Free MLB Picks For Today 5/17/2023
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2023
Pirates at Tigers—Rich Hill to start for Pittsburgh. Hill in eight starts carries an ERA of 4.35 and WHIP 1.48. The lefthander is striking out 19.9% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 32.1% with 1.74 home runs per nine innings.
Eduardo Rodriguez to start for Detroit. Rodriguez in eight starts posts an ERA of 1.57 with WHIP 0.70. The veteran lefty fans 24.7% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.1% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings.
Tigers now 10-2 interleague play. Pirates offense continues their struggles after getting shut out in the opener of this series. Past ten games they are hitting .181. Play Detroit -152.
Minnesota Twins vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2023
Twins at Dodgers—Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray in eight starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 1.39 with WHIP 1.08. The veteran has an elite K rate of 30.8% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 49.1% with no homers allowed.
Dustin May to start for LAD. May has eight starts with an ERA of 2.58 and WHIP 0.94. The righthander is striking out 17.5% with 8.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.9% with minimal home run damage.
After winning the opener of this series the Dodgers are 11-1 at home as a favorite of -100 to -150 this season. Twins hitting only .199 against righthanders on the road. Play LA Dodgers -139.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2023
Reds at Rockies—Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft in eight starts produces an ERA of 3.95 with WHIP 1.34. The righthander is striking out 17.6% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 51.5% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings.
Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber has eight starts on the campaign with an ERA of 6.30 plus WHIP 1.45. The lefthander fans 16.1% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls served at 40.9% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings.
Gomber has been pounded at home. Reds 8-5 after lefthanded starters with a .273 hitting average. Play Cincinnati +102.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2023
Diamondbacks at Athletics—Ryne Nelson will start for Arizona. Nelson in eight starts has an ERA of 6.20 with WHIP 1.55. The righthander pitches to contact with 14.5% strikeouts and 6.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.4% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Medina to start for Oakland. Medina was drafted way back in 2015. He has two MLB starts in his career all this season allowing ten earned runs with nine strikeouts and three homers in 11 innings. In five Triple A appearances the righthander allowed 11 earned runs with 15 walks in 13 1/3rd innings.
After dropping the opener of this series by three runs the nine of the Athletics losses in a row have come by two or greater runs. Medina has been pounded in his two MLB starts and the bullpen behind him an ERA of 6.79. Play Arizona on run line -1.5 runs at +105.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2023
Phillies at Giants—Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker has eight starts in 2023 with an ERA of 5.75 and WHIP 1.38. The veteran fans 22% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 51.7% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings.
Ross Stripling to start for San Francisco. Stripling in eight appearances has an ERA of of 7.14 and WHIP 1.54. The righthander is striking out 18.3% with 6.9% walks.
Ground balls served at 45.4% with 3.10 home runs per nine innings. Walkers past two starts encouraging. Stripling difficult to back and Giants bullpen has been struggling. Play Philadelphia +118.
Kansas City Royals vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2023
Royals at Padres—Carlos Hernandez to start for Kansas City. Hernandez in eighteen relief appearances has an ERA of 4.50 with WHIP 1.30. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 28.2% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 30.2% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish in seven starts carries an ERA of 3.16 and WHIP 1.08. The veteran is striking out 27.3% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.9% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings.
Darvish has pitched well at home with an ERA of 1.45 and WHIP 0.96. KC a poor run producing team. The Padres in their past ten games batting .173 against righthanders. Play Kansas City and San Diego under the total.
LA Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2023
Angels at Orioles—Griffin Canning to start for LAA. Griffin in five starts has an ERA of 6.38 with WHIP 1.38. The righthander is striking out 20.2% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.5% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish in six starts posts an ERA of 4.56 and WHIP 1.48. The righty has a K rate of 20.9% with 8.7% walks. Grounders sit at 54.4% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
Angels are 15-31 against the AL East. Orioles are 18-3 as a favorite of -110 or greater. Orioles are 14-7 and a bullpen ERA of 2.29 all at home. Play Baltimore -136.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 5/17/2023
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2023
Nationals at Marlins—MacKenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore in eight starts produces an ERA of 3.29 and WHIP 1.46. The lefthander has a K rate of 28.8% with 11.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 47.6% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings.
