Free MLB Picks For Today 9/15/2023
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New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/15/2023
Yankees at Pirates—Gerrit Cole to start for New York. Cole in 30 starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 2.79 and WHIP of 1.03. The veteran strikes out 27.5% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls served at 40% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Johan Oviedo will start for Pittsburgh. Oviedo has 29 starts with an ERA of 4.34 and WHIP of 1.34. The righthander fans 19.8% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.2% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Past four starts Cole has allowed four earned runs in 26 2/3rd innings. Oviedo in his past two starts allowed eight runs in 7 1/3rd innings. Oviedo 5-10 to the run line when priced at -190 to -135 on the run line. Play New York Yankees on run line -1.5 runs at +105.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/15/2023
Braves at Marlins—Bryce Elder to start for Atlanta. Elder has 28 starts on the year posting an ERA of 3.38 and WHIP of 1.20. The righthander strikes out 18% with 8.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 50.5% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Johnny Cueto to start for Miami. Cueto appeared in nine games with an ERA of 6.15 and WHIP of 1.24. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 19.6% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33.1% with 2.63 home runs per nine innings. Braves bullpen past ten games an ERA of 5.49 and Marlins 4.93 in this period. Cueto past three starts allowed thirteen runs in 14 innings. Braves are 29-19 to the over facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or higher. Atlanta past seven games hitting .272 and averaging 5.8 runs per game. Play Atlanta and Miami over 9.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/15/2023
Rays at Orioles—Zach Eflin to start for Tampa Bay. Eflin in 28 starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 3.53 and WHIP of 1.05. The eighth year righthander has a K rate of 25.7% with 3.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 50.1% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Jack Flaherty will start for Baltimore. Flaherty has 26 starts with an ERA of 4.98 and WHIP of 1.57. The veteran strikes out 22.4% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.1% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. The Rays have won six of seven. The Orioles have lost four of five. Flaherty in the past four starts allowed 19 runs in 16 2/3rd innings. Tampa Bay bullpen the past five games an ERA of 1.10. Eflin on the road a WHIP of 1.09. Play Tampa Bay -125.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/15/2023
Red Sox at Blue Jays—Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello in 25 starts on the year has an ERA of 3.68 and WHIP of 1.28. The second year righthander a strikeout mark of 19.6% with 6.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 56% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios has 29 starts with an ERA of 3.63 and WHIP of 1.20. The veteran righty is striking out 22.6% with 6.9% walks. Grounders dealt at 41.6% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Blue Jays have lost four straight as their pitching was pounded 35 runs in this span by Texas. Bello past three starts allowed nine runs in 15 2/3rd innings. Berrios past four starts allowed 14 runs in 25 innings. Blue Jays bullpen past ten games an ERA of 6.46. Red Sox 17-4 to the over past 21 games against an American League team hitting .265 or lower. Play Boston and Toronto over 8.5.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/15/2023
Reds at Mets—Hunter Greene to start for Cincinnati. Greene at eighteen starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 4.43 and WHIP of 1.43. The righthander posts an elite 30.2% K’s with 10.8% walks. Ground balls served at 34.3% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. David Peterson will start for New York. Peterson in 24 appearances an ERA of 5.34 and WHIP of 1.60. The left-handed fans 24.5% with 10% walks. Ground balls come in at 54.3% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. Peterson, in his past two starts allowed seven earned runs in ten innings. Greene in his past two starts allowed no earned runs in 11 1/3rd innings. New York bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 5.97. Team record behind the Reds 11-1 in their past 12 games against losing teams with a +11.5 unit return. Cincinnati +19.3 units return on the road this season. Play Cincinnati -101.
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/15/2023
Rangers at Guardians—Jon Gray to start for Texas. Gray at 26 starts carries an ERA of 3.96 and WHIP of 1.27. The righthander strikes out 21.8% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.9% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. Lucas Giolito to start for Cleveland. Giolito has 29 starts with an ERA of 4.89 and WHIP of 1.28. The eighth-year righty fans 25.3% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.5% with 1.98 home runs per nine innings. Rangers have won six straight and pounded the baseball. Giolito past three starts allowed eighteen runs with nine homers in 15 2/3rd innings. Team record behind Giolito 4-16 against winning teams. Past seven games Rangers hitting averaging 6.3 runs per game. Gray on the road a WHIP of 1.09. Play Texas -115.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/15/2023
Twins at White Sox—Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober in 22 starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 3.67 and WHIP of 1.13. The righthander is striking out 24.1% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33.3% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. Jesse Sholtens will start in Chicago. Sholtens appeared in 24 games with an ERA of 4.44 and WHIP of 1.42. The rookie righthander a strikeout mark of 15.3% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls come in 41.5% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. White Sox has lost three straight giving up 28 runs. Past four starts Ober allowed five earned runs in 22 1/3rd innings. Chicago is 17-37 as an underdog of +125 to +175 this year. Sholtens at home with an ERA of 6.19. Play Minnesota -162.
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/15/2023
Astros at Royals—Cristian Javier to start for Houston. Javier has 27 starts dealing with an ERA of 4.78 and WHIP of 1.29. The righthander is striking out 21.9% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 25.9% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings. Zack Greinke will start for Kansas City. Greinke appeared in 26 games on the season posting an ERA of 5.47 and WHIP of 1.29. The veteran strikes out 15.8% with 3.6% walks. Grounders sit at 43.6% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings. Javier in his past three starts allowed eleven earned runs with nine walks in fourteen innings. Greinke past two starts allowed seven earned runs in 8 2/3rd innings. Royals bullpen past ten games an ERA of 4.63. Kansas City is 39-29 to the over against winning teams. Greinke 14-4 to the over facing teams outscoring teams by 0.5 runs per game or greater. Play Houston and Kansas City over 9.5.
