Free MLB Picks For Today 8/27/2023
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Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/27/2023
Angels at Mets—Griffin Canning to start for Los Angeles. Canning in eighteen appearances carries an ERA of 4.61 and WHIP of 1.25. The fourth year righthander is striking out 26% with 7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.1% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings. David Peterson to start for New York. Peterson appeared in 21 games in 2023 dealing an ERA of 5.59 and WHIP of 1.67. The lefthander fans 23.8% with 10.9% walks. Ground balls served at 55.9% with 1.51 home runs per nine innings. Peterson’s numbers have been better at home with an ERA of 3.21. Los Angeles bullpen an ERA of 7.23 past ten games. Angels 12-20 against lefthanded starters with a -14 unit loss. Play New York Mets -120.
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/27/2023
Cubs at Pirates—Javier Assad to start for Chicago. Assad has appeared in 23 games in 2023 dealing an ERA of 3.13 and WHIP of 1.25. The second year righthander is striking out 18% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.9% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Bailey Falter to start for Pittsburgh. Falter appeared in twelve games in the year dealing an ERA of 4.53 and WHIP of 1.42. The lefty fans 17.9% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.1% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings. Cubs bullpen past ten games with an ERA of 3.06. Assad in his home starts an ERA of 2.19 with WHIP of 0.97. Falter at home an ERA of 6.27. Chicago has won eight of nine against the Pirates this year. Play Cubs -116.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/27/2023
Cardinals at Phillies—Drew Rom to start for St Louis. Rom in his MLB debut allowed eight runs with four walks in 3 2/3rd innings at Pittsburgh. He was a fourth round pick in 2018 with no college. The rookie lefthander posted poor results in Triple A with an ERA of 5.34 and WHIP of 1.69 in 86 innings. Aaron Nola is the starter for Philadelphia. Nola has 26 starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.49 and WHIP of 1.15. The nine year righthander a strikeout mark of 25.2% with 6.1% walks. Grounders dished at 40.5% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings. Nola in his past five starts allowed 19 runs in 27 innings. Cardinals bullpen past ten games an ERA of 5.05. Play St Louis and Philadelphia over 9.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/27/2023
Dodgers at Red Sox—Gavin Stone will be primary pitcher for Los Angeles. Stone appeared in four games this year with an ERA of 12.75 and WHIP of 3.00. The rookie righthander strikes out just 11.3% with 11.3% walks. Grounders served at 42.6% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. Tanner Houck to start for Boston. Houck in fourteen starts an ERA of 5.08 and WHIP of 1.27. The fourth-year righty fans 21.5% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 52.1% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. Houck at home an ERA of 5.75. Red Sox bullpen past ten games an ERA of 5.97. Play Los Angeles and Boston over.
Colorado Rockies vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/27/2023
Rockies at Orioles—Ty Blach to start for Colorado. Blach in thirteen appearances deals an ERA of 4.39 and WHIP of 1.56. The lefthander strikes out only 10.3% with 6% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.3% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. Jack Flaherty to start for Baltimore. Flaherty in 23 starts on the year has an ERA of 4.73 and WHIP of 1.55. The seventh year righthander strikes out 22.7% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. Orioles now 14-4 to the over facing a starting pitcher that fails to average five innings or more per start. Both teams hitting well over the past ten games. Play Colorado and Baltimore over 9.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/27/2023
Guardians at Blue Jays—Noah Syndergaard to start for Cleveland. Syndergaard in seventeen starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 6.42 and WHIP of 1.40. The veteran fans 14.5% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37.2% with 2.07 home runs per nine innings. Yusei Kikuchi is the starter for Toronto. Kikuchi has 25 starts with an ERA of 3.52 and WHIP of 1.23. The lefthander strikes out 25% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.8% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings. Past seven games Cleveland averaging just 3.4 runs per game. Syndergaard in his eight road starts an ERA of 9.37. Kikuchi has allowed one earned run in four of his past five starts. Team record behind Syndergaard on the run line is 5-14 on the road with a -11.5 unit loss. Play Toronto on run line -1.5 runs at -113.
