will take place at Allegiant Stadium and will be aired on CBSSN.
Starting with Vanderbilt, Patrick Smith has emerged as a key rushing component for the Commodores, posting 157 rushing yards on 27 attempts, with a stellar average of 5.8 yards per carry and one rushing touchdown. The receiving game for Vanderbilt is highlighted by Will Sheppard, who has tallied 20 receptions, 217 receiving yards, and an impressive 6 receiving touchdowns.
On the UNLV side, Vincent Davis Jr. has provided explosive plays in the ground game, boasting an astounding 10.7 yards per rush attempt over just 9 carries. He’s complemented by wide receiver Jacob De Jesus, who has 9 receptions for 96 yards but is still looking for his first touchdown of the season. If you’re looking for the free expert football picks, consider their matchups carefully.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. UNLV Rebels Game Info
| When: | Saturday, September 16, 2023, at 7:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Allegiant Stadium |
| TV: | CBSSN |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
AJ Swann QB vs. Doug Brumfield QB
Vanderbilt’s AJ Swann has already thrown for 766 yards with an 8-to-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio this season. His passer rating of 147.7 indicates his reliability and efficiency. Swann’s strength lies in his ability to deliver the ball accurately deep down the field, with a longest pass of 50 yards. However, Swann has taken 6 sacks for a loss of 36 yards, revealing a potential weakness in handling pressure.
Contrastingly, Doug Brumfield of UNLV has struggled to find his groove this season. With a completion percentage of just 56.8% and 186 passing yards, Brumfield’s 93.6 passer rating leaves much to be desired. His main drawback is his inability to find the end zone through the air, and his susceptibility to sacks (6 total sacks for -37 yards) could become a significant issue against Vanderbilt’s defense.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores -195, Total Odds: 58.5
Based on the current odds, Vanderbilt is a 4-point favorite with a moneyline of -195. The over/under for the game is set at 58.5. Vanderbilt’s strong passing game coupled with UNLV’s weaker defense suggests that Vanderbilt should be able to cover the spread. However, given Vanderbilt’s recent poor performance against the spread (1-4 ATS in the last 5 games), caution is advised.
Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Trends
Vanderbilt has been a mixed bag when it comes to betting trends. They have won 4 out of their last 6 games outright but are only 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games. However, they have had success against Mountain West opponents, going 4-1 SU in their last 5 matchups. The Commodores have also typically seen the total go under in their road games, with 4 out of the last 5 going under the total.
UNLV Rebels Betting Trends
UNLV has been doing well against the spread, posting a 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 games. They also boast a strong 5-2 record in their last 7 home games. The Rebels are particularly strong against Southeastern conference teams, going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against them. However, they’ve struggled to win games outright, going just 2-7 in their last 9 games.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. UNLV Rebels 9/16/23 Betting Picks
Vanderbilt stands out due to their overall performance and higher scoring potential, making them the better choice to win outright. But those looking for value on the spread could consider UNLV’s strong ATS record at home as an attractive alternative option. At Vanderbilt’s typically lower-scoring road games and UNLV’s recent history of unders, an under 58.5 could also be an ideal bet. When considering prop bets, keep your eye on Vanderbilt quarterback AJ Swann; his passing yardage against UNLV may prove fruitful. Prop betting Vincent Davis Jr.’s impressive rushing stats could also prove profitable; overall, this match-up presents both teams with unique strengths and weaknesses; Vanderbilt’s superior passing game and strong track record against Mountain West Conference teams are likely to give them an edge. For more insights and potential betting opportunities, you can also explore some free expert sports picks.
Free Pick and Prediction: Vanderbilt 31, UNLV 24.