Free MLB Picks For Today 9/13/2023
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/13/2023
Rays at Twins—Taj Bradley to start for Tampa Bay. Bradley at eighteen starts posts an ERA of 5.44 and WHIP of 1.41. The rookie righthander strikes out 29.2% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 34.6% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.43 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Dallas Keuchel will start for Minnesota. Keuchel appeared in six games dealing an ERA of 4.78 and WHIP of 1.41. The twelve year lefthander fans 12.5% with 8% walks. Ground ball rate of 51.1% with limited home run damage. Keuchel in his past four starts allowed thirteen earned runs in 16 1/3rd innings. Past ten games Rays bullpen an ERA of 1.45 and Twins at 4.46. Rays 21-8 facing lefthanded starters averaging 6.2 runs per game with a +11 unit return. Bradley has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of five. Play Tampa Bay -120.
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/13/2023
Cubs at Rockies—Jameson Taillon will start for Chicago. Taillon in 26 starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 5.27 and WHIP of 1.30. The righthander is striking out 21.5% with 6% walks. Ground balls come in at 38% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings. Ty Blach to start for Colorado. Blach in sixteen appearances an ERA of 4.58 and WHIP of 1.51. The lefthander strikes out only 13.2% with 6.2% walks. Grounders dealt at 39.1% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings. Past five starts Taillon has allowed eighteen runs in 28 1/3rd innings. Blach past two starts allowed nine earned runs with four homers in eleven innings. Chicago does a good job of hitting lefthanders. Taillon on the road an ERA of 5.58. Rockies bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 8.07 and Cubs at 5.00. Play Chicago and Colorado over 12.
Cleveland Guardians vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/13/2023
Guardians at Giants—Logan Allen to start for Cleveland. Allen at 22 starts deals an ERA of 3.68 and WHIP of 1.34. The rookie lefthander a strikeout mark of 22.7% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.6% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Harrison will start for San Francisco. Harrison has four starts with an ERA of 4.87 and WHIP of 1.28. The rookie lefty an elite strikeout mark of 30.2% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls are 28.8% with 2.66 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Harrison in his past two starts allowed ten runs with five homers in 10 2/3rd innings. Allen on the road an ERA of 3.35 with team record of 8-3. San Francisco hitting .240 against lefthanders. Play Cleveland +114.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/13/2023
Angels at Mariners—Chase Silseth to start for Los Angeles. Silseth in fifteen appearances delivers an ERA of 4.10 and WHIP of 1.28. The second year righthander fans 25.9% with 11.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 49.2% with 1.68 home runs per nine innings. Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo has 29 starts with an ERA of 3.08 and WHIP of 1.04. The veteran had a strikeout mark of 27% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.8% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. Castillo has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four starts. Silseth on the road a WHIP of 1.20. Castillo at home a WHIP of 0.89. Seattle past seven games hitting .232 and Angels at .230. Play Los Angeles and Seattle under.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/13/2023
Cardinals at Orioles—Drew Rom to start for St Louis. Rom has four starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 7.79 and WHIP of 2.02. The rookie lefthander is striking out 12.8% with 11.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.7% with 2.08 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Gibson to start for Baltimore. Gibson has 29 starts with an ERA of 5.12 and WHIP of 1.34. The eleven year righthander has a K rate of 19.6% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls delivered at 48.7% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.08 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form. Gibson in his past five starts allowed 26 earned runs in 28 2/3rd innings. Cardinals bullpen past ten games an ERA of 5.08. Orioles 13-5 to the over in their past 18 against a losing team. Baltimore 9-2 to the over in their past eleven. Past seven games Cardinals averaging 6.4 runs per game and Orioles at 8.4 runs. Play St Louis and Baltimore over 10.5.
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/13/2023
Nationals at Pirates—Jackson Rutledge to start for Washington. Rutledge makes his MLB debut. A first round pick in 2019 out of San Jacinto Texas Junior College. The righthander spent 2023 in Double and Triple A producing mixed results. Better numbers in the lower level of Double A. Quinn Priester will start for Pittsburgh. Priester has six starts with an ERA of 9.10 and WHIP of 1.92. The rookie righty fans 16.4% with 12.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.9% with 2.20 home runs per nine innings. Priester at home an ERA of 10.05 and WHIP of 2.09. Can back the Pirates as an underdog here. Play Washington +115.
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/13/2023
Braves at Phillies—Spencer Strider to start for Atlanta. Strider in 28 starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 3.83 and WHIP of 1.09. The righthander has an elite 37.8% strikeout rate with 7.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 34.6% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 2.89 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Cristopher Sanchez to start for Philadelphia. Sanchez has fifteen starts with an ERA of 3.26 and WHIP of 1.04. The lefthander strikes out 22.8% with 4.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 58.6% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings. Strider has allowed ten earned runs in his past two starts working 8 2/3rd innings. Sanchez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Sanchez at home a WHIP of 1.15. The Atlanta bullpen past ten games an ERA of 4.50. Strider, a young pitcher, has logged 162 innings and could be wearing out. Play Philadelphia +160.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/13/2023
Reds at Tigers—Connor Phillips to start for Cincinnati. Phillips in his MLB debut allowed five earned runs with seven strikeouts in 4 2/3rd innings against Cincinnati. The 2020 draft pick out of McLennan City College spent 2023 in two levels of the minors with mixed results but very high strikeout rate. Eduardo Rodriguez will start for Detroit. Rodriguez has 22 starts with an ERA of 3.18 and WHIP of 1.13. The veteran lefthander fans 24.1% with 7% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.5% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. Rodriguez at home a WHIP of 1.13. Tigers had won six of nine when this series started. Reds bullpen on the road with an ERA of 4.50. Play Detroit -140.
