Free MLB Picks For Today 5/16/2023
LA Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2023
Angels at Orioles—Chase Silseth to start for LA. Silseth in four appearances this season has an ERA of 3.24 with WHIP of 1.20. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 14.3% with 14.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 64% with no homers allowed.
Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer in eight starts carries an ERA of 4.97 and WHIP 1.46. The righty is dealing 17.9% strikeouts with 7.3% walks. Grounders come in at 35.6% with 1.51 home runs per nine innings.
As this series opened the Angels were 14-30 against the AL East and Orioles 29-10 when favored -100 to -150. Silseth high contact the concern. Play Baltimore -124.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2023
Nationals at Marlins—Josiah Gray to start for Washington. Gray in eight starts produces an ERA of 2.96 with WHIP 1.34. The righthander has a K rate of 20.6% with 9.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.6% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo has eight starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.38 plus WHIP 1.41. The lefthander fans 24.6% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.9% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Nationals are pounding lefthanders this season. Miami averaging just 3.1 runs per game at home and 29th in homers. Play Washington +126.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2023
Pirates at Tigers—Luis Ortiz to start for Pittsburgh. Ortiz had four starts last season with an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP 1.13. The righthander had seven starts in 2023 with an ERA of 2.23 plus WHIP of 0.97. In his debut this year he allowed two earned runs with one strikeout in five innings at home to Colorado.
Michael Lorenzen to start for Detroit. Lorenzen in four starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 4.18 plus WHIP of 1.21. The righty pitches to contact with 16.4% with 6% walks. Ground balls sit at 51.1% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Pirates 1-16 facing an AL pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or better. Pirates have lost ten of eleven. Past ten games they are batting .177. Play Detroit -118.
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2023
Yankees at Blue Jays—Domingo German to start for New York. German in eight starts carries an ERA of 4.00 and WHIP 0.96. The righthander fans 26.3% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.6% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman has eight starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.38 plus WHIP 1.10. The veteran has an elite strikeout mark of 34.2% with 3.6% walks. Grounders sit at 46.3% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings. Team record 2-9 when Gausman favored by -125 to -175 at home.
Yankees bats have been coming alive. German’s WHIP and K rate encouraging. Play NY Yankees on run line +1.5 runs at -132.
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2023
Mariners at Red Sox—Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo in eight starts produces an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP 0.99. The righthander is striking out 28.1% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.8% with limited home run damage.
Nick Pivetta to start for Seattle. Pivetta in seven starts posts an ERA of 6.23 plus WHIP 1.50. The righthander fans 22.8% with 9.5% walks. Grounders come in at 34% with 2.08 home runs per nine innings.
Castillo has been hit the past two starts. Pivetta at home an ERA of 6.30 getting hurt by the home run ball. As this series started the Red Sox were 15-7 to the over at home. Play Seattle and Boston over 9.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2023
Rays at Mets—Yonny Chironos the primary pitcher for the Rays. Chironos in six appearances carries an ERA of 2.22 with WHIP 0.99. The righty pitches to high contact with 9.5% strikeouts with 10.5% walks. Grounders served at 49.3% with no homers allowed.
Justin Verlander will start for New York. Verlander has two starts on the year allowing three earned runs with 12 strikeouts in 12 innings. He missed the early part of the season with a shoulder injury.
In 2022 the veteran posted an ERA of 1.75 and WHIP 0.83 in 28 starts with a K rate of 27.8%. Rays batting .285 on the road and putting up 6.4 runs per game. Play Tampa Bay +143.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2023
Brewers at Cardinals—Wade Miley to start for Milwaukee. Miley in seven starts has an ERA of 3.60 with WHIP 1.13. The lefthander pitches to contact with 14.6% strikeouts and 4.9% walks. Grounders sit at 37.5% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
Jordan Montgomery the starter for St Louis. Montgomery in has eight starts in 2023 putting up an ERA of 4.11 with WHIP 1.30. The lefty is striking out 20.6% with 6% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.8% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
Cardinals a hot team winning seven of eight. Brewers hitting .211 against lefthanded starters and pushing across 3.1 runs per game against them. Play St Louis Cardinals on run line -1.5 runs at +120.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 5/16/2023
Atlanta Braves vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2023
Braves at Rangers—Jared Shuster to start for Atlanta. Shuster has two starts on the campaign allowing eight earned runs with nine walks in 8 2/3rd innings. He is a first round pick out of Wake Forest who put up good numbers in 2022 in the minors.
