Free MLB Picks For Today 7/18/2023
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/18/2023
Brewers at Phillies—Julio Teheran to start for Milwaukee. Teheran in eight starts produces an ERA of 3.64 with WHIP of 1.02. The veteran righthander strikes out 17.3% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls served at 43.3% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings.
Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola has nineteen starts on the campaign with an ERA of 4.39 and WHIP of 1.11. The nine year righty fans 24.9% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.4% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings. Nola has allowed four earned runs in three of his past five starts.
Team record behind Nola 12-22 against winning teams. Brewers 26-21 on the road with a +9.4 unit return. Brewers +12 unit return against righthanded starters. Teheran a WHIP of 1.00 in his three road starts. Milwaukee has won six of seven. Play Milwaukee +180.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/18/2023
Guardians at Pirates—Logan Allen to start for Cleveland. Allen in twelve starts posts an ERA of 3.47 and WHIP of 1.44. The rookie lefthander deals 22.9% K’s with 8.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.3% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings.
Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller has nineteen starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 3.31 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander a strikeout mark of 26.7% with 7% walks. Ground balls served at 46.6% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings.
Pirates have dropped eight of nine. Past ten games Pirates hitting .201 and averaging 3.2 runs per game. Pirates 9-28 facing an American League Team hitting .265 or lower. Allen on the road an ERA of 2.97 with team record of 5-1. Play Cleveland -110.
LA Dodgers vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/18/2023
Dodgers at Orioles—Michael Grove to start for Los Angeles. Grove in eleven appearances on the season has an ERA of 6.89 with WHIP of 1.55. The second year righthander fans 20.6% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.3% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.02 does suggest a drop in ERA if form holds.
Tyler Wells to start for Baltimore. Wells appeared in eighteen games with an ERA of 3.18 and WHIP of 0.93. The righty deals 25.4% K’s with 5.9% walks. Grounders sit at 32.2% with 1.81 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.63 an indicator of a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Wells in nine home starts an ERA of 2.57 with WHIP of 0.82. Grove has been pounded on the road allowing fifteen earned runs with 25 hits in 11 1/3rd innings. He could put the Dodgers in a hole early here. Play Baltimore -122.
San Diego Padres vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/18/2023
Padres at Blue Jays—Joe Musgrove to start for San Diego. Musgrove in fourteen starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.29 with WHIP of 1.15. The veteran fans 24.2% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.7% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.
Alek Manoah to start for Toronto. Manoah has fourteen starts with an ERA of 5.91 and WHIP of 1.80. The third year righthander is striking out 18.4% with 13.8% walks. Grounders dished at 37.5% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings.
Padres drop three of four at Philadelphia following the break. Blue Jays have won eight of nine after sweeping Arizona in a three game home series. Toronto is 27-9 facing a National League team hitting .245 or worse. They are 19-7 against the NL this season.
Manoah coming off a good outing against Detroit in his last start allowing one run with eight strikeouts in six innings. Blue Jays are hitting .283 in their past eight games averaging 5.7 runs per game. Musgrove an ERA of 4.73 on the road. Play Toronto -110.
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/18/2023
Giants at Reds—Anthony DeSclafani to start for Cincinnati. DeSclafani in seventeen starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 4.44 with WHIP of 1.19. The ten year veteran dishes 18.7% K’s with 4.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.9% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Luke Weaver to start for Cincinnati. Weaver has fifteen starts with an ERA of 7.00 and WHIP of 16.2. The righthander deals 17.3% strikeouts with 6.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.7% with 2.09 home runs per nine innings. Weaver past five starts allowed 21 earned runs in 21 1/3rd innings.
As this series opened the Giants had won six of seven and were 9-1 on the road against the NL Central. Past seven games Reds hitting .168 and averaging 2.7 runs per game. Play San Francisco -135.
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/18/2023
White Sox at Mets—Lucas Giolito to start for Chicago. Giolito in nineteen starts carries an ERA of 3.45 with WHIP of 1.14. The righthander is striking out 25.3% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.8% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.
Carlos Carrasco to start for New York. Carrasco has twelve starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 5.16 with WHIP of 1.43. The veteran an eight year low 16.2% strikeouts with 10.2% walks. Ground balls served at 47.4% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings. Carrasco has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts.
White Sox 19-30 on the road. Giolito an ERA of 4.71 with WHIP of 1.45 on the road. New York is averaging 4.9 runs per game against righthanded starters and White Sox just 3.9 runs. Play New York -120.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/18/2023
Diamondbacks at Braves—Zach Davies to start for Arizona. Davies has eleven starts on the year posts an ERA of 6.37 with WHIP of 1.53. The veteran deals 18.9% K’s with 10.1% walks. Grounders sit at 44.9% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.40 does signal a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
Bryce Elder to start for Atlanta. Elder in eighteen starts an ERA of 2.97 with WHIP of 1.20. The second year righthander has a K rate of 18.4% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls served at 54.8% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.13 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold.
Braves have won six of seven against the Diamondbacks. Arizona has lost eight of ten with their bullpen ERA 4.65 in this period. Past seven games they are hitting only .219 and averaging 3 runs per game. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -110.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 7/18/2023
Miami Marlins vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/18/2023
Marlins at Cardinals—Edward Cabrera will start for Miami. Cabrera in fourteen starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 4.70 with WHIP of 1.40. The third year righthander fans 28.9% with 14.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 53.7% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
Jordan Montgomery will start for St Louis. Montgomery has eighteen starts with an ERA of 3.23 with WHIP of 1.22. The lefthander strikes out 22.3% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.9% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
Marlins 28-13 facing teams with poor bullpens with an ERA of 4.20 or higher. Team record behind Montgomery is 6-12. Marlins are batting .293 against lefthanders. Play Miami +145.
