Free MLB Picks For Today 9/11/2023

Free MLB Picks For Today 9/11/2023

Free MLB Picks For Today 9/11/2023

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/11/2023

Braves at Phillies Game 1—Charlie Morton to start the opener for Atlanta. Morton Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker in 27 starts on the campaign and has an ERA of 4.15 and WHIP of 1.32. The veteran had a strikeout mark of 19.7% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 46% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings.

 

Charlie Morton starts the opener for Atlanta. Morton has 27 starts dealing an ERA of 3.32 and WHIP of 1.38. The sixteen year righthander fans 25.5% with 10.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.9% with limited home run damage.

 

Morton, past five starts allowed three earned runs in 28 innings. Walker in his past five starts has allowed 17 runs in 27 2/3rd innings. Phillies past seven games hitting .239. Play Atlanta -134 in Game 1.

 

Kyle Wright to start for Atlanta in Game 2. Wright in five starts in 2023 has an ERA of 5.79 and WHIP of .177. The sixth year righthander is striking out 21.5% with 10.8% walks. Ground balls delivered at 60% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.44 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form.

 

Michael Lorenzon to start for Philadelphia in the nightcap. Lorenzon has 24 starts with an ERA of 3.95 and WHIP of 1.17. The righty fans 18% with 7.1% walks. Grounders served at 41.3% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Lorenzon past four starts allowed 22 runs in 21 innings.

 

Strider misses this start with an illness. Wright hasn’t pitched in the Majors since May 3rd and struggled this season. Braves could be using relievers here and past ten games bullpen an ERA of 5.68. Play Atlanta and Philadelphia over in Game 2.

Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/11/2023

Nationals at Pirates—Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in 28 starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 5.23 and WHIP of 1.51. The lefthander strikes out 15.8% with 7% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.8% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings.

 

Andre Jackson will start for Pittsburgh. Jackson has fourteen appearances dealing an ERA of 5.21 and WHIP of 1.22. The righty fans 23% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 37% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings. Corbin has been hammered in his past two starts for fourteen runs in nine innings.

 

Jackson coming off a bad outing at home to Milwaukee. Pirates are 38-26 facing a team with a losing record on the year with a +17.5 unit return. Pittsburgh bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 1.80. Play Pittsburgh.

St Louis Cardinals vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/11/2023

Cardinals at Orioles—Dakota Hudson to start for St Louis. Hudson in fourteen appearances this season carries an ERA of 4.43 and WHIP of 1.36. The righthander is striking out 13.4% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls served at 51.5% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.

 

Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer has 28 starts delivering an ERA of 4.07 and WHIP of 1.29. The righty strikes out 21.3% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.1% with 1.51 home runs per nine innings. Hudson past three starts allowed eleven earned runs in 17 2/3rd innings.

 

Kremer in his past three starts allowed one earned run in 16 2/3rd innings. Past seven games Baltimore hitting .322 and putting up 8.6 runs per game. Team record behind Kremer 10-1 in his past eleven starts. Play Baltimore -157.

Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/11/2023

Rangers at Blue Jays—Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning has 30 appearances in the year with an ERA of 3.88 and WHIP of 1.27. The righty a career low 18.9% strikeouts with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.5% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.

 

Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt in 29 starts an ERA of 3.69 and WHIP of 1.18. The righthander strikes out 22% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls delivered at 40.9% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. Dunning has allowed ten earned runs, nine walks and four homers in his past three starts working thirteen innings.

 

Past ten games Ranger’s bullpen an ERA of 6.49 and Blue Jays at 5.40. Past seven games Blue Jays hitting .275. Four of their past six meetings in Toronto have gone over. Play Texas and Toronto over 9.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/11/2023

Diamondbacks at Mets—Zach Davies to start for Arizona. Davies at fifteen starts posting an ERA of 6.81 and WHIP of 1.60. The nine year righthander strikes out 18.3% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls served at 44.7% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings.

 

Jose Quintana to start for New York. Quintana in nine starts to the season deals an ERA of 3.00 and WHIP of 1.26. The lefthander fans 17.7% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls delivered at 40.9% with minimal home run damage. Past four starts Davies has allowed sixteen earned runs in 17 2/3rd innings.

 

Quintana has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Diamondbacks are 42-26 against losing teams with a +13.3 unit return. Arizona does hit lefthanders. Past ten games New York bullpen 6.23 ERA and Diamondbacks at 2.45. New York has been held to two runs in three of four games. Play Arizona +126.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/11/2023

Yankees at Red Sox—Clarke Schmidt will start for New York. Schmidt appeared in 29 games in 2023 deals an ERA of 4.54 and WHIP of 1.32. The righthander has 22.8% K’s with 44.2% walks. Ground balls served at 44.2% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings.

 

Kutter Crawford to start for Boston. Crawford appeared in 27 games delivering an ERA of 4.36 and WHIP of 1.16. The righty fans 24.1% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.2% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox have won seven straight against the Yankees.

 

Schmidt past ten starts allowed 19 runs in 25 2/3rd innings. Team record behind Schmidt 0-9 facing teams that average 4.9 runs per game or greater. Past seven games New York hitting .204. Play Boston -120.

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/11/2023

Royals at White Sox—Brady Singer starts for Kansas City. Singer has 27 starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 5.34 and WHIP of 1.42. The fourth year righthander has a strikeout mark of 19.5% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls served at 48.6% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.