In five Triple A starts the lefthander carried an ERA of 3.28 with WHIP 1.40 and striking out 23 in 24 2/3rd innings. Dane Dunning to start for Texas.
Dunning in ten appearances posted an ERA of 1.72 and WHIP 0.86. The righty pitches to contact with 15.8% strikeouts and 5.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 48.9% with no homers allowed. Braves are 16-6 on the road.
Dunning high contact a concern against this Braves lineup. Shuster MLB form in question too facing a good Rangers offense. Play Atlanta and Texas over 9.5.
Chicago Cubs vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2023
Cubs at Astros—Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele in eight starts posts an ERA of 1.82 with WHIP 1.03. The lefthander fans 20.3% with 7.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 51.1% with limited home run damage.
Christian Javier to start for Houston. Javier has eight starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.47 and WHIP 1.01. The righthander has K rate of 29% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 30.6% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Steele is 6-2. Hard to lay off this huge price on the Chicago lefthander because the Cubs offense has been good this season. Play Chicago +148.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2023
Guardians at White Sox—Shane Bieber will start for Cleveland. Bieber in eight starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 2.61 with WHIP 1.10. The righty has seen his strikeouts drop to 18.8% with 6.3% walks. Ground ball sit at 45.8% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings.
Lance Lynn will start for Chicago. Lynn has eight starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 7.51 and WHIP 1.60. The veteran is fanning 26.9% with 8.5% walks. Ground ball dealt at 35.9% with 2.23 home runs per nine innings.
Would rather have Bieber here with the good Guardians bullpen backing him. White Sox have been struggling to score runs during this span where they have lost four of five. Play Cleveland -121.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2023
Reds at Rockies—Brandon Williamson to start for Cincinnati. Williamson expected to make his MLB debut. The lefthander was a second round draft pick in 2019 out of TCU. He was in two levels on the minors last season with good results.
In eight Triple A starts this season, Williamson carries an ERA of 6.62 with WHIP 1.88 in 34 innings of work striking out 27. Chase Anderson to start for Colorado.
Anderson had two appearances with the Rays this season allowing no runs in five innings but was waived. He has appeared in 201 MLB games with 183 starts posting a career ERA of 4.23 with WHIP 1.28 and 7.62 strikeouts per nine innings.
ERA’s ranging from a high of 7.22 and low 6.38 past three seasons in the Majors. Both starters form questionable here. Play Cincinnati and Colorado over 12.
Kansas City Royals vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2023
Royals at Padres—Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer in eight starts posts an ERA of 7.71 with WHIP 1.54. The righthander fans 20.6% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.1% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings. Seth Lugo to start for San Diego.
Lugo in seven starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.18 with WHIP 1.29. The righthander is striking out 21.75 with 5.4% walks. Grounders served at 47.1% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. KC bullpen an ERA near five to support a struggling starter in Singer. Play San Diego on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2023
Diamondbacks at Athletics—Tommy Henry to start for Arizona. Henry in four starts produces an ERA of 4.43 plus WHIP 1.39. The lefthander pitches to 9.7% strikeouts with 9.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.1% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Muller to start for Oakland. Muller has eight starts in 2023 with an ERA of 7.34 and WHIP 1.95. The lefty is striking out 14.6% with 11.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.4% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings.
Diamondbacks are hitting well. Muller ERA over seven with the bullpen behind him an ERA of 6.79. Play Arizona on run line -1.5 runs at +110.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2023
Phillies at Giants—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in eight starts posts an ERA of 3.80 with WHIP 1.13. The righty fans 27.9% with 6.3% walks. Grounders served at 40.8% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 2.58 indicates a drop in ERA if form holds.
Alex Cobb to start for San Francisco. Cobb has eight starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 1.70 and WHIP 1.24. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 20.9% with 4.1% walks. Grounders sit at 4.1% with limited home run damage. Wheeler on the road an ERA of 4.70. Cobb’s form too strong and he is going deep in games. Play San Francisco +107.
Minnesota Twins vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2023
Twins at Dodgers—Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober in four starts carries an ERA of 1.85 with WHIP of 0.90. The righthander is striking out 23.9% with 6.5% walks. Grounders sit at 25.4% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings.
Clayton Kershaw to start for LAD. Kershaw has eight starts in 2023 with an ERA of 2.36 and WHIP of 0.95. The lefthander has a K rate of 29% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls served at 44.4% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
Twins batting .203 against lefthanded starters and pushing across just 3.4 runs per game against them. Dodgers bullpen has performed well at home. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at +103.
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