Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds 8/4/2023 Picks

Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds 8/4/2023 Picks Predictions Previews

The Cincinnati are hosting the Washington Nationals at the Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati on Friday, August 4, 2023, at 18:40 ET in the opening game of this series.

The Reds are coming off back-to-back losses, while the Nationals are 2-1 in their last 3.

The Reds have a 59-51 record so far this season, 28-26 at home and 59-51 in over/under. They are sitting on the third place of the AL Central Division.

They are coming off a road defeat against the Chicago Cubs with a 6-16 score. Spencer Steer leads the team in home runs this season with 16, while Matt McClain leads the team in batting average with .305.

The Reds average 5 runs offensively while allowing 5.56 runs per game defensively. They have a .250 hitting percentage and average 1.1 home runs per game.

On the mound for the Reds today will be the rightie Graham Ashcraft who has a 6-7 record, 5.31 ERA and 1.50 WHIP.

Reds Betting Trends:

The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 88 games (+25.40 Units / 26% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 79 games (+15.90 Units / 18% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 40 away games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 46 of their last 110 games (-28.70 Units / -22% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-22.15 Units / -25% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 107 games (-14.55 Units / -12% ROI).

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Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds Predictions 8/4/2023

The Nationals have a 46-63 record so far this season, 24-29 on the road and 52-53-4 in over/under. They are sitting on the last place of the AL East Division.

They are coming off a home victory against the Milwaukee Brewers with a 3-2 score.

Lance Thomas and Jaime Candelario lead the team in home runs this season with 16 apiece, while Victor Robles leads the team in batting average with .299.

The Nationals average 4.4 runs offensively while allowing 5.02 runs per game defensively. They have a .257 hitting percentage and average 0.9 home runs per game.

On the mound for the Nationals will be the leftie Patrick Corbin who has a 7-11 record, 5.07 ERA and 1.53 WHIP.

Nationals Betting Trends:

The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 52 away games (+13.15 Units / 25% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.40 Units / 28% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.20 Units / 27% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 77 games (-8.30 Units / -10% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 10 games (-5.00 Units / -43% ROI).

Head-to-Head Betting Trends:

Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings.
Under is 4-2 in the last 6 meetings.

Prediction:

Both pitchers have a combined ERA of 10+ so I’m going with the over the total in the first 5 innings of this game.

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