Free MLB Picks For Today 4/29/2023
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 4/29/2023
Pirates at Nationals—With Friday’s rainout the teams play two on Saturday. Game 1 Vince Velasquez to start for Pittsburgh. Velasquez in five starts has an ERA 3.76 with WHIP 1.25. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 23.9% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 31.5% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in five starts produces an ERA 5.88 with WHIP 1.69. The lefthander a career low 15.3% strikeouts with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 47.9% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings. Pirates are hitting .280 against lefthanders. Play Pittsburgh -131 in Game 1.
Game 2 Rich Hill to start for Pittsburgh. Hill in five starts in 2023 has an ERA 4.85 with WHIP 1.42. The veteran fans 19.6% with 8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 32.1% with 2.42 home runs per nine innings.
Chad Kuhl to start for Washington. Kuhl in four starts produces an ERA 7.36 with WHIP 1.75. The righthander has seen his strikeouts drop to a career low 16.5% with 14.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 30.5% with 2.45 home runs per nine innings.
Nationals are hitting .286 against lefthanders and getting good work from their pen. Play Washington +139 in Game 2.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 4/29/2023
Orioles at Tigers—in Game 1 Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer in five starts posts an ERA 6.20 with WHIP 1.38. The righthander fans 17.9% with 6.6% walks. Grounders sit at 38.5% with 2.55 home runs per nine innings.
Eduardo Rodriguez to start for Detroit. Rodriguez in five starts posts an ERA 2.32 with WHIP 0.84. The lefty has a strikeout rate of 21.7% with 4.3% walks. Grounders served at 42.2% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. Kremer tough to back here with Rodriguez in great form. Play Detroit +100 in Game 1.
In Game 2 Grayson Rodriguez to start for Baltimore. Rodriguez in four starts produces an ERA 5.12 with WHIP 1.60. The righthander a K rate of 28.7% with 11.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.2% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.64 an indicator of a falling ERA based on his form.
Matthew Boyd to start for Detroit. Boyd has four starts with an ERA 4.26 with WHIP 1.42. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 22.6% with 11.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.2% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings.
Tigers batting only .206 against righthanders and Orioles bullpen in good form. Baltimore 24-9 when lined between -100 and -150. Play Baltimore -130 in Game 2.
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 4/29/2023
Royals at Twins—Brad Keller to start for KC. Keller in five starts in 2023 carries an ERA 3.96 with WHIP 1.48. The righthander fans 18.5% with 17.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 59.7% with limited home run damage.
Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober had 11 starts for Minnesota in 2022 with an ERA 3.21 and WHIP 1.05. The righthander has four starts in Triple A on the season with an ERA 2.55 and WHIP 1.10.
In his first start with the Big Club in 2023 he allowed one earned run with four strikeouts at home to Washington. KC batting just .210 with a bullpen ERA of 5.39. Play Minnesota on the run line -1.5 runs at -115.
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 4/29/2023
Mariners at Blue Jays—Chris Flexen to start for Seattle. Flexen has five appearances on the season with an ERA 8.86 with WHIP 1.97. The righthander a career low 13.7% strikeouts with 10.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.4% with 2.11 home runs per nine innings.
Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman in five starts posts an ERA 2.84 with WHIP 1.01. The righty a career high 32.3% strikeouts with 3.9% walks. Grounders served at 45% with 1.14 homes per nine innings.
Mariners struggling past two games getting runs. Blue Jays pitching staff allowed two runs or fewer in five straight. Both bullpens performing well. Play Seattle and Toronto under nine runs.
Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 4/29/2023
Cubs at Marlins—Caleb Killian to start for Chicago. Killian fills in for an injured Jameson Taillon. He had three starts in 2022 with an ERA 10.32 and WHIP 2.03. The righthander has three starts in Triple A posting an ERA 7.15 with WHIP 1.80. He has struck out only six batters in 11 1/3rd innings. An eighth round pick in 2019.
Edward Cabrera will start for Miami. Cabrera in five starts in 2023 produces an ERA 4.91 with WHIP 1.77. The righty fans 23.1% with 19.2% walks. Grounders dealt at 56.7% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. Killian’s form a tough back. Play Miami -119.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 4/29/2023
Braves at Mets—Spencer Strider to start for Atlanta. Strider in five starts has an ERA 1.80 with WHIP 0.83. The righthander a K rate of 42.6% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.2% with limited home run damage. Tylor Megill to start for NYM.
Megill in five starts produces an ERA 3.96 with WHIP 1.48. The righty a strikeout mark of 17.3% with 10.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.3% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings.
Braves bullpen has been strong on the road. Braves hitting only .238 against righthanders. Play Atlanta and New York under 7.5.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 4/29/2023
Reds at Athletics—Hunter Greene to start for Cincinnati. Greene has five starts in 2023 with an ERA 3.52 with WHIP 1.39. The righthander fans 29.7% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 27.9% with limited home run damage.
