Free MLB Picks For Today 6/27/2023

Free MLB Picks For Today 6/27/2023

Free MLB Picks For Today 6/27/2023

Cincinnati Reds vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/27/2023

Reds at Orioles—Andrew Abbott to start for Cincinnati. Abbott in four starts carries an ERA of 1.14 and WHIP of 0.97. The lefthander strikes out 23.9% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 26.7% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.19 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.

 

Tyler Wells to start for Baltimore. Wells appeared in fifteen games this season with an ERA of 3.22 and WHIP of 0.89. The right hander fans 26.3% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.2% with 1.87 home runs per nine innings. His FIP of 4.62 is an indicator of a rising ERA if form holds.

 

As this series began the Reds were 8-1 against an AL team hitting .255 or worse this season. Reds 14-9 on the road against a righthanded starter. Orioles averaging only 3.6 runs per game against the National League with a batting average of .220. Play Cincinnati +120.

San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/27/2023

Padres at Pirates—Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish has fourteen starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.84 with WHIP of 1.23. The veteran fans 25.7% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.2% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.

 

Rich Hill to start for Pittsburgh. Hill in fifteen starts an ERA of 4.34 and WHIP of 1.37. The lefthander fans 21.1% with 8.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 33.9% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.

 

Pirates 34-25 facing an NL team at home hitting .245 or worse. Darvish has been hammered in his past three starts for fourteen earned runs in 16 1/3rd innings. Play Pittsburgh on the run line +1.5 runs at -114.

San Francisco Giants vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/27/2023

Giants at Blue Jays—Alex Wood to be primary pitcher for San Francisco. Wood in ten appearances on the campaign posts an ERA of 5.17 and WHIP of 1.54. The lefthander has a K rate of 20.5% with 11.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.8% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.

 

Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman has sixteen starts with an ERA of 3.10 and WHIP of 1.16. The eleven year veteran an elite strikeout mark of 31.5% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.1% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings. SF has returned +8.2 units on the road this season where they average 5.7 runs per game.

 

Wood has pitched well on the road with an ERA of 1.69 in sixteen innings. San Francisco bullpen has performed well in their past ten games. Gausman past three starts has allowed ten earned runs in 16 2/3rd innings. Play San Francisco.

Miami Marlins vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/27/2023

Marlins at Red Sox—Sandy Alcantara will start for Miami. Alcantara in fifteen starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 5.08 and WHIP of 1.25. The righthander strikes out 19.4% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 49.1% with limited home run damage.

 

Garrett Whitlock to start for Boston. Whitlock has eight starts with an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP of 1.22. The righty fans 21% with 3.8% walks. Ground balls delivered at 43.2% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox 13-5 facing winning teams this season.

 

Marlins 4-23 against the AL East. Past seven games Marlins averaging only 3.9 runs per game. At home Red Sox produce 5.9 runs per game and hit .291. Whitlock has put up good numbers at home. Alcantara on the road an ERA of 5.37. Play Boston -110.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/27/2023

Brewers at Mets—Julio Teheran to start for Milwaukee. Teheran has six starts posting an ERA of 1.53 and WHIP of 0.88. The veteran strikes out 17.6% with 6.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.9% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 3.91 is a signal that his ERA may rise based on his numbers.

 

David Peterson to start for NYM. Peterson in eight starts on the 2023 season has an ERA of 8.08 and WHIP of 1.74. The lefthander has a K rate of 24.7% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 51.7% with 1.85 home runs per nine innings. His FIP of 4.77 which suggests a drop in ERA based on his numbers.

 

As this series began the Brewers were 21-11 to the under against losing teams. Milwaukee hits just .201 against lefthanders and averaging 2.8 runs per game against them. Brewers have gone under in 5-1-1 facing lefthanded starters. Past ten games Brewers bullpen an ERA of 2.31. Play Milwaukee and New York Mets under 9.

Minnesota Twins vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/27/2023

Twins at Braves—Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan in fifteen starts carries an ERA of 2.98 with WHIP of 0.91. The righthander fans 27.3% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls served at 34% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings.

 

Bryce Elder to start for Atlanta. Elder has fifteen starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 2.40 and WHIP of 1.11. The righty fans 20.8% with 6.7% walks. Grounders dished at 57.1% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.72 does indicate a possible rise in his ERA based on his numbers.

 

Braves offense past seven games averaging 8.1 runs per game and hitting .322. Prefer the bats of Atlanta here. They are a hot team right now winning 18 of 22 this month. Play Atlanta -146.

Houston Astros vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/27/2023

Astros at Cardinals—Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in fifteen starts produces an ERA of 2.27 and WHIP of 1.00. The sixth year lefthander has a K rate of 26.7% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 57.2% with limited home run damage.

 

Jordan Montgomery to start for St Louis. Montgomery has fifteen starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.69 with WHIP of 1.29. The lefthander strikes out 21.8% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 45% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Montgomery 4-11 this season.

 

Astros do score and hit well against lefthanders. Montgomery at home an ERA of 4.62. Team record behind Valdez is 19-5 in road night games. Play Houston -115.

 

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Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/27/2023

Tigers at Rangers—Matt Manning to start for Detroit. Manning in two starts allowed six earned runs with seven strikeouts in 11 2/3rd innings. He returns from the injured list with a foot injury. The righthander has 32 career starts with an ERA of 4.78 and WHIP of 1.36 striking out 112 batters in 160 innings.

