Free MLB Picks For Today 9/4/2023
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/4/2023
White Sox at Royals—Jesse Sholtens to start for Chicago. Sholtens has 22 appearances in 2023 dealing an ERA of 3.97 and WHIP of 1.31. The rookie righthander fans 159% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.9% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings.
Cole Ragans to start for Kansas City. Ragans appeared in 24 games posted an ERA of 3.27 and WHIP of 1.20. The second year lefthander is striking out 29.5% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.2% with limited home run damage. Sholtens in his last start held the Orioles to one earned run in 5 1/3rd innings.
Ragans in his past two starts allowed no runs with 20 strikeouts in seven innings. White Sox are 29-18 to the under facing an American League team averaging 4.4 runs or fewer. Past seven games Kansas City hitting .217. Play Chicago and Kansas City under 9.
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/4/2023
Giants at Cubs—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb in 28 starts on the year produces an ERA of 3.49 and WHIP of 1.10. The righthander is striking out 23.6% with 3.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 60.6% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele has 25 starts with an ERA of 2.69 and WHIP of 1.17. The third year lefthander a K rate of 23.6% with 5.2% walks. Grounders dealt at 48.2% with 0.69 home runs per nine innings. Webb in his past three starts has allowed eleven earned runs in 17 2/3rd innings.
Steele past three starts allowed four earned runs in eighteen innings. Team record behind Steele 18-6 facing teams that average seven strikeouts per game or more with a +11.2 unit return. San Francisco past seven games hitting .226. Logan on the road this season an ERA of 4.63. Play Chicago -131.
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/4/2023
Astros at Rangers—J.P. France will start for Houston. France appeared in 20 games on the campaign producing an ERA of 3.49 and WHIP of 1.29. The rookie righthander strikes out 17.6% with 7% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.5% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Andrew Heaney will start for Texas. Heaney has 26 starts posting an ERA of 4.16 and WHIP of 1.35. The veteran lefthander is fanning 24.5% with 9.1% walks. Grounders served at 39.8% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings. Houston is hitting .279 against left handed starters averaging six runs per game.
Rangers in their past seven games hitting .219. France on the road an ERA of 2.17. Houston 22-13 as an underdog of +100 or greater with a +13 unit return. France has allowed two earned runs in four of his past five starts. At home Heaney has an ERA of 4.29 with WHIP of 1.42. Play Houston +102.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/4/2023
Blue Jays at Athletics—Jose Berrios will start for Toronto. Berrios in 27 starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.70 and WHIP of 1.22. The righthander strikes out 22.2% with 7% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.3% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
Ken Waldichuk to start for Oakland. Waldichuk has 30 appearances with an ERA of 5.92 and WHIP of 1.67. The second year lefthander is striking out 21.6% with 12.1% walks. Grounders come in at 39% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings. Berrios in his past four starts allowed sixteen runs in 22 innings.
Waldichuk has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Blue Jays -20.3 unit loss against left handed starters the past two seasons. Berrios 3-8 when favored by -125 to -175 with a -8.5 unit loss. Athletics bullpen in their past ten games an ERA of 2.50. Play Oakland +162.
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/4/2023
Rockies at Diamondbacks—Peter Lambert will start for Colorado. Lambert appeared in 23 games on the year dealing an ERA of 4.95 and WHIP of 1.36. The righthander a strikeout mark of 19.6% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.7% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings.
Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly has 24 starts producing an ERA of 3.31 and WHIP of 1.20. The fifth year righty fans 25.5% with 9% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.3% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Kelly on the run line is 18-7 facing an National League team with an OBP of .315 or worse and 24-11 to the run line working on 5 to 6 days rest. Rockies are 3-29 as a road underdog of +200 or greater. Play Arizona on run line -1.5 runs at -112.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 9/4/2023
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/4/2023
Red Sox at Rays—Brayan Bello will start for Boston. Bello in 23 starts this season producing an ERA of 3.57 and WHIP of 1.28. The second year righthander strikes out 19.1% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 55.2% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings.
Aaron Civale to start for Tampa Bay. Civale has eighteen starts with an ERA of 2.64 and WHIP of 1.11. The righty fans 20% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls served at 40.1% with limited home run damage. Rays have won seven of eight against the Red Sox.