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/15/2023
Nationals at Brewers—Jake Irvin to start for Washington. Irvin in 22 starts to the season carries an ERA of 4.20 and WHIP of 1.35. The rookie righthander a strikeout mark of 18.7% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.4% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings. Wade Miley to start for Milwaukee. Miley has 20 starts with an ERA of 3.30 and WHIP of 1.14. The lefthander is fanning 15.8% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 46% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.88 does suggest a rising ERA based on form. Irvin has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Miley past five starts allowed 15 runs in 26 innings. Nationals bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 3.29. Washington 20-18 in their past 38 against winning teams with a +16 unit return. Team record behind Irvin 8-5 as an underdog of +150 or greater with a +10 unit return. Play Washington +165.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/15/2023
Phillies at Cardinals—Aaron Nola will start for Philadelphia. Nola at 29 starts deploys an ERA of 4.64 and WHIP of 1.16. The nine-year veteran fans 25.6% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.2% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings. Zack Thompson to start for St Louis. Thompson appeared in 22 games with an ERA of 4.06 and WHIP of 1.47. The lefthander strikes out 26.5% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 46% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings. Nola past two starts allowed 11 runs in nine innings. His ERA is 5.66 on the road. Phillies past seven games hitting .225. Play St Louis +127.
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/15/2023
Giants at Rockies–Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb in 30 starts on the season produces an ERA of 3.40 and WHIP of 1.08. The fifth year righthander fans 23.2% with 3.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 61.1% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. Chase Anderson to start for Colorado. Anderson has sixteen appearances with an ERA of 6.49 and WHIP of 1.53. The ten-year veteran has a strikeout mark of 16.5% with 7.9% walks. Grounders served at 35.2% with 2.25 home runs per nine innings. Webb has an ERA of 4.58 on the road. Giants -16.6 units as a favorite of -150 or higher the past two seasons. Rockies +15 units as a home underdog of +100 or higher past two seasons. Anderson has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Play Colorado +163.
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/15/2023
Tigers at Angels—Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit. Skubal has twelve starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.47 and WHIP of 1.03. The lefthander has an elite 30.2% strikeout rate with 5.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 53.8% with limited home run damage. Griffin Canning to start for Los Angeles. Canning in 21 appearances has an ERA of 4.34 and WHIP of 1.23. The fourth year righthander strikes out 26% with 6.5% walks. Grounders served at 43.8% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings. Skubal and Canning have allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Skubal on the road an ERA of 6.00 in his five starts. Tigers struggle to hit and score runs against righthanded starters. Play Los Angeles +102.
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/15/2023
Cubs at Diamondbacks—Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele in 27 starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 2.49 and WHIP of 1.13. The lefthander fans 24.5% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls served at 48.7% with limited home run damage. Brandon Pfaadt will start for Arizona. Pfaadt appeared in sixteen games with an ERA of 6.25 and WHIP of 1.45. The rookie righthander has a strikeout mark of 20.2% with 7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 31% with 2.23 home runs per nine innings. Steele in his past three starts allowed one earned run in 21 innings. Pfaadt past two starts has allowed nine runs in 7 2/3rd innings. Team record behind Steele 19-7 when facing a team that averages seven strikeouts per game or greater with a +11 unit return. Team record behind Steele 9-1 pitching on 5-6 days of rest. Pfaadt at home an ERA of 7.30 in nine starts. Play Chicago -130.
San Diego Padres vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/15/2023
Padres at Athletics—Seth Lugo to start for San Diego. Lugo has 23 starts on the campaign with an ERA of 3.80 and WHIP of 1.23. The veteran righthander is striking out 22.8% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.6% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. Sean Newcomb to start for Oakland. Newcomb appeared in six games with an ERA of 0.75 and WHIP of 0.75. The lefthander strikes out 34.1% with 13.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 50% with no homers allowed. San Diego 23-24 facing a losing team this season with a -16 unit loss. Lugo just gave up six earned runs in his last start to Houston. Team record behind Lugo this year 2-10 on the road with a -11 unit loss. Newcomb in his last start allowed no runs over four innings against Texas. Play Oakland +177.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/15/2023
Dodgers at Mariners—Bobby Miller is the starter for Los Angeles. Miller in eighteen starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 3.98 and WHIP of 1.14. The rookie righthander is striking out 22% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 47.8% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. George Kirby is the starter for Seattle. Kirby has 27 starts with an ERA of 3.48 and WHIP of 1.05. The righty is striking out 22.8% with 2.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.2% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Miller in his past four starts allowed fourteen earned runs in 26 1/3rd innings. Kirby in his past four starts allowed 15 runs in 21 innings. Mariners bullpen in this per ten games an ERA of 4.98. Dodgers 12-1 to the over in their past thirteen games against winning teams. Los Angeles 34-12 to the over facing teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 runs or greater this season. Dodgers 29-9 to the over against the American League this year. Past seven games Dodgers averaging 7.3 runs per game. Play Los Angeles and Seattle over 7.5.