Kyle Muller to start for Oakland. Muller in five starts an ERA 7.23 with WHIP 2.03. The lefthander pitches to contact with 14.3% strikeouts and 10.9% walks. Ground ball rate 50% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
Athletics pitching staff are in shambles now, but their hitting lineup can produce runs. Play Cincinnati and Oakland over 7.5.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 4/29/2023
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/29/2023
Guardians at Red Sox—Zach Plesac to start for Cleveland. Plesac in four starts posts an ERA 6.50 with WHIP 1.83. The righthander fans a career low 14.9% with 4.6% walks. Ground ball rate 51.5% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings.
Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello had thirteen appearances in 2022 with an ERA 4.71 and WHIP 1.78. The righthander in his two starts this season allowed egith earned runs with two homers in 7 1/3rd innings. Red Sox 18-9 to the over this season. Both starters form poor. Play Cleveland and Boston over 9.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 4/29/2022
Phillies at Astros—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in five starts has an ERA 4.73 with WHIP 1.35. The righthander a strikeout mark of 29.1% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.6% with minimal home run damage.
Cristian Javier to start for Houston. Javier in five starts posts an ERA 3.21 with WHIP 1.07. The righty a strikeout rate of 25.4% with 5.3% walks. Grounders sit at 34.6% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Prefer Astros bullpen in the later innings. They are 50-16 in day games and 49-22 when lined between -100 and -150. Play Houston -125.
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 4/29/2023
Giants vs. Padres—Game played in Mexico City. Sean Manaea will start for San Francisco. Manaea in five appearances carries an ERA 6.61 with WHIP 1.29. The lefthander fans 25.4% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 30.2% with 2.76 home runs per nine innings.
Joe Musgrove to start for San Diego. Musgrove had 30 starts in 2022 with an ERA 2.93 and WHIP 1.08. The righthander in his season opener allowed three earned runs in five innings at Arizona. The veteran missed nearly a month due to a shoulder and toe injury.
Note the high total with this game played in high elevation. Prefer the Padres starter and bullpen. Play San Diego on run line -1.5 runs at -115.
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 4/29/2023
Yankees at Rangers—Jhony Brito to start for New York. Brito in five starts has an ERA 6.11 with WHIP 1.53. The righthander pitches to contact with 15.4% strikeouts and 12.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 47.3% with limited home run damage.
Nathan Eovaldi to start for Texas. Eovaldi in five starts in 2023 has an ERA 5.20 with WHIP 1.41. The righthander a career high 26.3% strikeouts with 4.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.4% with minimal home run damage.
Eovaldi FIP is 2.22 suggests a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Past ten games Rangers hitting .285 and Yankees .224. Stanton out of the lineup for NYY the concern and Rangers bullpen performing well. Play Texas -148.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/29/2023
Rays at White Sox—Yonny Chirinos will be primary pitcher for Tampa Bay. Chironas has been marred by injuries the past few seasons with Tommy John and shoulder injuries. He has three relief appearances this season allowing no earned runs and three hits in 9 1/3rd innings.
Lance Lynn to start for Chicago. Lynn in five starts in 2023 posts an ERA 7.52 with WHIP 1.78. The veteran fans 25.8% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.1% with 2.39 home runs per nine innings.
Rays bullpen will be in heavy use. They are performing well with an ERA 2.55 and White Sox at 6.00. Rays pounding the baseball home and away. Play Tampa Bay -138.
LA Angels vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 4/29/2023
Angels at Brewers—Reid Detmers to start for LAA. Detmers in four starts has an ERA 4.15 with WHIP 1.34. The lefthander pitches to contact with 14.8% strikeouts and 26.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 7.4% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings.
Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes has five starts in 2023 with an ERA 4.55 plus WHIP 1.16. The righthander has seen his strikeout rate plummet to 19.5% with 8.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 51.3% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
Brewers hitting only .212 against lefthanders and Angels struggling against righty’s. Both bullpens are performing well. Milwaukee 34-21 to the under against lefthanded starters. Play LA and Milwaukee under 8.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 4/29/2023
Diamondbacks at Rockies—Tommy Henry to start for Arizona. Henry had nine starts in 2022 with an ERA 5.36 and WHIP 1.45. In his 2023 debut he allowed three earned runs with four walks in 4 1/3rd innings at home to Kansas City.
Noah Davis to start for Colorado. Davis spent 2022 in Triple A and pitched one inning for the Rockies allowing two earned runs and a homer. The righthander in his two starts this season allowed one earned run with ten strikeouts in 9 2/3rd innings.
Rockies just 3-8 at home. Diamondbacks reversing some of their bad road trends this season and Colorado reversing their trends at home. Play Arizona -112.
St Louis Cardinals vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 4/29/2023
Cardinals at Dodgers—Jordan Montgomery to start for St Louis. Montgomery in five starts in 2023 has an ERA 3.81 with WHIP 1.27. The lefthander strikes out 20.3% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.6% with minimal home run damage.
Clayton Kershaw to start for LAD. Kershaw has five starts produces an ERA 2.32 and WHIP 0.87. The veteran a K rate of 26.4% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 48.1% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Cardinals 4-18 against good starting NL pitchers with an ERA of 2.70 or better. Dodgers hitting only .168 against lefthanders. Play St Louis and LA under eight runs.
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