Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers 8/4/2023 Picks

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers 8/4/2023 Picks Predictions Previews

The Pittsburgh Pirates will go against the Milwaukee Brewers in MLB action in American Family Field, WI, on Friday, August 4, 2023, at 8:10 PM ET.

The Pirates, who sit fourth in the NL Central with a 48-59 record, will start rookie right-hander Quinn Priester.

Priester is coming off a five-inning win over the Philadelphia Phillies in which he gave up five runs on five hits, one hit by pitch, six walks, and seven strikeouts.

Right-hander Colin Rea will start for the Brewers, who are currently second in the NL Central with a record of 58-51.

Rea is returning from a no-decision against the Atlanta Braves in which he pitched five innings and surrendered five runs on five hits while issuing two walks and striking out eight batters.

The Pittsburgh Pirates, currently in 24th place in the majors with a .697 OPS and 4.13 runs scored per game, were among the worst offensive clubs in the sport.

This offense has played well away from home, ranking 20th in MLB with a.700 OPS and averaging 4.17 runs in their 53 away games.

Jack Suwinski, the Pirates’ starting center fielder, has been doing a fantastic job, leading the order with a slash line of .223/.340/.491 with 21 home runs, 52 RBIs, 42 runs scored, and 7 stolen bases on 8 attempts.

Quinn Priester had a very bad year, evidenced by his 10.4 barrel percentage. Priester uses at least 12.6 percent of his five pitches, which are all used in his arsenal.

It will be fascinating to watch how he performs here as this will be his first time pitching against the Brewers lineup in his short career.

The relief pitchers for the Pirates entered games 105 times with runners on base and also made 103 outings in high-leverage situations. The bullpen has 48 holds this year, which ranks 26th in the league.

The Pirates bullpen entered the game in 90 save situations with a 70.0% save rate. This season, they made 28 saves but lost 12 of their 40 opportunities to win the game.

In that year, the relief pitchers gave up 162 base-runners, and 32.7% of those runners reached the plate. This year, the Pirates sent 335 relievers to the mound.

The total went OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 matches.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 1-7 SU in their last 8 matches against Milwaukee.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 6-14 SU in their last 20 matches on the road.

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Predictions 8/4/2023

The Milwaukee Brewers rank 26th in baseball with a.685 team OPS and an average of 4.09 runs per game, making them one of the worst offensive teams statistically this season.

This Brewers club performed poorly at home this season, as evidenced by their .233/.314/.394 team slash line and 4.25 runs scored in their 53 home matches thus far.

Christian Yelich, a left fielder, was making strides at the plate, as seen by his .844 OPS, 16 home runs, 60 RBI, 76 runs scored, and 22 steals in 24 attempts.

Looking at Colin Rea’s Baseball Savant website, one can see that he was having trouble this year as his barrel percentage is in the 21st percentile.

His sinker and cutter are used at least 20.6 percent of the time out of six pitches in his arsenal.

Rea faced the Pirates on July 2 this year, winning after pitching 6.2 innings while giving up two runs on five hits, a walk, and three strikeouts.

In 50 opportunities for saves, Milwaukee used relievers to enter the match and came away with 35 saves. They now boast the sixth-best save percentage in baseball (70.0%) and used 340 relievers this season.

Their relievers entered the game 114 times in high-leverage situations and 79 times with runners in scoring position. Out of 114 inherited base runners, Milwaukee’s relievers have a 29.8% inherited score percentage.

The Brewers accumulated 68 holds, and 15 blown saves out of 119 save opportunities.

The total went OVER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 7 matches.
The Milwaukee Brewers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 matches.
The total went OVER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 matches against Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers. The MLB chose the Milwaukee Brewers in this matchup. Although neither pitcher pitched well lately, there was a split in recent games.

In his first three starts, Quinn Priester is 2-1 with a 9.19 ERA and a.262 opponents’ batting average, while Colin Rea is 1-0 with a 5.27 ERA and a .250 opponents’ batting average in his prior five outings.

When comparing these teams’ offenses since the All-Star break, there isn’t much of a difference, but the Pirates averaged 3.71 runs in their last 17 games compared to the Brewers’ 3.78 runs over their previous 18 contests.

The Milwaukee Brewers are the superior club in this clash, so choose them to win. The Milwaukee Brewers will win predicted at 7-3.

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