Free MLB Picks For Today 9/6/2023
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/6/2023
Brewers at Pirates—Freddy Peralta to start for Milwaukee. Peralta in 26 starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 3.85 and WHIP of 1.14. The sixth year righthander strikes out an elite 31.7% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls served at 40.9% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. Mitch Keller to be primary pitcher for Pittsburgh. Keller has 28 starts produces an ERA of 3.93 and WHIP of 1.25. The righty fans 26% with 7.1% walks. Grounders sit at 43.5% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Peralta has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts with team record of 5-0. Brewers bullpen the past ten games in good form. Team record behind Peralta 9-1 facing a team that averages seven strikeouts or greater in his past ten starts. Pittsburgh hitting .230 against right handed starters. Play Milwaukee -135.
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/6/2023
Twins at Guardians—Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan has 24 starts on the year posting an ERA of 4.20 and WHIP of 1.12. The third year righthander is striking out 29.4% with 4.8% walks. Grounders sit at 31.6% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings. Gavin Williams to start for Cleveland. Williams at thirteen starts an ERA of 3.46 and WHIP of 1.28. The righty fans 24.7% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.5% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. Ryan in his past two starts allowed two earned runs in eleven innings. Williams in his past three starts allowed ten runs in 9 1/3rd innings. Twins past seven games hitting .288 and putting up 7.6 runs per game. The Guardians are averaging only 3.6 runs per game at home. Play Minnesota -122.
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/6/2023
Giants at Cubs—Jakob Junis to start for San Francisco. Junis appeared in 36 games dealing an ERA of 3.87 and WHIP of 1.29. The veteran righthander strikes out 26.3% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls served at 42.8% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings. Jordan Wicks to start for Chicago. Wicks in two starts allowed two earned runs with twelve strikeouts in ten innings. A first round pick in 2021 out of Kansas St who has put up great numbers in two levels of the minors this year. Giants have lost six of seven. San Francisco past seven games hitting .183. Play Chicago on run line -1.5 runs at -119.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/6/2023
Blue Jays at Athletics—Hyun Jin Ryu to start for Toronto. Ryu in six starts on the year deals an ERA of 2.48 and WHIP of 1.03. The eleven year lefthander strikes out 19.7% with 6% walks. Ground balls sit at 50.6% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.19 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. J.P. Sears to start for Oakland. Sears has 27 starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.60 and WHIP of 1.22. The lefty fans 22.2% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 28.6% with 1.90 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Ryu 11-1 facing an American League team with an OBP of .320 or worse. Ryu past five starts allowed four earned runs in 24 innings. Athletics 10-41 facing teams this season that are outscoring opponents by 0.5 run or greater. Play Toronto -164.
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/6/2023
Rockies at Diamondbacks—Chris Flexen to start for Colorado. Flexen appeared in 24 games in 2023 dealing an ERA of 6.89 and WHIP of 1.71. The righthander a strikeout mark of 15.8% with 8.3% walks. Grounders served at 40.9% with 2.53 home runs per nine innings. Zach Davies to start for Arizona. Davies in fourteen starts produces an ERA of 6.45 and WHIP of 1.54. The ninth year righty has a K rate of 18.8% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls delivered at 45.5% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.47 does imply a reduction in his ERA should form hold. Past five starts Flexen allowed sixteen runs in 27 2/3rd innings. Davies past five starts allowed 18 earned runs in 25 2/3rd innings. Past ten games Rockies bullpen an ERA of 8.74 and Diamondbacks at 5.35. Flexen 9-1 to the over this year. Play Colorado and Arizona over 9.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/6/2023
Phillies at Padres—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in 27 starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 3.62 and WHIP of 1.07. The eleven year righthander has a strikeout mark of 27.6% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls served at 41.3% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings. Michael Wacha will start for San Diego. Wacha has nineteen starts with an ERA of 2.85 and WHIP of 1.12. The veteran strikes out 22% with 8% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.1% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.86 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold. Wacha allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Team record behind Wacha 28-12 facing teams that strike out an average of seven or greater times per game with a +14.5 unit return. Past seven games San Diego hitting .292. Play San Diego +105.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/6/2023
Dodgers at Marlins—Lance Lynn to start for Los Angeles. Lynn has 27 starts on the year dealing an ERA of 5.81 and WHIP of 1.40. The veteran fans 25.1% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls served at 37.4% with 2.15 home runs per nine innings. Edward Cabrera to be primary pitcher for Miami. Cabrera at seventeen starts an ERA of 4.79 and WHIP of 1.47. The third year righthander is striking out 27.6% with 15.4% walks. Grounders sit at 54.3% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. Los Angeles past seven games hitting .294. Lynn has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five. Past ten games Dodgers bullpen an ERA of 1.77. Cabrera past two starts allowed five earned runs with eight walks in five innings. Play Los Angeles +146.
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/6/2023
Red Sox at Rays—James Paxton to start for Boston. Paxton has nineteen starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 4.50 and WHI of 1.31. The eleven-year lefthander had a strikeout mark of 24.6% with 8% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.6% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings. Tyler Glasnow will start for Tampa Bay. Glasnow at sixteen starts carries an ERA of 3.17 and WHIP of 1.05. The righthander an elite strikeout mark of 31.7% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 50.9% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox bullpen over the past ten games an ERA of 7.19. Past three starts Paxton allowed 17 runs in 9 2/3rd innings. Rays have won 22 of 28 at home against the Red Sox. Play Tampa Bay -167.