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/13/2023
Rangers at Blue Jays–Jordan Montgomery to start for Texas. Montgomery has 28 starts in the season with an ERA of 3.62 and WHIP of 1.24. The lefthander strikes out 21.3% with 6.4% walks. Grounders dealt at 44.6% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Yusei Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi in 28 starts delivers an ERA of 3.57 and WHIP of 1.24. The lefty is fanning 25.8% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 39.6% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. Montgomery in his past two starts allowed eleven runs in 9 1/3rd innings. Kikuchi in his past four starts allowed fourteen runs in 20 1/3rd innings. Past ten games both bullpens ERA’s over six. Rangers hit left-handed starters and put up six runs per game on them. Play Texas and Toronto over 8.5.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/13/2023
Diamondbacks at Mets—Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen in 30 starts posts an ERA of 3.31 and WHIP of 1.08. The fifth year righthander fans 26% with 5.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.9% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Joey Lucchesi to start for New York. Lucchesi in six starts deals an ERA of 3.54 and WHIP of 1.29. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 19% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls served at 42.7% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Gallen has pitched well against the Mets. Past ten games Diamondbacks bullpen an ERA of 2.20 and Mets at 6.32. Gallen in his last start shut out the Cubs in nine innings. Gallen on the road a WHIP of 1.18. Lucchesi at home an ERA of 5.79. Play Arizona -140.
Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/13/2023
Athletics at Astros—Paul Blackburn will start for Oakland. Blackburn in eighteen appearances has an ERA of 3.88 and WHIP of 1.51. The veteran righthander strikes out 23.1% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls served at 40.9% with limited home run damage. Hunter Brown will start for Houston. Brown in 27 appearances an ERA of 4.78 and WHIP of 1.37. The second year righty is fanning 26.9% with 8.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 52.5% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. Blackburn has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Brown past five starts has allowed 23 runs in 22 innings. Team record behind Blackburn 12-8 facing winning teams with a +12 unit return past two seasons. Brown at home an ERA of 6.07 with team record of 4-8. Play Oakland +234.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/13/2023
Yankees at Red Sox—Clarke Schmidt to start for New York. Schmidt has 29 appearances in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.54 and WHIP of 1.32. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 22.8% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.2% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. Tanner Houck will start for Boston. Houck in 17 starts an ERA of 5.28 and WHIP of 1.34. The fourth year righty fans 21.2% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls served at 52.5% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. Houck in his past two starts allowed nine earned runs in 10 1/3rd innings. Schmidt past five starts has allowed 19 runs in 25 2/3rd innings. Red Sox bullpen over the past ten games an ERA of 5.15. Play New York and Boston over 10.
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/13/2023
Royals at White Sox—Alec Marsh to start for Kansas City. Marsh has thirteen appearances this season dealing an ERA of 5.95 and WHIP of 1.63. The rookie righthander is striking out 25.3% with 11.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.6% with 2.41 home runs per nine innings. Mike Clevinger to start for Chicago. Clevinger has in 20 starts an ERA of 3.64 and WHIP of 1.24. The righty strikes out 20.7% with 8.4% walks. Grounders sit at 29.8% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. Royals are 8-36 facing a team with a starting pitcher that allows 5.5 hits or fewer per start on the year. KC 17-53 as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season with a -22.4 unit return. Clevinger has allowed one earned run or fewer in two of three starts. He has pitched well recently against the Royals. Play Chicago on run line -1.5 runs at +140.
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/13/2023
Marlins at Brewers—Braxton Garrett will start for Miami. Garrett appeared in 28 games on the campaign producing an ERA of 3.82 and WHIP of 1.16. The lefthander has 23.5% K’s with 4.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 49.2% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Colin Rea the primary pitcher for Milwaukee. Rae in 22 appearances an ERA of 5.02 and WHIP of 1.23. The righthander fans 21% with 7.4% walks. Grounders sit at 42.4% with 1.81 home runs per nine innings. Garrett past five starts allowed eight earned runs in 26 2/3rd innings. Garrett on the road a WHIP of 1.02 with team record of 9-4. Brewers struggle to hit and score against left handed starters. Play Miami -110.
San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/13/2023
Padres at Dodgers—Blake Snell will start for San Diego. Snell at 29 starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 2.52 and WHIP of 1.25. The eighth year lefthander has an elite 31.1% strikeout rate with 13.7% walks. Grounders dealt at 43.5% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.62 does imply a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Ryan Pepiot to start for Los Angeles. Pepiot appeared in four games dealing an ERA of 0.86 and WHIP of 0.52. The second year righthander fans 22.7% with 2.7% walks. Grounders served at 47.2% with limited home run damage. His FIP is 2.83 which suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Snell has allowed two earned runs in his past three starts working 19 innings. Pepiot in his past two starts allowed no earned runs in 12 innings. Los Angeles is 14-6 to the under at home facing a National League team hitting .250 or worse on the year. Play San Diego and Los Angeles under 9.