 

Dylan Cease will start for Chicago. Cease in 29 starts an ERA of 4.98 and WHIP of 1.48. The righty fans 26.6% with 10.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.8% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. Royals 23-41 against losing teams with a -14.3 unit loss.

 

Royals 5-26 on the road against a starting pitcher that averaged 5 strikeouts per game or greater. Singer has allowed sixteen runs in his past three starts working 12 2/3rd innings. Play Chicago -120.

 

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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/11/2023

Rays at Twins—Tyler Glasnow will start for Tampa Bay. Glasnow in seventeen starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 2.98 and WHIP of 1.02. The veteran righthander has an elite strikeout rate of 33.5% with 7% walks. Ground balls dished at 51.1% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.

 

Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray has 28 starts with an ERA of 2.98 and WHIP of 1.17. The eleven year righty fans 23.9% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.4% with limited home run damage. Gray past three starts allowed four earned runs in 20 innings.

 

Glasnow is his past three starts allowed four earned runs in 19 innings. Glasnow 12-2 to the under at home facing a team hitting .260 or worse. Past seven games Rays hitting .224. Tampa Bay bullpen in their past ten games an ERA of 1.53. Play Tampa Bay and Minnesota under 8.

Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/11/2023

Marlins at Brewers—Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo in 28 starts on the year produces an ERA of 3.59 and WHIP of 1.20. The lefthander is fanning 28.2% with 7% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.9% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.

 

Brandon Woodruff to start for Milwaukee. Woodruff has eight starts with an ERA of 2.30 and WHIP of 0.79. The veteran posts an elite strikeout mark of 31.3% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls served at 36.2% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. Luzardo in his past three starts allowed two earned runs in eighteen innings.

 

Brewers -23.1 units as a favorite of -110 or higher past two seasons. Past seven games Marlins averaging 5.9 runs per game. Brewers hitting only .220 against left handers with a -8 unit loss. Play Miami +136.

Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/11/2023

Athletics at Astros—Ken Waldichuk to be primary for Oakland. Waldichuk appeared in 31 games in 2023 dealing an ERA of 5.63 and WHIP of 1.64. The lefthander is striking out 21.2% with 12.2% walks. Ground balls served at 39.8% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings.

 

Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in 27 starts on the season produces an ERA of 3.30 and WHIP of 1.11. The lefthander has a K rate of 23.7% with 6.6% walks. Grounders dished at 54.6% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.

 

Valdez in his past two starts has allowed three earned runs in 20 innings. Waldichuk past two starts allowed one earned run in ten innings. He has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five of six starts. Play Oakland on run line +1.5 runs at +116.

Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/11/2023

Cubs at Rockies—Jordan Hicks to start for Chicago. Hicks has three starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 2.16 and WHIP of 1.20. The lefthander strikes out 19.2% with 5.9% walks. Grounders come in at 42% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 3.20 does suggest a rising ERA based on form.

 

Kyle Freeland to start for Colorado. Freeland in 27 starts an ERA of 5.09 with WHIP of 1.47. The seventh year lefty fans a career low 14.2% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls served at 39.9% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings.

 

Freeland has allowed four earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Rockies +12.5 units as a home underdog of +100 or greater past two seasons. Rockies hit well at home. Play Colorado +158.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/11/2023

Angels at Mariners—Reid Detmers to start for Los Angeles. Detmers in 25 starts this season deals an ERA of 4.82 and WHIP of 1.40. The lefthander is striking out 25.8% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls sit 35.4% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.

 

Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert has 28 starts dealing an ERA of 3.61 and WHIP of 1.07. The third year righthander strikes out 25.4% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.7% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. Detmers has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts.

 

Angels crushed Gilbert for seven runs back in June. Mariners bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 6.03. Los Angeles has won three of four. Tough spot for Seattle playing their first home game after a ten game road trip. A road trip where they lose seven of ten. Play Angels +198.

Cleveland Guardians vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/11/2023

Guardians at Giants—Gavin Williams will start for Cleveland. Williams in fourteen starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.34 and WHIP of 1.26. The rookie righthander is striking out 24.4% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.3% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.

 

Alex Cobb to start for San Francisco. Cobb in 26 starts delivers an ERA of 3.74 and WHIP of 1.32. The righty a strikeout mark of 20.9% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 57% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings. Guardians season pretty much ruined after losing three of four at the Angels.

 

They have been held to two runs or fewer in four of five games. Team record behind Cobb in night games at 12-3 with a +9.3 unit return. Cobb at home a WHIP of 1.05 and 8-3 team record behind his starts. Play San Francisco -144.

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/11/2023

Padres at Dodgers—Pedro Avila will start for San Diego. Avila appeared in ten games on the campaign with an ERA of 2.19 and WHIP of 1.35. The righthander fans 23.8% with 11.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 60.4% with minimal home run damage.

 

Gavin Stone will start for Los Angeles. Stone in five appearances an ERA of 10.50 and WHIP of 2.28. The rookie righty a strikeout mark of 10.4% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls rate at 43% with 2.00 home runs per nine innings.

 

Dodgers first home game after a six game road trip with no rest. Avila has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four starts. San Diego bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 3.18. Past ten games Padres averaging 6 runs per game. Play San Diego +151.

 

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