Seattle Mariners vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/6/2023
Mariners at Reds—Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert has 27 starts to the campaign produces an ERA of 3.56 and WHIP of 1.05. The third year righthander is striking out 25% with 4.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.9% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. Lyon Richardson to start for Cincinnati. Richardson in three starts posts an ERA of 6.75 and WHIP of 1.75. The rookie righty fans 16.1% with 19.6% walks. Ground balls at 44.4% with 2.25 home runs per nine innings. Mariners have lost four of five on this trip. The bullpen is the concern of late for the Mariners. Seattle batting .241 against right handed starters. Play Cincinnati +144.
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/6/2023
Tigers at Yankees—Matt Manning will start for Detroit. Manning has fourteen starts on the year producing an ERA of 3.62 and WHIP of 1.03. The third year righthander strikes out 15.8% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.3% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Clarke Schmidt to start for New York. Schmidt appeared in 28 games with an ERA of 4.56 and WHIP of 1.34. The righty has a strikeout mark of 22.7% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls served at 44% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. Manning has allowed one earned run in his past four starts working 23 2/3rd innings. Schmidt past four starts allowed sixteen runs in 19 1/3rd innings. Past seven games New York hitting .212. Team record behind Manning 7-2 facing an American League team with an OBP of .330 or worse. Play Detroit +147.
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/6/2023
Mets at Nationals—Jose Butto to start for New York. Butto appeared in four games on the season with an ERA of 4.30 and WHIP of 1.77. The righthander fans 14.5% with 20.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 50% with limited home run damage. Joan Adon to start for Washington. Adon has seven appearances producing an ERA of 5.90 and WHIP of 1.14. The righty strikes out 19% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.5% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings. Adon has allowed eleven earned runs in his past two starts working fifteen innings. Past seven games Nationals hitting .217. Play New York -101.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/6/2023
Cardinals at Braves—Dakota Hudson to start for St Louis. Hudson appeared in thirteen games in 2023 dealing an ERA of 4.02 and WHIP of 1.30. The sixth year righthander a K rate of 13.9% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls served at 52.5% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.04 does suggest a rising ERA based on his numbers. Spencer Strider to start for Atlanta. Strider has 27 starts posting an ERA of 3.56 and WHIP of 1.05. The righty an elite strikeout rate of 38% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 34.6% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Hudson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. St Louis has won four of six. Strider allowed four runs over six innings in his past start. Strider has logged 159 innings this season. Play St Louis on run line +1.5 runs at +105.
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/6/2023
White Sox at Royals—Touki Toussaint to start for Chicago. Toussaint in fifteen appearances deals an ERA of 4.87 and WHIP of 1.48. The sixth year righthander fans 22.2% with 16% walks. Ground ball rate of 50% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. Jordan Lyles the starter for Kansas City. Lyles has 26 starts producing an ERA of 6.29 and WHIP of 1.26. The thirteen-year veteran is striking out 16.4% with 6.3% walks. Grounders served at 33.2% with 2.04 home runs per nine innings. Chicago has lost seven of eight. Toussaint past five starts allowed 17 earned runs in 23 1/3rd innings. Lyles has faced the White Sox twice this year allowing nine runs in fourteen innings. Past ten games Royals bullpen an ERA of 6.86 and White Sox at 5.75. Chicago is 15-6 to the over on the road facing teams getting outscored by 0.5 runs or greater. Play Chicago and Kansas City over 9.5.
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/6/2023
Astros at Rangers—Justin Verlander to start for Houston. Verlander in 22 starts delivers an ERA of 3.34 and WHIP of 1.18. The nineteen-year veteran a strikeout mark of 21% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls served at 36.5% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. Max Scherzer is the starter for Texas. Scherzer has 25 starts dealing an ERA of 3.55 and WHIP of 1.10. The sixteen year righthander fans 28.8% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings. Astros have pounded the Rangers in the first two games of this series outscoring them by 27-7. Past ten games Texas bullpen an ERA of 6.54. Astros are 14-5 on the road against winning teams with a +12 unit return. Past seven games Astros batting .300. Play Houston +102.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/6/2023
Orioles at Angels—Kyle Gibson to start for Baltimore. Gibson has 28 starts on the year posting an ERA of 5.15 and WHIP of 1.34. The eleven-year righthander a K rate of 19.8% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.7% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.03 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Patrick Sandoval to start for Los Angeles. Sandoval in 24 starts delivers an ERA of 4.19 and WHIP of 1.45. The lefthander is striking out 19.9% with 11% walks. Ground balls dealt at 48.4% with limited home run damage. Sandoval past four games allowed 17 runs in 17 innings. Los Angeles bullpen past ten games an ERA of 7.88 and Orioles at 2.76. Baltimore 25-6 facing an American League team allowing 4.9 runs or greater on the season. Team record behind Sandoval 4-17 against winning teams with a -13 unit loss. Past seven games Baltimore hitting .307. Play Baltimore -128.