 

Martin Perez will start for Texas. Perez in fifteen starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 4.38 with WHIP of 1.45. The veteran lefthander fans 15.3% with 7.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.2% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings.

 

Tigers bat just .203 against lefthanders and averaging 3.5 runs per game against them. Perez at home an ERA of 1.71 and WHIP of 1.07 with team record of 4-1. Play Texas on run line -1.5 runs at +100.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/27/2023

Phillies at Cubs—Rangers Suarez will start for Philadelphia. Suarez has eight starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.50 and WHIP of 1.28. The lefthander fans 23% with 7.7% walks. Grounders served at 51.6% with 0.62 home runs per nine innings.

 

Jameson Taillon to start for Chicago. Taillon in twelve starts has an ERA of 6.71 and WHIP of 1.55. The seventh year veteran a K rate of 18.8% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.2% with 1.68 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.18 does suggest a drop in ERA if this form holds.

 

Team record behind Taillon 2-10. Suarez form outstanding allowing one earned run or fewer in four straight starts. Taillon ERA at home is 7.16 with FIP of 1.69 in six home starts. Play Philadelphia -128.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/27/2023

Guardians at Royals—Gavin Williams to start for Cleveland. Williams in his MLB debut allowed four earned runs with four strikeouts but four walks in 5 2/3rd innings at home to Oakland.

 

The righthander was a first round pick in 2021 who spent last seasons in two levels of the minors with great results. He had eight starts in Triple A this season with an ERA of 2.85 and WHIP of 1.07 striking out 52 in 41 innings. Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer has fifteen starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 6.34 with WHIP of 1.57.

 

The righty fans 19.3% with 8.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.9% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. KC is 19-46 as an underdog of +100 or greater and 10-28 at home. Past seven games Guardians hitting .286 and averaging 5.3 runs per game. KC bullpen has been poor at home. Cleveland has won 13 of 20 at Kansas City. Play Guardians -132.

LA Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/27/2023

Dodgers at Rockies—Clayton Kershaw will start for LAD. Kershaw in fifteen starts posts an ERA of 2.72 and WHIP of 1.10. The lefthander has a strikeout mark of 28.5% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.9% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.

 

Connor Seabold to start for Colorado. Seabold has sixteen appearances on the campaign with an ERA of 5.88 and WHIP of 1.48. The righthander fans 16.7% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35.3% with 1.75 home runs per nine innings.

 

Kershaw has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts going seven innings in three of those games. Seabold numbers better at home. Play Los Angeles and Colorado under 12.

Chicago White Sox vs. LA Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/27/2023

White Sox at Angels—Michael Kopech to start for CWS. Kopech in fifteen starts produces an ERA of 4.06 and WHIP of 1.29. The righthander strikes out 26.7% with 11.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35.4% with 1.76 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.33 suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers.

 

Shohei Ohtani to start for LAA. Ohtani has fifteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.13 and WHIP of 1.04. The veteran fans 32.6% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.1% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.

 

Kopech 18-8 to the under facing a team hitting .260 or worse. Ohtani 24-10 facing a team averaging 4.4 runs per game or fewer. Kopech past three starts an ERA of 2.70. Play Chicago and LA Angels under 8.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/27/2023

Rays at Diamondbacks—Taj Bradley to start for Tampa Bay. Bradley in ten starts this season carries an ERA of 3.86 and WHIP of 1.20. The righthander has an elite K mark of 34.5% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 33.9% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 2.67 indicates a drop in ERA possible based on his numbers.

 

Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen has sixteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 2.84 and WHIP of 1.09. The righty fans 26.4% with 5.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.5% with limited home run damage.

 

Rays -1.8 units return this season in their 37 road games. Their bullpen no longer elite with an ERA of 4.07 on the road. Gallen in his eight home starts an ERA of 1.00, WHIP of 0.82 and team record behind him is 7-1. Play Arizona -123.

New York Yankees vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/27/2023

Yankees at Athletics—Jhony Brito to start for NYY. Brito in eleven appearances produces an ERA of 4.89 with WHIP of 1.37. The righthander fans 16.7% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.5% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings.

 

Paul Blackburn to start for Oakland. Blackburn has five starts on the season posting an ERA of 4.21 with WHIP of 1.48. The veteran righthander fans 25.6% with 6% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.7% with limited home run damage. Oakland is 2-27 facing a team with a strong bullpen with an ERA of 3.45 or better on the season.

 

Yankees bullpen an ERA of 2.65 on the road and Oakland pen has an ERA of 5.74 at home. Past seven games Athletics hitting .197 and scoring 2.9 runs per game. Brito impressive in his return allowing no runs and two hits ag home to Seattle in 5 2/3rd innings. Play NY Yankees -132.

Washington Nationals vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/27/2023

Nationals at Mariners—Jake Irvin to start for Washington. Irvin in nine starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 4.71 and WHIP of 1.52. The righthander strikes out 17.4% with 12.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.7% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings.

 

Bryan Woo to start for Seattle. Woo has four starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 5.09 with WHIP of 1.19. The rookie righthander a strikeout mark of 33.8% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.9% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings.

 

Mariners are 25-31 against righthanders this season. Mariners batting just .215 against the National League. Irvin an ERA of 3.18 on the road this season. Play Washington on run line -1.5 runs at -108.

 

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