Saint Mary's Gaels vs Loyola Marymount Lions 2/9/2023 Picks

Saint Mary’s Gaels vs Loyola Marymount Lions 2/9/2023 Picks Predictions Previews

The #15 Saint Mary’s Gaels will go against the Loyola Marymount Lions in NCAAB action in Albert Gersten Pavilion, CA, on Thursday, February 9, 2023, at 10:00 PM ET.

After defeating Gonzaga on Saturday, the Gaels are feeling good. With a 12-game unbeaten run, Saint Mary’s has complete control of the WCC.

Do the Gaels already possess the conference championship with just six regular matches remaining? Despite having poorer field goal and three-point shooting percentages, Saint Mary’s upset Gonzaga in overtime.

With nine offensive rebounds and fewer turnovers, the Gaels outrebounded the Bulldogs 37-29. Aidan Maheny, a rookie guard, led Saint Mary’s with 18 points on 8 of 19 shooting.

Mahaney is Saint Mary’s top scorer thus far this year. He shoots 45.7 percent from the field and 41.6 percent from the three-point range, scoring 15.0 points on average.

Other guards to keep an eye on include junior Mitchell Saxen (12.6 ppg and 8.4 rpg), senior Alex Ducas (12.4 ppg, 3.8 rpg, and 42.6 3pt%), and senior Logan Johnson (12.6 ppg, 3.8 rpg).

The Gaels’ opponents score 57.7 points per game, ranking fourth, while shooting 40.0 percent overall (25th), including 30.9 percent from long distance (49th).

They are 357th in modified tempo, 74th in assist-to-turnover ratio, and fourth in modified defensive efficiency.

The Saint Mary’s-California Gaels are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 matches.
Saint Mary’s-California is 10-0 SU in their last 10 matches.
The Gaels are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 matches against Loyola Marymount.

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Saint Mary’s Gaels vs Loyola Marymount Lions Predictions 2/9/2023

Despite losing two straight games, Loyola Marymount won four of its last six games, including a victory over Gonzaga.

The Lions will face Saint Mary’s and Gonzaga twice before the regular season is over. They are tied with BYU for third place in the WCC. On Saturday, USD outscored the Lions in both halves to upset LMU 87-79.

The Toreros frequently went to the line and shot 54.2 percent overall, including 8 for 19 from three (27-for-33). The Toreros were outrebounded 38-28 by the Lions, who also had 17 offensive rebounds.

Cam Shelton, a senior guard for Loyola, led the team with 25 points on 9 of 17 shooting.

Shelton is Loyola’s leading scorer and averages 19.3 points, 5.7 rebounds, 4.4 assists, and 1.8 steals per game.

Other Lions to keep an eye on are sophomore guard Jalin Anderson (10.2 PPG), senior forward Alex Merkviladze, and senior forward Keli Leaupepe (13.8 PPG, 6.8 RPG, and 44.4 3PT%) (7.2 PPG and 4.1 RPG).

Loyola Marymount’s opponents score 71.4 points against them (232nd), and they shoot 44.3 percent overall (235th), including 31.0 percent from the 3-point range (52nd).

The Lions rank 251st in assist-to-turnover ratio, 169th in adjusted tempo, and 117th in modified defensive efficiency.

The total went OVER in 5 of Loyola Marymount’s last 7 matches.
The Loyola Marymount Lions are 4-2 SU in their previous 6 meetings.
The total went OVER in 4 of the Lions’ last 5 matches against Saint Mary’s-California.

#15 Saint Mary’s Gaels vs Loyola Marymount Lions. The NCAAB pick for this game is the #15 Saint Mary’s Gaels. Both of these teams have ATS records of 14-9-1 and 14-8-2 this year.

I’m backing the Gaels in this game even though previous patterns indicate that the Lions are the hot team to bet against the spread.

The Lions just played San Diego poorly on defense, enabling the Toreros to shoot over 54 percent. They also committed 28 fouls, forcing USD to the line far too frequently.

If they continue to play as they did against San Diego, they may face a more difficult opponent in Saint Mary’s, who ranks 40th in offensive efficiency and 69th in effective field goal percentage.

The Gaels are one of the best defensive teams in the nation, limiting their opponents to just a 40% shooting percentage. The #15 Saint Mary’s Gaels will win to a predicted score of 71-62.

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