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/18/2023
Nationals at Cubs—Trevor Williams to start for Washington. Williams has nineteen starts on the year with an ERA of 4.42 with WHIP of 1.42. The eighth year righthander fans 17.7%, a career low, with 7.5% walks. Ground balls served at 39.4% with 1.83 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.44 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold.
Jameson Taillon to start for Chicago. Taillon in fifteen starts produces an ERA of 6.15 with WHIP of 1.40. The veteran has a K rate of 20.3% with 7.1% walks. Grounders sit at 35.1% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Williams 18-8 facing an NL team hitting .255 or worse. Cubs 5-13 at home against a losing team with a -10.5 unit loss. Team record behind Taillon 3-12 with -10 units on the season. Play Washington +154.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/18/2023
Rays at Rangers—Taj Bradley to start for Tampa Bay. Bradley has thirteen starts on the season posting an ERA of 5.43 with WHIP of 1.39. The rookie righthander fans 29.7% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 35.7% with 1.61 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.98 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form.
Nathan Eovaldi to start for Texas. Eovaldi in eighteen starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 2.83 with WHIP of 1.02. The thirteen year veteran deals 24% strikeouts with 6.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 52.6% with limited home run damage.
Rangers have won four straight. Bradley has been pounded in his past three starts for sixteen earned runs in 12 1/3rd innings. Rays bullpen no longer an elite status. Tampa Bay 60-70 on the road with a -20.7 unit return past two seasons.
Rangers hitting .289 at home averaging 6.3 runs per game. Past seven games Rays hitting .216. Eovaldi at home an ERA of 2.93 with WHIP of 0.91. Play Texas -130.
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/18/2023
Tigers at Royals—Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit. Skubal in his two starts allowed no runs and two hits in eight innings. He returned from a flexor tendon injury. In 2022 the lefthander sported an ERA of 3.52 with WHIP of 1.16. The lefthander stuck out 39.3% with 7.1% walks. Ground ball rate was 45.7% with limited home run damage.
Daniel Lynch to start for Kansas City. Lynch has eight starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.18 with WHIP of 1.23. The lefthander deals 15.5% strikeouts with 7% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.2% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. Tigers 30-16 to the under facing AL teams averaging 3.9 runs per game or lower.
Royals are 28-16 to the under facing a team with a losing record. Detroit hitting only .219 against lefthanded starters. Royals batting only .208 against the division. Play Detroit and Kansas City under 8.5.
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/18/2023
Astros at Rockies—Hunter Brown to start for Houston. Brown in seventeen starts posts an ERA of 4.12 with WHIP of 1.33. The righthander strikes out 28.1% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 55.3% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings.
Noah Davis to start for Colorado. Davis appeared in five games in 2023 with an ERA of 10.61 and WHIP of 2.25. The righthander fans 16.7% with 10.4% walks. Grounders served at 52.2% with 1.93 home runs per nine innings.
Past two starts Brown has allowed eight earned runs in seven innings. Both bullpens were beaten up over the weekend. At home Rockies hitting .273. Play Houston and Colorado over 11.5.
New York Yankees vs. LA Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/18/2023
Yankees at Angels—Domingo German to start for New York. German has seventeen starts this season posting an ERA of 4.32 and WHIP of 1.07. The 30 year old righthander fans 24.6% with 7.5% walks. Grounders dished at 38.3% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings.
Patrick Sandoval to start for Los Angeles. Sandoval in sixteen starts has an ERA of 4.41 with WHIP of 1.47. The fifth year lefthander a strikeout mark of 18.2% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 49.4% with limited home run damage.
New York has lost seven of nine. Past seven games New York hitting .224 and averaging 3.7 runs per game. German on the road an ERA of 4.61. Play Los Angeles -103.
Boston Red Sox vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/18/2023
Red Sox at Athletics—Chris Murphy to start for Boston. Murphy in six appearances carries an ERA of 2.16 with WHIP of 1.26. The rookie lefthander deals 223.9% strikeouts with 11.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 48.9% with limited home run damage.
Luis Medina to start for Oakland. Medina has twelve appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 6.34 with WHIP of 1.61. The rookie righthander fans 21.5% with 11.9% walks. Ground balls rate of 44.9% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings.
Red Sox have won nine of ten against the Athletics and six of seven in Oakland. Past seven games Red Sox hitting .310 and averaging 7.7 runs per game. Eight straight losses for the Athletics. Play Boston on run line -1.5 runs at -140.
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/18/2023
Twins at Mariners—Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober in fourteen starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 2.61 with WHIP of 0.97. The third year righthander is striking out 24.6% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 31.8% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
Bryan Woo to start for Seattle. Woo has seven starts with an ERA of 3.63 with WHIP of 1.07. The rookie righty an elite 30.5% strikeout rate with 6.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.6% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
Past four starts Woo has allowed four earned runs in 22 1/3rd innings. Ober in his past two starts allowed one earned run in thirteen innings. Play Minnesota and Seattle under 7.5.
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