Civale has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Bello, in three starts against the Rays has allowed twelve earned runs in fourteen innings. The Rays have won 21 of 26 at home against the Red Sox. Play Tampa Bay -142.
Seattle Mariners vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/4/2023
Mariners at Reds—Bryan Woo to start for Seattle. Woo in thirteen appearances posting an ERA of 4.15 and WHIP of 1.17. The rookie righthander has a K rate of 25.3% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Mariot to be primary starter for Cincinnati. Mariot has pitched 37 2/3rd innings in Triple A this season with an ERA of 6.93 and WHIP of 1.56 striking out 24 batters in 37 2/3rd innings. He has pitched 49 2/3rd innings in the Majors with an ERA of 5.98 and WHIP of 1.59 striking out 45 batters with 28 walks.
Woo in his past three starts allowed three earned runs in sixteen innings. Cincinnati bullpen in their past ten games an ERA of 5.62. Reds over their past seven games hitting .207. Play Seattle.
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/4/2023
Twins at Guardians—Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez in 27 starts on the year deals an ERA of 3.72 and WHIP of 1.16. The righthander strikes out 28.8% with 6.3% walks. Grounders come in at 42.5% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
Lucas Giolito to start for Cleveland. Giolito has 27 starts delivering an ERA of 4.45 and WHIP of 1.28. The veteran is striking out 25.2% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls are 36.9% with 1.76 home runs per nine innings. Lopez in his past two starts allowed eight earned runs in eleven innings.
Giolito in three starts against Minnesota this season allowed two earned runs in 18 innings. Twins in their past seven games hitting .224. Guardians’ bullpen at home an ERA of 2.62. Giolito on the road an ERA of 2.53 with WHIP of 0.92. Play Cleveland +119.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/4/2023
Brewers at Pirates—Corbin Burnes will start for Milwaukee. Burnes in 27 starts to the season delivers an ERA of 3.55 and WHIP of 1.09. The sixth year righthander fans 24.9% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls served at 43.9% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Ortiz to start for Pittsburgh. Ortiz has thirteen appearances delivering an ERA of 5.08 and WHIP of 1.77. The righty a strikeout mark of 15.2% with 11.4% walks. Grounders dealt at 47.6% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings.
Ortiz in his past three starts allowed fifteen earned runs, five homers and nine walks in 11 1/3rd innings. His ERA is 5.56 at home with a WHIP of 1.72. Burns has pitched well in his two starts against Pittsburgh this year. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/4/2023
Phillies at Padres—Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker in 26 starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 4.05 and WHIP of 1.31. The eleven year veteran strikes out 19.8% with 9.85 walks. Grounders dished at 46% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Rich Hill the starter for San Diego. Hill in 27 appearances an ERA of 5.26 and WHIP of 1.50. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 19.1% with 8.6% walks. Grounders served at 38% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Phillies have own six of seven against the Padres. Hill in his past four starts allowed fifteen earned runs in 15 1/3rd innings.
Team record behind Walker 12-2 facing a losing team and 19-6 facing a team that averages seven strikeouts or more on the season. Past seven games Philadelphia hitting .282 and putting up 7.3 runs per game. Padres batting .231 against righthanders with a -29.6 unit loss this season. Play Philadelphia -115.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/4/2023
Orioles at Angels—Grayson Rodriguez to start for Baltimore. Rodriguez in eighteen starts this season delivers an ERA of 5.03 and WHIP of 1.35. The rookie righthander strikes out 24.6% with 8.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.9% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings.
Kenny Rosenberg to start for Los Angeles. Rosenberg appeared in two games in 2023 allowing five earned runs with seven walks in seven innings. An eighth round pick in 2016 out of Cal State Northridge who pitched 10 2/3rd innings last year in his only other MLB work.
The lefthander had 20 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.95 and WHIP of 1.51 striking out 120 batters in 100 innings. First home game for Los Angeles after a nine game road trip with no rest. They were just swept in a three game series in Oakland.
Orioles 20-10 to run line facing an American League team that surrenders 4.9 runs per game or greater. Rodriguez in his past four starts allowed six earned runs in 25 innings. Los Angeles bullpen in their past ten games an ERA of 7.64 and Orioles at 2.64. Play Baltimore on run line -1.5 runs at -107.
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