Edward Cabrera to start for Miami. Cabrera has eight starts in 2023 with an ERA of 5.35 and WHIP 1.67. The righthander fans 29.9% with 18.3% walks. Grounders served at 52.4% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
Strikeout rates strong for both starters. Marlins last in run production and Nationals are 25th. Play Washington and Miami under 7.5.
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2023
Yankees at Blue Jays—Gerrit Cole to start for NYY. Cole in nine starts produces an ERA of 2.22 and WHIP of 1.04. The veteran is striking out 27.4% with 8% walks. Grounders sit at 45.5% with limited home run damage.
Chris Bassitt will start for Toronto. Bassitt in eight starts posts an ERA of 3.49 and WHIP 1.08. The righthander a strikeout mark of 20.6% with 11.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.3% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.87 suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Both lineups are hitting and on an over trend. Cole has an ERA of 4.34 on the road. Play New York and Toronto over eight runs.
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2023
Mariners at Red Sox—Marco Gonzales to start for Seattle. Gonzales in seven starts carries an ERA of 4.42 with WHIP 1.39. The lefthander a K rate of 16.1% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.6% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello has five starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 5.01 with WHIP 1.59. The righty fans 22.9% with 6.7% walks. Grounders dealt at 62.5% with 1.93 home runs per nine innings. Bello has been pounded at home. Gonzales has been hit the past three starts. Red Sox 17-7 to the over at home. Play Seattle and Boston over 9.5.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2023
Rays at Mets—Taj Bradley to start for Tampa Bay. Bradley in three starts has an ERA of 3.52 with WHIP 0.91. The righthander is striking out 38.3% with 3.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 26.5% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Kodai Senga to start for NYM. Senga has seven starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.14 with WHIP 1.51. The righty is fanning 26.4% with 14.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 53.1% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings. Ray’s offense outperforming the Mets. Bradley’s K and walk rates are impressive. Play Tampa Bay -105.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2023
Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes in eight starts carries an ERA of 3.35 with WHIP 1.12. The veteran has seen his strikeout rate plummet to 21% with 9.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.4% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
Adam Wainwright to start for St Louis. Wainwright has two starts on the campaign allowing eight earned runs with seven strikeouts in ten innings. His season was delayed with a groin injury.
The righthander had 32 starts in 2022 with an ERA of 3.71 and WHIP 1.28. Brewers bullpen has struggled on the road with an ERA of 6.14. Burnes pitching to more contact this year. Play St Louis +110.
Atlanta Braves vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2023
Braves at Rangers—Spencer Strider to start for Atlanta. Strider in eight starts produces an ERA of 2.51 and WHIP of 0.92. The righthander has an elite K rate of 42.9% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.2% with limited home run damage.
Nathan Eovaldi to start for Texas. Eovaldi has eight starts posting an ERA of 2.70 and WHIP 0.99. The righty is striking out 27.2% with 3.9% walks. Grounders dealt at 52.1% with minimal home run damage. Both starters K rates outstanding and that prevents runs from scoring. Play Atlanta and Texas under 7.5.
Chicago Cubs vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2023
Cubs at Astros—Drew Smyly to start for Chicago. Smyly in eight starts posts an ERA of 3.05 and WHIP 0.97. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 21.6% with 5.7% walks. Ground ball rate 34.4% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
J.P. France to start for Houston. France has two starts this season allowing one earned run with eight strikeouts in 11 2/3rd innings. A 14th round draft pick in 2018 out of Mississippi St. Good numbers in Triple A last season.
This year in Triple A the righthander in five appearances carried an ERA of 2.33 and WHIP 1.05 with 26 strikeouts in 19 1/3rd innings. Cubs struggling to score runs in their past four games on this strip. Astros have won five of six getting great pitching from their staff. Play Houston -146.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2023
Guardians at White Sox—Peyton Battenfield to start for Cleveland. Battenfield in six appearances has an ERA of 4.45 with WHIP 1.19. The righthander has a K rate of 20.2% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.7% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
Mike Clevinger to start for Chicago. Clevinger has eight starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.79 and WHIP 1.43. The righty is striking out 19.1% with 9.8% walks. Grounders served at 29.9% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings.
Battenfield has been hit in his past three starts. Clevinger has pitched well at home. Prefer White Sox offense. Play Chicago -113.
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