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/27/2023
Astros at Tigers—Justin Verlander will start for Houston. Verlander in 20 starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 3.19 and WHIP of 1.18. The nineteen-year veteran strikes out 21% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 37% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. Alex Faedo to start for Detroit. Faedo has 10 starts this year producing an ERA of 4.91 and WHIP of 0.97. The righty posts a strikeout mark of 22% with 6.3% walks. Grounders dished at 38.4% with 1.75 home runs per nine innings. Faedo past four starts allowed five earned runs in 21 2/3rd innings. Verlander 11-2 to the under when facing teams getting outscored by 0.5 runs per game or greater and 13-2 to the under as a road favorite of -125 or greater. Play Houston and Detroit under 8.5.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/27/2023
Nationals at Marlins—Trevor Williams will start for Washington. Williams at 25 starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 4.95 and WHIP of 1.49. The righthander is striking out 17.1% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.8% with 2.04 home runs per nine innings. Brian Hoeing to be the primary pitcher for the Marlins. Hoeing appeared in 25 games this season with an ERA of 4.15 and WHIP of 1.25. The second year righty strikes out 18.1% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls served at 45.9% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Nationals +23.3 unit return as a road underdog of +150 or greater this year. Marlins past seven games hitting .209. Play Washington +190.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/27/2023
Yankees at Rays—Carlos Rodon to start for New York. Rodon has seven starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 6.27 and WHIP of 1.42. The ninth year lefthander a K rate of 18.1% with 12.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.3% with 2.45 home runs per nine innings. Zack Littell to start for Tampa Bay. Littell appeared in 21 games dealing an ERA of 4.27 and WHIP of 1.25. The righthander fans 21.2% with 3.2% walks. Ground balls served at 41.6% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. Rodon past five starts allowed seventeen earned runs in 22 2/3rd innings. New York -31.4 units against the AL East past three seasons. Past seven games they are hitting only .225. Rays in this period hitting .317 and averaging 8.3 runs per game. Play Tampa Bay -115.
Oakland Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/27/2023
Athletics at White Sox—Paul Blackburn to start for Oakland. Blackburn appeared in fifteen games in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.00 and WHIP of 1.45. The seventh year righthander a strikeout mark of 23.2% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls served at 41.6% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. Mike Clevinger will start for Chicago. Clevinger has seventeen starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 3.47 and WHIP of 1.29. The veteran strikes out 19.5% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 30% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.58 does suggest a raise in ERA based on his numbers. Blackburn has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Clevinger just surrendered four earned runs with four walks against Seattle in his last start. Past ten games White Sox bullpen an ERA of 7.23. White Sox -17.1 units as a home favorite of -125 to -175 past two seasons. Past seven games Athletics are putting up five runs per game. Play Oakland +115.
Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/27/2023
Rangers at Twins—Jordan Montgomery to start for Texas. Montgomery has 25 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.12 and WHIP of 1.20. The lefthander is striking out 22% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.9% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober in 21 starts produces an ERA of 3.41 and WHIP of 1.12. The third year righthander had a fan rate of 23.2% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls served at 33.1% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Montgomery has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Past five starts Ober has allowed sixteen runs in 24 innings. Twins bullpen past ten games an ERA of 5.97. Minnesota 30-49 against an American League pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or lower past two seasons with a -18.5 unit loss. Twins hitting .223 against lefthanded starters and putting up 3.4 runs per game against them. Play Texas -120.
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/27/2023
Padres at Brewers—Michael Wacha to start for San Diego. Wacha in 17 starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 2.63 and WHIP of 1.07. The eleven year veteran is striking out 22.1% with 7.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 34.6% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.68 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Adrian Houser to start for Milwaukee. Houser appeared in eighteen games deals an ERA of 4.28 and WHIP of 1.46. The righthander is striking out 19.4% with 7% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.6% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. Wacha has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of five starts. Howser past three starts allowed nine runs in 15 1/3rd innings. Padres past ten games an ERA of 2.04.Team record behind Wacha 17-5 when lined between +125 and -175 with a +12.3 unit return. Play San Diego -126.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/27/2023
Reds at Diamondbacks—Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft has 24 starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.84 and WHIP of 1.38. The second year righthander strikes out 17.3% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 49% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings. Slade Cecconi to start for Arizona. Cecconi in four appearances an ERA of 2.93 and WHIP of 1.04. The rookie righty strikes out 14.5% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.7% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.96 does imply a rising ERA based on his numbers. Ashcraft has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five games and averaging seven innings per start in this span. Diamondbacks bullpen an ERA of 5.73 past ten games. Ceddoni has not made it past 4 2/3rd innings in his starts. Play Cincinnati +110.
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/27/2023
Royals at Mariners—Alec Marsh will start for Kansas City. Marsh in ten appearances on the campaign deals an ERA of 5.56 and WHIP of 1.60. The rookie righthander a strikeout mark of 24.6% with 12.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 30.8% with 2.47 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 6.74 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo in 26 starts carries an ERA of 3.15 and WHIP of 1.04. The seventh year veteran fans 27.6% with 5.8% walks. Grounders come in at 40.7% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. Head to head trends over big time. Marsh past three starts allowed twelve earned runs in 12 innings. Castillo past two starts against the Royals allowed nine earned runs in 12 1/3rd innings. Past seven games Mariners hitting .327 and putting up 7.1 runs per game. KC bullpen has performed poorly this season. Play Kansas City and Seattle over 8.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/27/2023
Braves at Giants—Jared Shuster is the starter for Atlanta. Shuster has nine starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 5.00 and WHIP of 1.42. The rookie lefthander is striking out 13% with 11.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.2% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. Tristan Beck expected to start for San Francisco. Beck in 28 appearances deals an ERA of 3.34 and WHIP of 1.16. The rookie righthander is fanning 20.7% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.4% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings. San Francisco past seven games putting up just 3.6 runs per game. Shuster has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Braves bullpen past ten games an ERA of 2.05 and San Francisco at 4.58. Prefer bats and bullpen of Atlanta. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs.