Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals 8/4/2023 Picks Predictions Previews
The Colorado Rockies will go against the St. Louis Cardinals in MLB action in Busch Stadium, MO, on Friday, August 4, 2023, at 8:15 PM ET.
The Rockies have the lowest record in the National League with a 42-66 record and just three victories in their previous 10 games.
The Cardinals, who currently sit in last place in the National League Central Division with a 48-61 record, sold away some important players this week at the deadline.
The Rockies are having a terrible season and seem destined to have the worst record in the National League by season’s end.
Chris Flexen will start the upcoming contest and aims to improve on a terrible season in which he surrendered 42 runs over 45.2 innings pitched.
Additionally, opponents are making contact and putting together quality plate appearances against Flexen to score runs, as evidenced by their .308 easily predicted opponent batting average, 15.1 strikeout percentage, and 6.74 expected ERA.
The lineup faltered, scoring only 4.32 runs per game with only 15 runs over the last five games, and Flexen struggled on the mound.
Elias Diaz and Ezequiel Tovar contributed 20 home runs and 295 total bases, respectively, and hit 263/.343/.479 with 18 home runs and 184 total bases, but the rest of the order struggled.
Opposing pitchers can take out the unfortunate lineup because only three active batters have 10 or more home runs and only one has an OPS+ of above 100.
In addition to their 90 high-leverage appearances, Rockies pitchers entered the match with runners on base 102 times. The relievers have 36 holds this season, ranking 29th in baseball.
The Rockies’ relief pitchers entered 78 save opportunities with a 57.5% save percentage. They made 23 saves this season and missed 17 of their 40 opportunities to win the game.
Over the season, the relievers were handed 168 base runners, and 33.9% advanced to the plate. This year, the Rockies sent 357 relievers to the mound.
- The total went UNDER in 14 of Colorado’s last 20 matches.
- The Rockies are 2-6 SU in their last 8 outings.
- The Colorado Rockies are 1-5 SU in their last 6 matches against St. Louis.
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Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals Predictions 8/4/2023
The Cardinals are having a difficult season and already hinted that they won’t be competitive this year by making a number of transactions at the deadline.
Future Hall of Fame pitcher Adam Wainwright is having a terrible season, giving up 56 runs in 62.2 innings thrown.
In addition, opponents are making contact and slamming the ball against Wainwright to easily score runs, as seen by a .334 anticipated opponent batting average, a .569 expected opponent slugging percentage, and a 7.59 predicted ERA.
The lineup for the Cardinals was a welcome surprise this season, scoring 4.70 runs per game despite Wainwright and the Cardinals’ pitchers struggling. However, the rest of the lineup improved as well.
Paul Goldschmidt slashes .277/.365/.460 with 18 home runs and 189 total bases, while Lars Nootbar slashes .279/.380/.445 with 11 home runs and 126 total bases.
The Cardinals are difficult to stop because of Nolan Arenado’s slashing of .279/.327/.505 along with his 22 home runs and 203 total bases.
Nolan Gorman and Willson Contreras added 33 home runs and 294 total bases to balance the batting order.
The St. Louis pitching staff gave up 533 runs while sporting an ERA of 4.55 (481 earned runs allowed) thus far this season. They rank 26th in baseball with 5.04 runs allowed every nine innings while allowing 103 home homers.
As of this point in the season, the Cardinals have a team WHIP of 1.453 and a FIP of 4.16. Currently, they have an 8.10 K/BB ratio (858 strikeouts compared to 362 bases on balls).
With 1,021 hits allowed as a staff, they are ranked 30th in MLB. The Cardinals now have 104 save opportunities, 55 holds, and 24 missed saves.
Their relievers entered games 125 times with high leverage and 121 times with runners in scoring position.
- The total went UNDER in 5 of St. Louis’ last 6 matches.
- The Cardinals are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
- The total went OVER in 6 of St. Louis’ last 9 matches against Colorado.
Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals. The MLB pick for this game is the St. Louis Cardinals. The Cardinals seek to step up at home and control this game while the Rockies try to rebound from a difficult season.
With Lars Nootbar, Paul Goldschmidt, and the rest of the lineup making solid contact and driving the ball against the Rockies’ pitching, the Cardinals should be able to score runs at will.
With Adam Wainwright pitching many scoreless innings to give the bullpen a cushion to close out the game, the Cardinals should be able to contain the Rockies’ lineup, which only scores 4.32 runs per game on average.
St. Louis will rise up with a solid performance on home-fiel. The St. Louis Cardinals will win to a predicted score of 7-5.
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Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals 8/4/2023 Picks Predictions Previews
MLB Starting Time: 8:15 PM ET
Location: Busch Stadium, MO
Date: Friday, August 4, 2023
TV: Bally Sports Midwest
MLB Odds: St. Louis Cardinals -170
MLB Totals: 9.5